The Tennessee Titans visit the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 9 of the 2022 NFL Season. The Titans just beat the Texans after Derrick Henry had a monster game, while the Chiefs are coming off a bye, but they beat the 49ers before. This should be an interesting game to help determine some of the pecking order in the AFC. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds
The Kansas City Chiefs are 12.5-point home favorites against the Tennessee Titans and are at -625 on the money line. The over/under is also set at 46. The Chiefs being this big of a favorite initially jumps out but when you look at the game a little more closely you can see why. Tannehill’s status is up in the air still and if he can’t go oddsmakers don’t have much faith in Malik Willis. Kansas City is also one of the harder places to play for opposing teams to visit. The over/under being at 46 makes sense because the Chiefs obviously have an offense that can score at will, and the Titans can score too especially with their ground game. Keep an eye on this spread because with it being so high right now, there’s a chance it could move down a bit.
Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Prediction
The Pick: Titans +12.5
As good as the Chiefs are, this spread is just too high. Tennessee has the ability to slow this game down just enough to cover this spread. The big question is if Ryan Tannehill will be available to play in this game which is the biggest thing that this pick is predicated on. The Titans are also just a very physical team too and have the ability to take the Chiefs out of their usual rhythm. The key for the Titans is what they can do on offense. It starts and ends with Derrick Henry in the Tennessee run game. The offense as a whole is averaging 303 total yards and 19 points a game. Henry is such a focus for them, but Tannehill is key to provide some stability. The Chiefs, on the other side, lost Tyreek Hill this past offseason, but still are scoring at will on the offensive side of the ball. They are scoring 32 points and gaining 416 total yards on offense this year, just doing it in different ways across their offense. The difference here, is just that this point spread is so big. Take the Titans to cover due to their physicality on offense and defense.
- Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- Chiefs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game
Tennessee Titans Injuries: OLB Rashad Weaver (Back) Q, DB Amani Hooker (Shoulder) Q
Kansas City Chiefs Injuries: WR Kadarius Toney (Hamstring) Q, CB Rashad Fenton (Hamstring) Q
Check out the key matchups and mismatches for Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs below.
Patrick Mahomes vs the Titans Secondary
Patrick Mahomes, so far this year, has been his usual amazing self, even without Tyreek Hill. He has 2,159 passing yards, 20 passing touchdowns, five interceptions, and a 67% completion percentage on the year. His best game of the year was the last one the Chiefs played before the bye, against the 49ers. He had 423 passing yards, three passing touchdowns, one interception, and a 74% completion percentage. The Titans are giving up 275 passing yards a game, so Patrick Mahomes could have a big day against the Titans secondary, but he has a big game a lot of the time too.
Derrick Henry vs the Chiefs Front Seven
Derrick Henry is a huge key for the Titans, especially with Ryan Tannehill not being 100% healthy even if he plays. He has 166 carries, 755 rushing yards, and seven rushing touchdowns on the year. His best game was just last week against the Texans when he went for 219 rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns, and had 30 carries. The Chiefs are giving up 92 rushing yards a game, so Henry still has a chance to have a big game here, and he’ll need to for the Titans to have a chance. Henry is the best running back in football and needs to show it here.