MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds for Wednesday, July 8, 2026
We got shut out again on Tuesday, as Riley Greene, Willson Contreras, and Kyle Tucker each failed to hit home runs. Let’s try to snap the cold streak with the Wednesday slate.
Today, we’re going with Seiya Suzuki, Cedric Mullins, and Teoscar Hernandez.
Remember to be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.
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2026 MLB HR Props Record: 59-231 (+0.42 units)
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Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Wednesday, July 8
Seiya Suzuki Home Run Odds
Seiya Suzuki is currently slashing .260/.343/.441 with 13 home runs in 321 plate appearances. It’s been an underwhelming first half of the season for Suzuki, as his barrel rate has plummeted from 16.6% to 9.0%. But this is a hitter who slugged 32 homers last year, so there’s enough of a track record to trust that he’ll get it going sooner than later.
Prior to his current 0-for-16 stretch, Suzuki had homered three times in his last six games, so he was slowly starting to get on track. I’ll take my chances on him homering in a hitter-friendly environment at Camden Yards tonight.
The Orioles are going with veteran right-hander Dean Kremer, who has had a major issue with the long ball this season, as highlighted by a 2.65 HR/9 and an 11.9% barrel rate.
It’s the ideal spot for Suzuki to hit No. 14 on the season. Risk 0.1 units.
Cedric Mullins Home Run Odds
Cedric Mullins is currently slashing .208/.289/.343 with 10 home runs in 304 plate appearances. It’s an ugly slash line, but the veteran outfielder has homered four times in his last 10 games, so he’s been in a nice groove at the plate recently.
As a left-handed hitter, Mullins is much better against righties (.174 ISO) than lefties (.016 ISO), so I’m willing to take a shot against Yankees right-hander Gerrit Cole, who has had issues with the long ball this season (1.69 HR/9, 8.6% barrel).
Mullins is quite familiar with Cole, homering once in 33 career plate appearances against him. That kind of familiarity, along with Mullins’ recent form at the plate, makes him worth a look at his current favorable price.
We’ll bet on Mullins to hit No. 11 in this spot. Risk 0.1 units.
Teoscar Hernandez Home Run Odds
Teoscar Hernandez is currently slashing .260/.335/.413 with eight home runs in 236 plate appearances. While these numbers don’t jump off the page for you, he still has a respectable 10.3% barrel rate.
Hernandez homered back on July 3rd, and I’ll take a shot on him going yard again vs. Rockies’ righty Gabriel Hughes, who is only likely to pitch around three innings in this appearance.
Hughes is completely unproven, plus Hernandez will have a chance to get to the Rockies’ abysmal bullpen.
At the time of this article, you can get Hernandez at longer than +400 odds to hit a home run, which is the kind of appealing price worth targeting in this exploitable matchup. Risk 0.1 units.
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