Atlanta Falcons Vs. Arizona Cardinals: NFL Player Props & Picks (11/12/23)
On Sunday (11/12/23), the Atlanta Falcons take on the Arizona Cardinals in an NFC battle. In this article, find player prop selections for the game featuring Kyler Murray, Marquise Brown, Bijan Robinson, and Drake London.
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Kyler Murray is making his return for the Cardinals this week, and he should provide a massive boost for an offense that needs one after being shut out by the Browns last week. The expected return of James Conner also provides value. Meanwhile, the Falcons are expecting to have Drake London back this week.
In this article, I’ll break down some of my favorite player props in this game between the Falcons and Cardinals. Be sure to use the player prop search tool above to get the best odds for any prop you select, especially as odds may have shifted from the time I’m writing this to when you’re reading it. Let’s get to work.
Kyler Murray Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+160 BetMGM)
It’s hard to know what version of Kyler Murray we’ll be getting this week as 11 months away from the field could result in some rustiness in his first game back. However, this matchup sets up wonderfully for Murray as the Falcons have allowed the second-most passing touchdowns since Week 5.
Will Levis and Sam Howell combined for seven touchdowns against the Falcons in recent weeks, and when he’s at his best, Murray is a complete tier ahead of those passers. The upside is real with this prop, and we might be looking back in a few weeks thinking it was crazy to get +160 odds here.
Marquise Brown Over 4.5 Receptions (-115 BetMGM) and 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115 BetMGM)
With Kyler Murray’s return, it’s time for Marquise Brown to turn his 25.4% target share into production. In eight career games with Murray, Brown is averaging 6.6 receptions for 70.6 yards. He’s been over this receptions prop in six of eight games and over the yardage prop in five of eight.
A.J. Terrell will likely shadow Brown in this game, but that’s not a bad thing. DeAndre Hopkins (4-128), Mike Evans (6-82), and Terry McLaurin (6-81) are among the WR1s who have torched Atlanta in recent weeks. Brown is primed for a strong bounceback game here and could push 100 yards for the first time all season.
Bijan Robinson Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-115 BetMGM)
It’s been a rough go here for Bijan Robinson fantasy managers as Tyler Allgeier’s heavy workload continues to make no sense given the massive gap in efficiency between these backfield mates. However, I believe we’re getting a great opportunity to buy the dip in a tremendous matchup.
Robinson’s efficiency has been elite all season – he ranks fourth of 45 qualified running backs in rushing yards over expectation and 12th in yards after contact per attempt. The Cardinals are dead last in run stop win rate and 30th in run defense DVOA, so Robinson has an excellent opportunity for a bounceback game.