Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders (11/13/22): Odds, Predictions, Depth Chart

The Colts are headed West to Sin City, an apt playing field for these two sinfully underperforming teams. Despite coming into the season as playoff favorites, both the Colts and Raiders struggle to put four quarters of quality play together. However, one of these inept squads will get a win this week, so let’s see who the odds favor.

Indianapolis Colts Vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Odds

The Raiders are favored (-6.5) over the Colts (+6.5). Given the Raiders are not much better than the Colts, this is a pretty big spread. However, not only are the Raiders the home team, but the Colts have made a massive shift for an unproven coach which leaves their team with many question marks. The over/under is set at 42.5.

Indianapolis Colts Vs. Las Vegas Raiders Prediction

The Raiders have been giving their best impression of the Atlanta Falcons so far this season. They blew another lead last Sunday, this one at the hand of the 3-6 Jaguars. They’ve already tied a record for most blown 17-point games in a season, and it’s only week 10. Their 2-6 record is certainly not what Silver & Black fans were expecting after Josh McDaniels took over as head coach. The defense still lacks playmakers, and several players like WR Davante Adams have been expressing their frustration with the Raiders unexpectedly poor start to the 2022 Season.

Following an abysmal 26-3 loss to the New England Patriots where they went 0 for 14 on third down, the Colts made sweeping changes. They fired HC Frank Reich Monday and hired Jeff Saturday to become their interim head coach. Saturday, the former all pro center, will take over the coaching position despite having no professional coaching experience.

Saturday’s career as one of the best centers of his time will hopefully help the Colts’ offensive line woes and better protect QB Sam Ehlinger in his third start. Ehlinger had a rough game versus the Patriots, throwing for only 103 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Though the Raiders have struggled to close games, the Colts have failed to show any semblance of a functioning offense the past few weeks, especially if RB Jonathon Taylor can’t play again. This combined with the lack of experience from both HC Saturday and QB Ehlinger has me leaning towards a Raiders victory.

Prediction: Raiders 23-13, Under hits

Betting Trends

Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Colts are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Key Injuries

Indianapolis Colts Injuries: Tony Brown (Q), Grant Stuard (Q), Matt Ryan (Q), Jonathan Taylor (Q), John Hurst (Q), Jelani Woods (Q), Trevor Denbow (Q), Tyquan Lewis (O), Ashton Dulin (Q)

Las Vegas Raiders Injuries: Darren Waller (Q), Tyler Lancaster (Q), Cre’von LeBlanc (Q), Nate Hobbs (Q), Justin Herron (Q)

Key Matchups

The Colts Offensive Line vs the Raiders Defensive Front

The Colts offensive line has simply played awful this season. Not only have they allowed the most sacks this season with 35, they can’t set blocks in the run game. The Colts have the third worst run game this season, which has definitely contributed to their offensive woes. If Jonathan Taylor is unable to play again this week, it will only exaggerate their struggles. On the other hand, the Raiders have only logged 9 sacks this season, which ranks dead last across the entire NFL. Regardless, watch out for DE Maxx Crosby to dominate the Colts offensive front much like Patriots DE Matthew Judon did last week with a 3 sack performance. Crosby has 6 of his team’s 9 sacks this year and is the best player on an overall meh Raiders defense, with this fumble recovery for his team last week.

Raiders Pass Offense vs Colts Pass Defense

Though the Colts offense has been a hot mess, the defense has played well. Their pass defense is 6th in yards allowed, giving up 192.3 yards allowed and they have the fifth best defense overall. Former defensive player of the year CB Stephon Gilmore leads this secondary with four pass defenses on the season. The Raiders offense and passing game showed strides in the first half against the Jaguars last week. WR Davante Adams went off for a season high 146 yards, 10 receptions and 2 touchdowns. The Raiders offense runs through the Fresno State connection between Carr and Adams. No other Raider had more than 42 receiving yards last week. The Colts should focus their defensive efforts on Adams if they want to keep the Raiders offense in check.

Indianapolis Colts Depth Chart

QB: Sam Ehlinger
RB1: Jonathan Taylor
RB2: Nyheim Hines
LWR: Alec Pierce
RWR: Parris Campbell
SWR: Michael Pittman Jr.
TE1: Mo Alie-Cox

Las Vegas Raiders Depth Chart

QB: Derek Carr
RB1: Josh Jacobs
RB2: Brandon Bolden
LWR: Davante Adams
RWR: Tyron Johnson
SWR: Hunter Renfrow
TE1: Darren Waller

A UCLA graduate, Eva is an experienced football writer who specializes in NFL game analysis and weekly storylines. In her free time you can usually find her cheering on the 49ers or watching the latest Josh Allen highlight clip.

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