The Minnesota Vikings are visiting the Buffalo Bills in Week 10 of the 2022 NFL Season. The Vikings are coming off a close win against the Commanders, while the Bills lost a very close one to the Jets last week. This will be an interesting matchup because these are two of the best teams in the NFL. Let’s take a look at the odds and make some picks and predictions for this game!
Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills Prediction
The Pick: Buffalo Bills -5.5
There’s definitely some concern going into this game about the status of Josh Allen. He injured his elbow last week at the end of the game against the Jets, but this is still a good bet even if Josh Allen doesn’t play. The Bills might have the best home field advantage in the NFL this year. Assuming Josh Allen does play, this offense is one of the best in the NFL, and might be, specifically, the best passing offense in the league too. The offense is stacked with talent but it starts with both Josh Allen and then Stefon Diggs out wide. That combo is almost too good for every defense in the NFL to defend. On the other side, the Bills also might have the best defense in the league too.
The Vikings have an impressive record, but the questions about their record are valid. The best team they played was the Eagles and the game wasn’t close. Their offense has been good, with Kirk Cousins playing well and utilizing Jordan Jefferson and Adam Thielen on the outside. Dalvin Cook is also the focal point in the run game. On the other side the defense is good, but might not be living up to it’s potential just yet. I really love the Bills in this spot just because a big game at home situationally just favors them, especially after they lost last week too.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Odds
The Buffalo Bills are 5.5-point home favorites against the Minnesota Vikings and are at -230 on the money line. The over/under is also set at 45.5. The Bills being favored by this much against the Vikings makes sense because the Bills have played way better at home as compared to on the road.
The over/under also makes sense because both of these teams have very good offenses, but each defense is also very good, so points will be scored, but just not a ton it seems like. This spread could potentially move up or down based around the status of Josh Allen and if he plays in this game or misses a few games.
- Vikings are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
- Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 10.
Vikings vs Bills Key Injuries
Minnesota Vikings Injuries: CB Cameron Dantzler Sr. (Ankle) Q, DT Dalvin Tomlinson (Calf) Q
Buffalo Bills Injuries: QB Josh Allen (Elbow) Q, LB Matt Milano (Oblique) Q
Check out the key matchups and mismatches for Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills below.
Stefon Diggs vs the Vikings Secondary
This pick is here because whoever starts at quarterback for the Bills is going to target Stefon Diggs a ton in this game. He’s been a great receiver for the Bills and is the primary one for them. He has 60 receptions, 857 receiving yards, and seven receiving touchdowns on the year. The most receiving yards he’s had in a game this year was against 148 in two different games, but he had three receiving touchdowns in the first of those games. The Bills allow 214 passing yards a game, so he can really take advantage here, and if he does then Buffalo has a bigger chance of winning.
Dalvin Cook vs the Bills Front Seven
Dalvin Cook is the key for the Vikings offense. He has 131 carries, 608 rushing yards, and five rushing touchdowns on the year. His best game was two weeks ago against the Cardinals where he rushed for 111 yards, and a touchdown, on just 20 carries. The Bills allow 105 yards a game which will be tough for Cook. If the Vikings can get Cook going at all, then their chances of winning go up exponentially because establishing the run game would open up the rest of the offense for Minnesota.