World Cup Top Prediction Market Trades for Games on Monday, June 15, 2026

It’s time for Day 5 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. We’ve got four games on tap for Monday, June 15th. Spain faces Cabo Verde at 12 p.m. ET, Belgium vs. Egypt at 3 p.m. ET, Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay at 6 p.m. ET, and Iran vs. New Zealand at 9 p.m. ET.

We’re going to dive into each matchup, providing my favorite buys for World Cup action.

With that in mind, let’s dive into our top prediction market trades for Monday, June 15.

Top Prediction Market Trades: Best World Cup Trades for Monday, June 15

Spain Wins By Over 2.5 Goals: No (0.50¢ at Kalshi)

Spain, the defending Euro champions, is one of the favorites to win the 2026 World Cup. With Lamine Yamal looking like the best player in the world and an elite midfield, this team is a force to be reckoned with.

They’ll take on Cabo Verde, which is making its debut at the World Cup. While they’re overmatched against Spain, I like them to keep this game within two goals.

Cabo Verde showed their quality in a late May friendly against Serbia, where they won 3-0. I’m taking a shot that they can keep it relatively close vs. Spain, who hasn’t looked as sharp as usual in friendlies, drawing against both Iraq and Egypt.

Belgium/Egypt Both Teams to Score: Yes (0.49¢ at Kalshi)

Belgium has looked very sharp in friendlies, beating Croatia 2-0 and Tunisia 5-0. Egypt was able to score in a 2-1 loss against Brazil in their most recent friendly.

This is a Belgian squad that scored 29 goals in eight games during qualifying, so they certainly have the ability to light up the scoreboard. But Egypt can as well, led by the legendary Mohamed Salah. They put up 20 goals in games during qualifying.

I think this game will be relatively close, as these are the two best teams in Group G. It feels like a 2-1 type of scoreline.

Uruguay/Saudi Arabia Both Teams to Score: No (0.60¢ at Kalshi)

Uruguay is a relatively high favorite against Saudi Arabia. I expect them to win this game, but I’d rather target Both Teams to Score: No.

I think the Saudis are going to have a tough time scoring a goal against Marcelo Bielsa’s high-pressing system. They’ll likely find it difficult to maintain possession in this match.

I wouldn’t put it past Uruguay to win this one 3-0, so I prefer going with Both Teams to Score: No instead of Under 2.5 goals. I view the Saudis as one of the weakest teams in the tournament, and I think they’ll struggle to find the back of the net.

Iran/New Zealand Over 2.5 Goals: No (0.62¢ at Kalshi)

Iran is a slight favorite against New Zealand, but I think they’re going to have a tough time in this tournament. Due to the war, there are VISA restrictions, forcing Iran to practice in Mexico even though they’re playing in USA.

With that in mind, I can easily see a letdown against New Zealand, where they struggle to score. Expect New Zealand to play highly organized, making a conscious effort to avoid mistakes rather than push forward.

I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if this game ends 0-0.

Not in a Legal Sports Betting State? Consider Prediction Markets

If sports betting isn’t available in your state, prediction markets offer another way to participate in sports-related events. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, prediction markets allow users to buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of real-world events, with prices fluctuating based on market sentiment. Bettors have a chance to take early exits on their positions, providing an opportunity to secure profit before an event is settled.

Several platforms have expanded their sports offerings in recent years, including Kalshi, Polymarket, and Fanatics Markets. These sites allow users to trade contracts on outcomes ranging from championship winners and award races to individual game results, depending on the platform and available markets.

Prediction markets operate under different regulatory frameworks than traditional sportsbooks, and availability can vary by state and platform. Before signing up, be sure to check each site’s eligibility requirements and terms of service to confirm whether you can participate where you live.

Photo Credit: AP/Mosa’ab Elshamy