MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds for Tuesday, June 16, 2026

We made a small profit on Monday, as Eugenio Suarez went yard, making up for losses on Kyle Schwarber and Hunter Goodman. Let’s continue to build on this with another winning night on the Tuesday slate.

Today, we’re going with Bo Bichette, Matt Chapman, and Jackson Chourio. Each of these hitters has a good matchup, making it feel like the right spot to ride with them.

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2026 MLB HR Props Record: 47-182 (+1.15 units) 

Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Tuesday, June 16

Bo Bichette Home Run Odds

Bo Bichette is slashing .245/.290/.372 with eight home runs in 314 plate appearances. It’s been a disappointing start to his Mets career, but there are reasons to be encouraged right now. That’s because Bichette is finally on a hot streak, going 10-for-22 with three home runs in his last five games.

Up next is a good spot at Great American Ball Park, which is one of the most hitter-friendly environments in MLB. The pitching matchup is great as well, as Brady Singer is on the mound for the Reds. Singer is putting up a 5.81 xERA and a 2.51 HR/9 this season. The veteran right-hander has given up a combined seven home runs in his last three home starts.

With how red-hot Bichette has been at the plate, this feels like the right time to hop on board this train. Bet on Bichette to hit No. 9 tonight. Risk 0.1 units.

Matt Chapman Home Run Odds

Matt Chapman is currently slashing .261/.348/.414 with seven home runs in 299 plate appearances. While the overall numbers look underwhelming, he’s really turned his season around lately. The veteran third baseman is slashing .415/.519/.902 with six of his seven home runs in June.

I’ll bet on Chapman to keep the good times rolling in a game against Braves’ right-hander Grant Holmes, who is giving up a 4.61 xERA and a 1.76 HR/9 in 66.2 innings this season. Holmes has fallen on hard times of late, allowing six home runs in his last four starts.

With Chapman one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now, it’s a good time to take a shot on him to hit his eighth home run of the season, especially with Holmes struggling on the mound. Risk 0.1 units.

Jackson Chourio Home Run Odds

Jackson Chourio has been phenomenal since returning from injury, slashing .322/.370/.572 with nine home runs in 165 plate appearances. He’s been absolutely crushing the ball, bumping up his barrel rate from 9.7% to 15.9%. In his last five games, he has five home runs, including two against the Phillies on June 13th.

Up next is a matchup against Guardians’ right-hander Slade Cecconi, who has a 4.49 xERA and a 1.24 HR/9 on the season. It’s a good spot for Chourio to keep his hot streak going.

This looks like the classic case of an elite, young talent putting it all together in his third year, coming off a disappointing season by his standards. Chourio seems to be leveling up, becoming one of the best hitters in the sport. Let’s ride with him here. Risk 0.1 units.

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Photo Credit: AP/Kayla Wolf