2026 Wimbledon Tennis Betting Preview, Odds, Picks & Analysis for The Championships

The third tennis major of the season is finally here as 2026 Wimbledon begins on Monday, June 29. The prestigious grass court event marks the halfway point of the season, as we will break down both the men’s and women’s odds, draws, forecast and provide bets to consider. Let’s dive into all of it below.

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2026 Wimbledon Information & Resources

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Betting Odds

2026 Women’s Wimbledon Betting Odds

2026 Wimbledon Forecast

A Look At The Draw

Men’s Quarter 1

Jannik Sinner enters Wimbledon as the defending champion and No. 1 seed, at the very top of the men’s bracket with a considerable draw in front of him. The main concern, however, with Sinner is actually the weather as his body gave out in Paris during a very hot five-set match. Five sets has always been the downfall for Sinner, but paired with record breaking heat makes his -165 odds of winning the event very passable. So while Sinner should win this quarter, from a betting perspective we’re not spending -600, so we move on.

Tommy Paul and Daniil Medvedev provide the best value here, both under Sinner’s section of the quarter. Of the two we prefer Paul who has won 10 of his last 13 matches whereas Meddy is just 4-4 over his last eight. Dark horses to circle here include two names: Brandon Nakashima and Hubert Hurkacz, and of the two we’ll side with the former who saw solid wins over Alex De Minaur and Ignacio Buse in Queen’s before losing in three sets in the semifinals to Francisco Cerundolo.

Quarter 1 Pick: Tommy Paul +1100
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Brandon Nakashima +2500

Men’s Quarter 2

Much like the analysis above, it’s difficult to side with the favorite winning Quarter 2 – which is Novak Djokovic. Joker is -160 to win the quarter, which is far too expensive. He has also played just 13 matches all season (we’re entering July) and is just five matches above .500 in those 13 matches. He also finds himself in a section of the draw against the man who took him out of Paris in Joao Fonseca. While the draw is somewhat simple for Joker, it will be difficult for him to reach the semifinals while the price tag for him makes it much easier to look elsewhere for plays.

Felix Auger-Aliassime is a great look, mainly because of the draw set in front of him where his challenges might not come until the quarterfinals with names such as Learner Tien, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Juan Manuel Cerundolo all lie. All three are capable of beating FAA, especially as the Canadian is on a current 0-6 ATS skid at Wimbledon. All the value lies in the top section of Quarter 2 with those names, all presenting better grass court form thus far than any of the names in the bottom section which includes Fonseca, Joker and Andrey Rublev.

Quarter 2 Pick: Felix Auger-Aliassime +500
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Learner Tien +1800

Men’s Quarter 3

Ben Shelton is the top name in Quarter 3, and he has shown consistency this grass court season which includes lifting the title in Stuttgart. There is much concern to picking Shelton, however, beginning with his recent grass results. While the youngster has won six of seven matches on grass this season, six of those seven matches went three sets. Also note that Shelton failed to make it past the second round in Indian Wells, Miami, Madrid, Rome and Paris – so his big event conviction is surprisingly not there.

With that said, his recent runs on grass should leave you with more conviction than not, also in a section of the draw he should take advantage of unless Arthur Fils returns with 100% health or Jakub Mensik serves lights out for two straight weeks (both possible). Shelton is set up nicely to reach the quarterfinals where two opponents stand out as real threats – Alex De Minaur and Flavio Cobolli. The former has more grass court success this season winning five of seven grass court matches which includes a final appearance in Netherlands. Don’t sleep on Kamil Majchrzak either, who quietly won a title on grass this season.

Quarter 3 Pick: Ben Shelton +250
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Alex De Minaur +650

Men’s Quarter 4

Can Alexander Zverev win a second straight major? It’s tough to see, but the value he has been given from oddsmakers is hard not to test. His draw seems favorable as well, until the Round of 16 where a few darks horses have the potential to take him out in Cerundolo, Jiri Lehecka or Alex Michelsen. From there, his quarter sees names above him such as Taylor Fritz, Jack Draper, Alexander Bublik and Frances Tiafoe. Only one of those names can face Zverev in the quarterfinals, so the idea those four eliminate each other before facing Zverev adds more reason to take Sacha’s odds.

So can he win a second straight major? Yes. Will we bet it, though? No. Should you bet it, though? Yes. Its a smart move on paper to take Zverev’s odds but for us, this is a major he will have to earn the hard way as opposed to process of elimination/last man standing in Paris. The x-factor here is the Fritz-Draper Round 1 match, where a Fritz win would kill any confidence Zverev has to win Wimbledon. If Draper wins, then Zverev’s odds increase but still not enough for us to pull the trigger. Winning the quarter is fine, but to win the event is still a stretch for Zverev bettors.

Quarter 4 Pick: Alexander Zverev +175
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Francisco Cerundolo +1200

Women’s Quarter 1

Aryna Sabalenka is the No. 1 seed as the No. 1 ranked player in the world, at the top of the brackets with an eerily confident Teodora Kostovic in Round 1. This is not an easy draw for Sabby, who limps into Wimbledon with her form but also enters with added motivation to get back on track – never poke a sleeping tiger. With that said, she should reach the Sweet 16 with Emma Raducanu and Jelena Ostapenko the only threats in her way. Penko actually poses a serious threat, and a great dark horse to consider in this quarter.

