Get Cowboys Vs. Giants player prop picks & odds for the (9/10/23) matchup.
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Cowboys vs Giants Player Prop Picks
On Sunday night, we’ll see the Cowboys travel to MetLife stadium to face their heated division rival Giants. In this article, you can find some player prop selections to consider for this game. Be sure to check out the Lineups YouTube channel for further discussion of player props for several NFL games this week.
The Sunday Night Football matchup this week should be fascinating, and there’s some intriguing value to be found on the board for player props. Early in the season, we don’t have strong numbers to back up usage trends for players on new teams, but that can create betting opportunities to take advantage of. Let’s see if we can find some of those in this week’s Sunday Night game.
Dak Prescott to Throw an Interception (-105 DraftKings)
The Giants have given Dak Prescott a difficult time in recent matchups as he’s thrown five interceptions across the last five meetings against New York. That includes last season when he threw two interceptions against the Giants.
I believe this matchup presents some opportunities for that to happen again. Giants defensive coordinator Don “Wink” Martindale is known for sending exotic blitzes at opposing quarterbacks and it worked against Dallas last year – the Giants pressured Prescott on 64.5% of his dropbacks in their lone meeting.
The Giants didn’t have their full starting defensive line on the field much last year, but all four guys are now healthy, and that will create opportunities to put pressure on Prescott. That will be especially true if Mike McCarthy commits to the run on early downs, putting Prescott in third-and-long situations.
The concern here is that the Cowboys will be a much more run-heavy team under McCarthy, and they might not be as aggressive in the passing game without Kellen Moore. Those two factors would move this to a half unit bet rather than a full unit, but I do believe Prescott throws a pick in this game.
Brandin Cooks Under 3.5 Receptions (+110 DraftKings)
The Cowboys landing Brandin Cooks was one of the more underrated offseason moves, and he’ll fill an important role for this team as a vertical field stretcher. However, I don’t expect him to be a high-volume player, at least early in his tenure with his new team.
CeeDee Lamb had a 28.7% target share last season and Michael Gallup is now fully healthy – he has existing chemistry with Prescott and could be next in the pecking order. If Cooks is primarily running deep routes like I expect, that’s not conducive to high volume, especially against New York’s blitz-heavy defense that will force Prescott into faster throws.
Cooks went over this number in 11 of 13 games last season, but the Texans’ next two leading receivers were Chris Moore and Rex Burkhead. As one of the worst teams in the league, Houston was also often in a negative game script. Now, Cooks finds himself with significant target competition on a team that will likely be run-heavy on early downs.
I absolutely love that you can get plus money on this prop as I believe it’s not corrected to Cooks’s current situation. I wouldn’t play Cooks’s receiving yardage prop as he’ll be liable to pick up chunk yardage downfield – I just don’t see him finishing with 4+ catches.
Darren Waller Anytime Touchdown (+195 Caesars)
It’s important to have access to multiple sportsbooks to always find the best number, but that might be the most true for touchdown props. As I’m writing this article, I see Darren Waller priced as high as +195 to score a touchdown and as low as +135 on FanDuel. That’s a huge odds discrepancy that will impact your profitability in the long run.
Waller was a prized offseason acquisition for the Giants, and I’m expecting big things for him with Brian Daboll calling plays. Daboll is one of the best coaches in the league at making lemon out of lemonade, and Waller is far from a lemon – he’s one of the most talented tight ends in the NFL.
The Giants were excellent in the red zone last season, ranking first in success rate and EPA, but the Cowboys have had all offseason to study what was successful for them inside the 20. I expect Waller to be used as a foil to Dallas’s plans, and he could become Daniel Jones’s top target in the red zone this year.
Waller has struggled to stay on the field in recent years, but he scored nine touchdowns in 2020, his lone Pro Bowl season with the Raiders. I expect a resurgence from him this season, and I see plenty of value in this number to take a half-unit shot here.