Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos: NFL Player Props & Picks (11/19/23)
On Sunday (11/19/23), we’ll watch the Denver Broncos host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football. In this article, find player prop selections for Vikings Vs. Broncos featuring T.J. Hockenson, Javonte Williams, Josh Dobbs, and Courtland Sutton.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos Player Prop Picks
In this week’s Sunday Night Football offering, we’ll see two of the most fascinating teams in the league square off. Kevin O’Connell has the Vikings playing way over expectations despite injuries to Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson while Sean Payton has the Broncos back in the playoff picture as he’s orchestrating a career rejuvenation for Russell Wilson. Let’s break down some player props from this intriguing matchup.
T.J. Hockenson Over 5.5 Receptions (-122 FanDuel)
My favorite player prop from this game involves the Vikings’ star tight end whose involvement has skyrocketed since Justin Jefferson’s injury. T.J. Hockenson leads all tight ends in targets and receptions, and he has 6+ catches in five straight games. In eight of his ten games, he has hit the over on this prop.
Over the two games that Hockenson has played with Josh Dobbs under center, he has totaled an absurd 18 catches. This should be priced at 6.5 in my eyes, so getting close to even money on the over on 5.5 makes this a smash play. For what it’s worth, the Broncos have also allowed the most receiving yards to tight ends in the NFL.
Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200 Caesars)
In this new look Broncos offense, Courtland Sutton has been a touchdown machine with scores in seven of his nine games this season. He’s sixth among wide receivers in red zone targets, and if you watched the Monday Night Football game, it’s easy to see why – he’s one of the best in the league at contested catch and toe drag situations.
To the Vikings’ credit, they’ve been stout against wide receivers, especially on the boundary. Brian Flores is one of the league’s best defensive coordinators and there’s no doubt that he’ll be well aware of Sutton’s end zone prowess. Will it matter? That’s up for you to decide, but at 2-1 odds, I think it’s worth finding out.
Josh Dobbs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+320 FanDuel)
The Josh Dobbs story is remarkable, and his rushing has been a driving force in the Vikings’ offensive success. Dobbs is third among all quarterbacks in rushing touchdowns, and he has scored a touchdown in four straight games, including last week against a Saints defense that I expected to corral him much more than they did.
The Broncos’ red zone defense is much improved from their awful start to the season, but Dobbs is still the biggest threat with his legs in that area. As always, touchdown scorer props present the most significant discrepancies in odds across the entire market, so make sure you have multiple books available to get the best number on this Josh Dobbs bet.
Javonte Williams Over 16.5 Rushing Attempts (-105 Caesars)
The Broncos’ two huge wins over the Chiefs and Bills directly coincided with a seemingly full return to health for Javonte Williams after a torn ACL ended last season prematurely. Williams has totaled a whopping 48 carries over the last two weeks. After not surpassing 50% of snaps in the first six weeks, he has 52+% of snaps in each of his last three games.
Williams is running into a tough matchup here against a Vikings defense ranked 12th againt the run by DVOA, so I’d rather bet on volume than efficiency here. However, there are multiple ways to get action down on Williams in this game, and I don’t mind a bet on his rushing yards or touchdown props. Expect him to be a major part of the story in this game.
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