WNBA Best Player Prop Picks, Odds, Predictions for Thursday, July 9, 2026

We’re teed up for a big three-game slate Thursday night that features a pair of Amazon Prime matchups and plenty of the league’s brightest stars in action, including Angel Reese, Rhyne Howard and Caitlin Clark.

Be sure to also check out our daily WNBA betting trends page for odds, data and insights of every game.

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Thursday’s Best WNBA Player Props  

  • Angel Reese (ATL) – Over Rebounds
  • Kelsey Mitchell (IND) – Over 3-Pointers Made
  • Jackie Young (LVA) – Over Points + Assists

Angel Reese (ATL) – Over Rebounds

Reese has once again been dominant on the boards this season, averaging 11.8 rebounds per contest, including a career-high 5.4 offensive rebounds per game. The LSU product already has double-digit rebounds in 14 of 21 games, and she’s been knocking on the door in another four instances where she’s finished with nine boards. Of those 14 occasions, Reese has at least 11 boards in 12 of them, an excellent hit rate on this prop. Additionally, the opposing Storm makes for a good candidate to afford Reese another prolific night on the glass.

Seattle has surrendered the second-most rebounds per road game (47.5), and a league-high 80.6% defensive rebounding rate in that split. The Storm is also conceding the third-highest offensive rebounding rate when traveling (29.0%). What’s more, Sonia Roman’s squad has also surrendered the third-lowest opponent shooting percentage (42.4) — including a league-low 38.8% in the last three contests — which should set Reese up for her fair share of opportunities on the offensive glass.

Original line publish: 10.5

Kelsey Mitchell (IND) – Over 3-Pointers Made

Mitchell put on another offensive clinic in Wednesday’s loss to the Sparks, taking advantage of Los Angeles’ penchant for giving up efficient shooting performances to post 29 points on 9-for-18 shooting, including 5-for-9 from three-point range. The sharpshooting guard has now drained at least three treys in seven of the last eight games, including five straight. Mitchell has reached that threshold from distance in 10 of 21 contests overall, a very strong hit rate going into a favorable matchup.

The host Mercury has been the league’s most generous team in terms of three-point shooting allowed at home, where Phoenix has conceded a WNBA-high 38.9% success rate on a league-high 10.0 made threes per contest. Nate Tibbett’s squad is also giving up the third-most points per game to guards (48.5), along with a league-high 6.7 made threes per game to the position. While the Fever is on the second night of a back-to-back set, the metrics already cited and the fact Mitchell drained a season-best seven threes against Phoenix in one of her two prior games versus the Mercury (and three in the other) puts this prop firmly in play.

Original Line Publish: 2.5

Jackie Young (LVA) – Over Points + Assists

Young has seen a slight drop in efficiency from in front of the arc this season, but the veteran guard is still one of the WNBA’s most consistent scorers. Young is averaging 16.4 points on 45.6% shooting, but she’s actually improved her three-point shooting over that of her last two seasons by draining 36.7% of her attempts from behind the arc. She’s also been an appreciably better facilitator on the road, where she’s dishing out 7.7 assists compared to 5.3 per home contest. Young could be playing a third straight game without star teammates A’ja Wilson (leg) on Thursday, which naturally would only serve to brighten the former’s outlook.

Young is also averaging 26.6 points + assists across 34.8 minutes per game over the last 14 contests, a span where she’s shot 50.5%, including 42.2% from three-point range. Then, the opposing Fire presents as an attractive opponent for a player of Young’s offensive profile. Not only did Young record 28 points + assists in her one prior meeting with Portland on June 11, but the Fire is also giving up the third-highest shooting percentage (46.5) and a league-high 23.3 assists per contest, including a league-high 15.2 per game to guards specifically.

Original Line Publish: 23.5

 

Photo Credit: REUTERS

Post
Juan Carlos Blanco has been writing about fantasy sports and sports betting for over a decade, crafting a wide range of articles including those focused on picks, industry news and analysis, and personality profiles of others in those spaces. Juan Carlos’ work has appeared on leading sports, fantasy sports and sports betting sites including RotoWire, RotoBaller, The Gameday, TheLines.com, Legal Sports Report, CBS Sports, Yahoo Sports, NBA.com, Pro Football and Sports Network, Forbes and Lineups. Juan Carlos has covered an extensive number of sports leagues, including the NFL, NBA, MLB, CFL, USFL, XFL, UFL and BIG3 Basketball.

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