Below Sabby lies Naomi Osaka, who looked like a serious contender before her Bad Homburg withdrawal with a foot injury in the final. Assuming that is a real injury, Sabalenka might leap into the quarterfinals while many pundits are fading her as a pick. The first half of the draw for Sabby are mainly powerful opponents, but then she faces the slicers and dicers which is where a huge concern lies. Karolina Muchova is coming off a Bad Homburg trophy to add to an epic season, while Mirra Andreeva is coming off a Roland Garros title.

Let’s also not forget Barbora Krejcikova is nestled in Quarter 1, always overlooked but always a threat to win any tournament. Then, of course, we have Maja Chwalinska who is coming off a career run in Paris. So for Sabby, getting through the quarter won’t be easy. She is a decent pick to consider given the odds, however, but our conviction on grass lies with better form players for now.

Quarter 1 Pick: Aryna Sabalenka +120
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Karolina Muchova +600

Women’s Quarter 2

Everyone and their momma is on Jessica Pegula for this year’s Wimbledon champion, which makes sense but also worries us. With everyone picking Pegula, the pressure builds although she handles it well. The draw set out in front of her is very winnable with Anastasia Potapova and Iva Jovic her main threats before the quarterfinals. The draw is somewhat simple under her as well, with both Coco Gauff and Belinda Bencic as the top names that have no reason not to face off in the Round of 16.

For Pegula, she is one of the most consistent players on either tour and the first round exit in Roland Garros will only motivate her to perform better in London. She has actually reached the quarterfinals or better in eight of 10 tournaments this season, that stat alone is enough to have a ticket on her futures odds. It’s tough to go against Gauff, however, but she has lost three of five matches with just one grass court match this season which was a three-set loss to Paula Badosa. We’ll go with Bencic over Gauff but Jovic is also a live sleeper to consider outside Pegula in this quarter.

Quarter 2 Pick: Jessica Pegula +220
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Belinda Bencic +500

Women’s Quarter 3

This is an interesting quarter, with the return of Serena Williams lumped in here with Iga Swiatek – the defending champion. We all want Iga vs. Serena, but will we get it? Serena has Maya Joint in Round 1, who has been struggling heavily this season, while Alexandra Eala is her likely Round 2 opponent and that’s where things get tricky. If Serena can get past Round 2 then she has a chance to face Iga, but things aren’t easy for Swiatek given her current form. She faces Taylor Townsend in Round 1 before possibly facing one of two talented Czechs in Round 2 (Tereza Valentova or Karolina Pliskova). Between all the names listed just now, any of them can legit reach the quarterfinals.

There isn’t too much concern above them with Jasmine Paolini, Maria Sakkari and Clara Tauson all struggling, but the threats lie at the top of Quarter 3 – notably Elina Svitolina. Svit’s road to the quarterfinals is very winnable with the form she has displayed this season with names in her way such as Ajla Tomljanovic and Donna Vekic in her way, players who are showcasing great tennis on grass thus far but should still see underdog odds to Svit. The real question is under Svit’s section where Marta Kostyuk lies.

We’ve gotten great reads on Kostyuk’s form this season, but not for the grass courts. Kostyuk could go either way, with a very successful season but its unclear how it will translate on grass. Also, Emma Navarro faces Badosa in Round 1. If Navarro can get by Badosa, who is starting to play well again, she is a real threat to win the quarter with consistent tennis since Strasbourg.

Quarter 3 Pick: Elina Svitolina +450
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Emma Navarro +1600

Women’s Quarter 4

This quarter will be dictated by the form of Elena Rybakina, who despite losing four of six matches, has a great draw set in front of her to reach the quarterfinals. Her grass results this season have been shaky, so it’s difficult to trust that she’ll get the job done despite doing so in 2022. A dark horse in Marie Bouzkova also lies in her section, winning Nottingham and six of seven matches on grass this season. She also won Bogota, quietly taking two titles in 2026. Diana Shnaider, a lefty, also lies in this section but hasn’t come close to replicating her Roland Garros form on grass.

Above Lena are the real threats to winning the quarter, beginning with Eastbourne champion Madison Keys. Many are picking her to win this quarter following another stellar performance in Eastbourne. Maddy’s section is not easy, though, with Amanda Anisimova, Sorana Cirstea and Linda Noskova are. Of the three Noskova presents the biggest hurdle for Maddy reaching the quarterfinals with a Berlin trophy and tons of confidence entering. Anisimova’s injury situation is tough to trust at the moment, while Cirstea’s form has been nothing short of elite this season but her recent results and history on grass isn’t the best.

Quarter 4 Pick: Elena Rybakina +160
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Marie Bouzkova +2000

 

2026 Wimbledon Bets: Men’s Outright

2026 Wimbledon Bets: Women’s Outright

 

 

Photo Credit: AP/Michael Probst

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Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

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