Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Preview (11/06/22): Betting Odds, Prediction, Depth Charts
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The Green Bay Packers head to their division rival Lions following a four game losing streak. Meanwhile, Detroit once again suffered a close loss due to their JV-level defense. Will the Packers losing streak extend to 5? Or will the Lions extend theirs to 6? Let’s take a look to predict this matchup of disappointing NFC North teams.
Green Bay Packers Vs. Detroit Lions Betting Odds
The Packers are favored (-3) going into their 3rd straight road game with this one in Detroit (+3). The over/under is set at 49.5 as the Lions are one of the higher scoring teams and allow some of the most points scored. The Packers have won 5 out the last 6 versus the Lions, with the lone loss coming in week 18 last season when they rested Aaron Rodgers and Davonte Adams during the second half.
Green Bay Packers Vs. Detroit Lions Prediction
Despite losing LB Quay Walker to ejection, the Packers played a solid defensive game against the Bills #1 offense. They intercepted MVP frontrunner Josh Allen twice and limited the Bills to just three second half points. The Packers next goal is to put together two good defensive halves, rather than just one per game. On offense, the Packers are far from the efficient machine they’ve been with Rodgers under center, but rookie WR Romeo Doubs & Samori Toure both made forward strides versus the Bills with Toure scoring on a big 37 yard touchdown.
TD for @samori_toure!#GBvsBUF | #GoPackGo
📺 NBC pic.twitter.com/chBf1xEQlq
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) October 31, 2022
This combined with a strong running game are hopefully the signal for an improving Packers offense.
Though the Lions fell short of a win, they did return to their high scoring ways. After leading the league in scoring through the first four weeks, the Lions then scored only 6 points the next two weeks. Against the Dolphins, the Lions put up 27 points. The Lions also saw the return of RB D’Andre Swift, but HC Dan Campbell commented after the game that he still hasn’t fully recovered from his injuries and will have his carries limited. The Lions defense has unfortunately not shown many signs of improvement lately, giving up 382 passing yards to the Dolphins. Though the Packers receiving game hasn’t exactly been intimidating, they won’t find an easier matchup than this Detroit Lions defense.
I’m picking the Packers to beat the Lions. Though the Packers have been trending in the wrong direction, the Lions haven’t been doing much better and have shown little ability to pull together a win. With the Lions injuries and Rodgers leading the Packers, I’ll take them to finally end their losing skid.
Prediction: Packers win 26-21, Under hits
Betting Trends
- Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
- Packers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC North.
Key Injuries
Green Bay Packers Injuries: Elgton Jenkins (Q), Allen Lazard (Q), Shemar Jean-Charles (Q),
Krys Barnes (Q), Caleb Jones (Q), Christian Watson (Q), De’Vondre Campbell (Q), Kylin Hill (Q), Jake Hanson (O), Randall Cobb (O)
Detroit Lions Injuries: Charles Harris (Q), Matt Nelson (Q), Mike Hughes (Q), Ifeatu Melifonwu (Q), Chase Lucas (Q), DeShon Elliott (Q), Tommy Kraemer (Q), AJ Parker (Q), Jameson Williams (O),
Bobby Price (O), D.J. Chark (O)
Packers vs Lions Key Matchups
The Lions Passing Game vs the Packers Secondary
The Lions have surprisingly managed to pull together the 7th best pass offense in the league, even though they’re led by Jared Goff’s string bean arm. Unfortunately for the Lions, their weaponry is a bit depleted at the moment. Last week, HC Dan Campbell reported that rookie WR Jameson Williams is still a month away from being able to play and WR D.J. Chark is also not ready to return. The Lions also just traded away TE T.J. Hockenson to the Vikings, so Goff will have to rely on WR Amon Ra St. Brown who returned from concussion protocol last week. The Lions lack of weaponry will be advantageous to the Packers secondary, who come off a 2 interception game of Josh Allen.
Packers Run Offense vs Detroit Run Defense
The Packers finally got their run game going again versus the Bills as Aaron Jones ran for 143 yards on just 20 carries at 7.2 YPC. A.J. Dillon also gained 54 yards on 10 carries at 5.4 yards per carry. Their run game success also allowed them to control the pace of the game last Sunday, winning the time of possession battle 33:48 to the Bills 26:12. They may have fallen short to the Bills, but if they can continue to win the TOP battle, it will benefit them going forward this season. This will be a big advantage for the Packers offense, who has struggled as of late, since they are going up against Detroit’s 3rd worst run defense.
Green Bay Packers Depth Chart
QB: Aaron Rodgers
RB1: Aaron Jones
RB2: A.J. Dillon
LWR: Romeo Doubs
RWR: Randall Cobb
SWR: Allen Lazard
TE1: Marcedes Lewis
Detroit Lions Depth Chart
QB: Jared Goff
RB1: D’Andre Swift
RB2: Jamaal Williams
LWR: D.J. Chark
RWR: Josh Reynolds
SWR: Amon-Ra St. Brown
TE1: T.J. Hockenson
