Dallas Cowboys vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Player Props & Picks (10/16/23)

The Dallas Cowboys take on the Los Angeles Chargers in Monday Night Football (10/16/23). Get Cowboys vs. Chargers player prop best bets, including a search tool to aid odds shopping.

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Dallas Cowboys vs. Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Picks

Which players will decimate their player props in the Cowboys vs. Chargers game?

Keenan Allen Anytime TD (+135 FD)

Keenan Allen paces Los Angeles in red zone targets and is tied with Donald Parham Jr in receiving touchdowns. The veteran is turning in a career year so far, and he will be well-rested with Los Angeles coming off of a bye. 

Allen’s competition was slashed with Mike Williams’ season-ending injury, and rookie Quentin Johnston appears to be too raw to truly cut into Allen’s target share. Austin Ekeler’s return will force Dallas to overplay the line of scrimmage too, which opens up isolation opportunities for Los Angeles’ aerial weapons. 

Allen needs to score a touchdown about 42 percent of the time given the odds.

Donald Parham Jr Anytime TD (+450 Caesars)

Parham owns five red zone targets through four games, which ranks second on the Chargers behind only Keenan Allen. He’s also tied for the most receiving touchdowns with Allen, so it hasn’t been empty calories either. 

The 6’8” tight end is a massive jump-ball target, so Justin Herbert loves to throw it up to him in the end zone. He sprained his wrist earlier, but Parham turned in a full practice Thursday and Friday, so he’s good to go here against Dallas. 

Based on the odds, he needs to score a touchdown about 18 percent of the time.

CeeDee Lamb Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-110 DK)

The Oklahoma product has been quiet this season, as the last time he hit 71 receiving yards was week two. Lamb recently admitted his frustration with the offense and his role, but it’s a classic bounce back game here in what should be a shootout. 

Los Angeles is allowing 231.75 yards per game to opposing wide receivers, which easily ranks dead last across the NFL. The Chargers also sit at 28th in opponent dropback EPA per play, 25th in opponent dropback success rate, 27th in PFF’s coverage grade, and 29th in opponent net yards gained per pass attempt. Essentially, Lamb should run wild here against Los Angeles’ abysmal secondary. 

He needs to hit 71 yards about 52 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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