2025 RSM Classic Championship Odds & Betting Preview: Early Bets & Picks, Including Austin Eckroat
The FedEx fall swing has reached its end, as the final full-field PGA Tour event of 2025 brings us to Sea Island, Georgia, for the RSM Classic. It may not be the grandest finale, but plenty is at stake this week as fringe tour players vie for status and exemptions for the season to follow. Let’s review key course info and odds for the 2025 RSM Classic.
We’ve seen a very repeatable formula for yearly contenders at the RSM Classic. Keep the ball in play off the tee, hit greens in regulation, and make putts.
That’s the standard formula for most fall swing birdie-fests. But, if Sea Island has a unique identity, it’s its exposure to the wind and the removal of any real distance advantage. This week, I’m looking most closely at players who excel in approach proximity from 100-175 yards, birdies or better gained, SG: TOT on comp short, easy, coastal courses, and SG: P (Bermuda).
Let’s get into the key facts and info about the Sea Island Resort Seaside and Plantation courses before betting on RSM Classic golf odds.
RSM Classic Championship Odds: The Favorites
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RSM Classic Odds: Field At A Glance
We’re not exactly going out with a bang here in the final event of the 2025 FedEx fall swing. However, the field in store for the RSM Classic has still shown a marked improvement over the international events in recent weeks. Sea Island local and 2025 Ryder Cupper, Harris English headlines, making his first and only start of the Fall Swing since the festivities at Bethpage. That leads a common theme of Sea Island locals who love coming back to this event regardless of their need for FedEx Fall points.
Ten other OWGR top-50 golfers will tee it up in Sea Island this week, making this one of the most competitive events of the 2025 FedEx fall swing. In addition to English, Brian Harman, Andrew Novak, Michael Brennan, JT Poston, Si Woo Kim, Daniel Berger, and Denny McCarthy headline as the favorites.
Sea Island, which sits midway between Savannah and Jacksonville, has been a hotbed for PGA Tour talent. This week’s field will be full of locals familiar with Sea Island Resort. Some notables include Harris English, Keith Mitchell, JT Poston, Kevin Kisner, Patton Kizzire, Brian Harman, Will Gordon, Andrew Novak, Davis Thompson, and Greyson Sigg.
The previous two RSM Classic champions seem to have moved on to bigger and better things, as Maverick McNealy and Ludvig Aberg will both be absent this week Adam Svensson, Robert Streb, Tyler Duncan, Austin Cook, Mackenzie Hughes, Kevin Kisner, and Chris Kirk will all return to tee it up.
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Introduction To Sea Island Resort
Sea Island Resort is a popular destination for amateur and professional golfers alike. It features two 18-hole courses, both of which will be used in rotation for the RSM Classic. The field of 156 will rotate between the Seaside and Plantation courses on Thursday and Friday. After the first two days, the top 65 and ties will advance. All remaining players will play the weekend on the Seaside Course.
As with Torrey Pines’ rotation of the North and South courses, players must capitalize on their one round on the Plantation Course this week. It plays to a scoring average of 1.6 under par, while Seaside averages 0.9 under par. Davis Love III led a renovation project in 2019 to help add a bit more bite to the Plantation Course. However, it still remains a layout upon which PGA Tour players have continued to feast. It is generally protected from the coastal winds and has four par 5s at just 7,060 yards in total.
The Seaside Course is the only one of the two equipped with ShotLink data, and three out of four rounds this week will be played there. So, we won’t focus much on Plantation beyond the baseline understanding that players can attack aggressively and stockpile birdies in easy scoring conditions.
How It Breaks Down
The Seaside Course stands at 7,005 yards as a par 70 with two par 5s, four par 3s, and 12 par 4s. Of those par 4s, 10 will play under 450 yards, which has led to a very repeatable track record from accurate players, particularly those who excel on approach from the sweet spot of 100-175 yards.
There is not a “beast” of a hole at Sea Island. The most difficult scoring hole is the 442-yard par-4 14th, which averages just 0.1 strokes over par. That means a continuation of easy scoring conditions is expected, with putting contests being the norm in the fall swing. In total, 15 holes feature a scoring average of even or below.
Sea Island’s best defense is, without a doubt, the wind, given its exposure to the Atlantic coastline. Wind is the most unpredictable weather condition, so it’s difficult to say how much of an influence it will have on the tournament at this week’s stage. However, referencing ball-striking performance on comparable short coastal courses has proven a strong indicator of success.
Traits And Recent Notable Facts
However you look to slice it, Sea Island Resort has one of the easiest layouts on the PGA Tour. It is relatively defenseless without intervention from extreme weather conditions. Over the last five years, it has ranked in the bottom five in course yardage, driving accuracy difficulty, putting difficulty, and around-the-green difficulty (from the bunkers and rough).
The fairways measure among the widest on the PGA Tour. But a steep penalty for wayward drives exists with water in play on 14 holes. This has favored more accurate drivers despite the wide landing areas. The Bermuda greens are large and fast at Sea Island, which has historically placed more of a premium on three-putt avoidance and favored strong long-term putters on pure Bermuda grass.
In short, it’s a bona fide second-shot course setup that will favor players strongest on approach from 100-175 yards who can keep a hot putter over four days.
