Get Detroit Lions Vs. Kansas City Chiefs player prop picks & odds for the (9/7/23) matchup.
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Detroit Lions vs. Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Picks
The Lions and Chiefs kick off this Thursday at 8:20PM ET in Arrowhead stadium to open up the NFL season. With explosive weapons on offense for both units in this contest, overs may be worth a look via the player prop market.
Jahmyr Gibbs o28.5 Rec Yards
While it’s not the safest bet to target rookies in week one, Gibbs receiving yards brings intrigue as he is going to be featured heavily in the pass game. Offensive Coordinator Ben Johnson has already been vocal about his expanded role, saying that he will be used in multiple ways across the offense.
Update: #Lions OC Ben Johnson says the team will use 1st round pick rookie RB Jahmyr Gibbs "In some ways that people don’t quite think we might."
While the Lions also have David Montgomery, it is very possible Gibbs sees playing time on all three downs and playing both RB and… pic.twitter.com/N49xSJgjnr
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) September 3, 2023
His ability to make the play in the open field will generate yards after the catch, exposing the weak second level of the Chiefs defense. With Goff showing a tendency to struggle on the road and outdoors, the amount of checkdowns and dump offs increases as he looks to get the ball out in a pinch.
Amon-Ra St. Brown o6.5 Receptions
Amon-Ra St Brown has quickly transformed himself into a potential superstar as he leads this Lions offense as their number one target. A machine across the middle, excelling at creating space with his route running and giving Jared Goff an easy target to throw to while also racking up yards after the catch.
The Chiefs secondary is dealing with injuries and star defensive tackle Chris Jones is still holding out until he gets a new contract. The Chiefs pass rush will take a mighty hit should he miss this game, giving Goff plenty of time in the pocket to hit St Brown in stride.
With Jameson Williams out, his target share will need to be spread with the Lions proven weapons. LaPorta will look to steal some of it away in the Chiefs second level but until I see how he’s integrated into the offense then this is Brown’s share to gain.
Isiah Pacheco o54.5 Rushing Yards
The Detroit Lions did a lot of things right this offseason but improving their rush defense on the defensive line was not one of them. This was a major area of concern that was exposed late in the year by the Carolina Panthers in a must win game for their playoff hopes. The Panthers averaged over 10 yards per rush all the way through the middle of the third quarter, routinely gashing the Lions rush defense.
Isiah Pacheco has separated himself as the Chiefs starting running back with an impressive second half of the season last year. He comes into this one with the potential to burst right out of the gate and hold on to his role as the Lions struggle to generate a push in the interior.
Should Pacheco get in the open space, explosive plays may come plenty as the Lions second level is still underwhelming. Drafting Jack Campbell may serve as an immediate improvement as an open field tackler who possesses an elite nose for the ball, but a rookie cannot change a near bottom of the barrel Def Rush DVOA ranking. With the Chiefs crafty play designs, expect the Lions to struggle making the right read as Pacheco gets out in the open field.
David Montgomery Anytime Touchdown
While the Lions made a splash in free agency, their best move of the offseason came by retaining their OC Ben Johnson. Since Johnson arrived, the Lions offense has turned into a well-oiled machine and finished well above average in Off DVOA.
A majority of that success came with how Johnson ran the ground game in compliments to their pass attack. By forcing the opposing second level to scramble with their efficient short game, this opened up holes for the Lions running backs to exploit.
Gone is Jamaal who led the NFL in rushing touchdowns, but in comes David Montgomery who is expected to transition right into that role. Expect Montgomery to get plenty of looks in the red zone, bulldozing his way up the middle against a weak Chiefs interior defense.