2026 US Open Odds Report: Best Future Bets To Consider One Week Out
The 2026 US Open is now only one week away. With the RBC Canadian Open standing as the final event of consequence before U.S. Open week, this is the perfect time to analyze the Futures markets and identify betting value before US Open odds inevitably adjust on the Monday of tournament week.
Current 2026 US Open To Win Odds
Considerations for US Open Futures
How do we assess fair value in US Open Futures odds? Outrights in any given week are always a formula of recent form, long-term pedigree, and course history. Each event just weights those three factors a bit differently.
At the US Open, event history and current form have proven to be incredibly predictive, regardless of which course on the rotation is played. That is due, in large part, to the USGA’s constant involvement in course setup. The US Open has established its identity as the toughest test in golf. It is known for choosing extremely long courses, pinching the fairways, growing out the rough, burning out the greens, and tucking pins into inaccessible areas of the green. Everything you can think of to make a course difficult is on the USGA’s checklist.
With this approach, the US Open has bred a homogenized leaderboard in recent years. Brooks Koepka and Bryson DeChambeau have each won multiple US Opens since 2017. The top-5 in terms of total strokes gained in US Opens over the last 10 years includes no surprises: Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka, Rory McIlroy, Dustin Johnson, and Scottie Scheffler.
And yet, long shots have had their day in recent US Opens too. Defending champion JJ Spaun shocked the world in a severely weather impacted week at Oakmont. Wyndham Clark parlayed his hot 2023 form into a win at LACC, and Gary Woodland’s distance and ball-striking advantage propelled him to an unexpected win at Pebble Beach in 2019.
Looking at the task at hand this week, Shinnecock Hills will be as difficult as any venue on the US Open rotation, but offers a unique set of challenges. In contrast to the traditional tight fairways and long rough like we’ve seen at Winged Foot and Torrey Pines in recent years, Shinnecock Hills features more generous landing areas in the fairways and will play more stylistically like an Open Championship links setup. Short game was the key to Brooks Koepka’s victory here in 2018, and will be a prerequisite skillset for all hopeful contenders on these tiny greens in windy and firm conditions.
In this article, we’ll explore the best values in the US Open Futures markets at present. Whose stock is rising, whose is falling, and who offers the greatest betting value as of today.
Biggest Risers
These players are peaking now and trending now and will be popular considerations as they ride the hot hand into the US Open.
Wyndham Clark
Current Odds:
Clark rode the hot hand in 2023, parlaying a breakout win at the Wells Fargo Championship into a US Open victory three starts later. The stars may be aligning for a similar fate three years later, as Clark will enter the RBC Canadian Open on the heels of a win at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, and a 3rd place finish at the Memorial.
Generous fairways are a welcome sight for Clark, who is not exactly known for his accuracy off the tee, but has been proficient in all other areas of his game. That makes Shinnecock Hills an ideal fit for his game. Clark is amongst the favorites in the RBC Canadian Open field, and will be worth monitoring closely as a US Open future bet if his hot form persists at TPC Toronto.
Tommy Fleetwood
Current Odds:
Tommy Fleetwood belongs in a similar category as Clark, as another favorite to watch in the RBC Canadian Open field in red-hot form coming off a strong finish (T4) at the Memorial. Unlike Clark, however, Fleetwood has proven he can handle Shinnecock Hills’ best punch. His runner-up finish at the 2018 US Open remains the best performance of his career from a strokes gained standpoint, and he still owns the course record of 63 from his final round that year.
Fleetwood has an excellent history on the links with five top-16 finishes at The Open since 2018. While it’s been an up-and-down season for Fleetwood, he’s trending at the right time now with two top-5 finishes over his last three starts. If he contends at the RBC Canadian Open, he may well catapult past Aberg and DeChambeau as a top-5 favorite to win the 2026 US Open.
Biggest Fallers
These players have bottomed out in the weeks leading up to the US Open, and will enter with question marks that have been priced into their depreciating odds.
Scottie Scheffler
Current Odds:
It may sound strange to say about the World No. 1 and prohibitive favorite to win the 2026 U.S. Open, but Scheffler’s odds are currently as long as they’ve been all year to win this event, and continue to drift as we get closer to tournament week.
Is the sky truly falling for Scheffler? No. An 11-week winless drought does feel like an eternity by his standards, but he’s remained a factor in most tournaments throughout that span, with 7 top-5 finishes this season. An optimistic viewpoint would say Scheffler has never been more due for a win. He will rank 1st in virtually every important stat category for Shinnecock Hills and distinctly separates from the other elite players in this field in terms of his short game strengths. If his number drifts any further, he will be worth serious consideration as an outright bet to complete his career Grand Slam.
Bryson DeChambeau
Current Odds:
Bryson’s name has become synonymous with the US Open, having won this event twice since 2020. It makes sense that Bryson, a generationally great driver, has picked up his first two major wins at the US Open where length has often been rewarded. In between those wins, however, Bryson’s history at this event has lacked consistency. He has only finished inside the top-20 three times over 11 career US Open appearances.
Leading into The Masters, Bryson was a clear top-4 favorite alongside Scheffler, McIlroy, and Rahm. Today, he can be found at double those odds, disappointingly missing the cut at both The Masters and the PGA Championship. It’s his inconsistency on approach and around-the-green that have held him back at the majors so far this season, and with those areas being critical to score at Shinnecock Hills, Bryson is a player I will actively be fading.
Today’s Best Future Bets
These players still offer present-day value, with reason to believe their odds will worsen between now and US Open week.
Patrick Reed
Current Odds:
Over his last seven starts, Patrick Reed has only one finish worse than T12. He has made a career out of grinding in difficult conditions, and has already shown us that his ability to grind for pars can translate to success at Shinnecock Hills, where he finished 4th in 2018.
The only question surrounding Patrick Reed leading into the PGA Championship was whether he could remain sharp, having not played since The Masters. Any questions of rust or lack of preparation were put to rest that week, as Reed looked his normal self en route to a T10 finish at Aronimink. Reed has great history in the New York area, picking up wins at Bethpage Black and Liberty National earlier in his career. If this becomes the scrambling contest we all expect, there are few better equipped than Reed to thrive in those conditions.
Cameron Smith
Current Odds:
You don’t hear the term “generous” often in association with US Opens, but that has been the buzzword for players who have played recent practice rounds at Shinnecock Hills when describing the fairways. That should be music to the ears of Cameron Smith, who feasted on the generous fairways of St. Andrews in his 2023 Open Championship victory. It’s no coincidence that Smith’s two career US Open top-5 finishes have come on similarly generous driving venues (Los Angeles Country Club & Chambers Bay).
It’s taken a long time, but Smith is finally starting to play like his past dominant self on LIV again. He’s finished T7, T16, and T5 over his last three starts, and has done so in vintage form, with huge gains from fairway to green. Smith’s T7 at the PGA Championship last month notably snapped a streak of six-straight missed cuts in majors, so he should enter Shinnecock Hills with some newfound confidence in his game.
2026 US Open Futures Market Board
Photo Credit: AP/Sue Ogrocki