Sea Island Resort Seaside And Plantation Course Specs
- Yards (SS): 7,005
- Yards (P): 7,060
- Par (SS): 70 (4x 3s / 12x 4s / 2x 5s)
- Par (P): 72 (4x 3s / 10x 4s / 4x 5s)
- Greens (both): Bermuda
- Architect (SS): Tom Fazio
- Architect (P): Davis Love III (2019 redesign)
- Historical cut line: -5
- Median four-round score: -7 (’22), -9 (’21), E (’20), -9 (’19), -7 (’18)
- Comp courses: Waialae CC, Pebble Beach, El Camaleon, Port Royal, Sedgefield CC, Harbour Town, TPC Summerlin, Stadium Course
- Recent winners: Maverick McNealy -22 (‘24), Ludvig Aberg -29 (’23), Adam Svensson -19 (’23) Talor Gooch -22 (’22), Robert Streb -19 (’21), Tyler Duncan -11 (’20)
- Hole-by-hole breakdown:
Course History And Course Comps
The top 10 in this field in terms of total strokes gained at the RSM Classic is as follows [UPDATE]: Mackenzie Hughes, Eric Cole, Webb Simpson, Michael Thorbjornsen, Austin Eckroat, Chandler Phillips, Will Gordon, Matthew NeSmith, Daniel Berger, and Patrick Rodgers. That list presents a very clear bias toward the Sea Island locals who are more familiar with these coastal Bermuda conditions.
Course Comps
Whenever we travel to a sub-7,200-yard course, we see the same usual suspects rise to the top of leaderboards. It’s always a good idea to start the weekly research by referencing performances on other recent short courses.
In my opinion, Waialae CC is the clear top comp course for Sea Island Resort. Unlike the other short courses, it is the only one that shares all the same characteristics: Bermuda grass, easy scoring conditions, open exposure to coastal winds, and high overlap of crossover performance.
In addition to Waialae CC, I’m looking to Harbour Town, Sedgefield CC, and Stadium Course as short Bermuda comps. From a short and coastal/windy perspective, I’ll also look to Pebble Beach, El Camaleon, Port Royal, and TPC Summerlin.
Combine performance across this list, and the top 10 players in comp course history here are Daniel Berger, JT Poston, Brian Harman, Eric Cole, Mark Hubbard, Denny McCarthy, Mac Meissner, Adam Svensson, Patrick Fishburn, and Austin Eckroat.
Key Stats To Consider Before Betting RSM Classic Odds
- SG: APP
- Prox: 100-175
- Fairways gained
- GIRs gained
- Birdies or better gained
- Par 4 scoring / P4: 400-450
- SG: P (Fast Bermuda)
- SG: TOT (Easy Scoring Conditions)
- SG: T2G (<7,200 Yard Courses)
- Course and comp course history
It’s a fairly simple formula for success this week, so the ideal player pool I’m looking to focus on should rank above-average in course and comp course history, SG: APP, birdies or better gained, SG: TOT (easy scoring conditions), prox: 100-175, and weighted putting. Eleven players fit that criteria, and I’ll be interested in all of them when the odds come out on Monday. Matt Kuchar, Taylor Montgomery, Mac Meissner, Nico Echavarria, Patrick Rodgers, Victor Perez, Mark Hubbard, Austin Eckroat, Lanto Griffin, Seamus Power, and Patton Kizzire fit the bill.
Player Spotlight: Austin Eckroat
Nobody elevates their baseline on windy, coastal resort setups quite like Austin Eckroat. The two-time PGA TOUR winner has picked up each of his victories last season at the Cognizant Classic and World Wide Technologies Championship, leaning on his ball-striking skill to consistently execute flighted shots in the teeth of gusting winds.
It remains to be seen whether Sea Island will be as impacted by weather as last week’s Bermuda Championship; however, even if just for intermittent gusts, Eckroat has plenty of experience in these conditions to draw confidence from.
A top-20 finisher in each of his last two RSM Classic appearances, Eckroat ranks No. 5 in the field in terms of Course History and top-10 in Comp Course History as well. It’s been an up-and-down season, but with two top-11 finishes over his last seven starts, his upside is worth chasing at this discounted price.
2025 RSM Classic: Player Pool And Model Results
With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool. Naturally, I’m also looking their way in PGA Tour odds. I’ve broken the list by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings.
Model Breakdown
In my model, I’m emphasizing SG: APP, SG: TOT (easy scoring conditions), birdies or better gained, and comp course history, followed by a more balanced mix of par-4: 400-450, prox: 100-175, SG: T2G (<7,200-yard courses), good drives gained and SG: P (L36 + Bermuda).
Model Favorites
This week, an interesting riser atop my model is seasoned veteran Matt Kuchar, who claims No. 1 honors. Kuchar’s game resembles that of many other accurate plodders who have found repeated success here, such as Webb Simpson, Kevin Kisner, or Chris Kirk. He’s quietly put together a great Fall Swing campaign, which includes three top-20 finishes over four starts. He’s at his best on short, easy, Bermuda courses, and looks poised to end the season on a high note.
After Kuchar, the rest of my model’s top 10 features Denny McCarthy, Vince Whaley, Taylor Montgomery, Chris Kirk, Mac Meissner, Eric Cole, Matt Wallace, Nico Echavarria, and Patrick Rodgers.
When the odds open on Monday, I’ll look to build a longer card of exposure, beginning with players like Matt Kuchar, Eric Cole, and Austin Eckroat. Check back later this week for more updates, and best of luck betting on RSM Classic odds!
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