NBA Best Player Prop Picks, Odds, Predictions for Monday, May 11, 2026
After an eventful Sunday in the NBA Playoffs that saw the Knicks run away with their series finale against the 76ers and the Timberwolves tie their series against the Spurs thanks in part to Victor Wembanyama’s early ejection, we’re set for another pair of Game 4 clashes Monday.
In a similar scenario to Sunday, we have one team in the Cavaliers looking to knot up their series at 2-2, while the Thunder are in position to pull off a sweep of the Lakers. As customary, we have a trio of player props that we’re focusing on for tonight’s action.
Also, be sure to check out our daily NBA betting trends page for odds and data on every game.
Monday’s Best NBA Player Props
- Jarrett Allen (CLE) – Over Points + Rebounds
- Duncan Robinson (DET) – Over Points + Rebounds
- Rui Hachimura (LAL) – Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
2026 Playoff Prop Bet Tracker: 43-24 (+15.13 units)
Jarrett Allen (CLE) – Over Points + Rebounds
Allen has dealt with a tough on-paper matchup throughout the first three games of this series, but the veteran big man has proven up to the challenge over the last pair of contests in particular. Allen is averaging 25.5 points + rebounds — along with 2.0 assists, 1.5 blocks and 1.0 steals — across 31.5 minutes per game in that span, shooting 77.8% from the field and 70.6% from the free-throw line in the process.
Allen did get hit with nine fouls over the first two games of the series before drawing the whistle just once in Game 3, and he continues to sport a relatively modest line for Monday’s critical battle. Allen is seeing a solid 15.4 rebounding opportunities per game this postseason, and he’s gone 4-1 to the Over on the 19.5 number since Game 6 of the first-round series against the Raptors. With Allen having proven capable of holding his own versus Jalen Duren down low, he’s in play again Monday.
Original Line Publish: 19.5
Duncan Robinson (DET) – Over Points + Rebounds
Robinson has consistently provided solid complementary production since the latter portion of the seven-game first-round series against the Magic, averaging 14.5 points, 3.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 2.2 steals across 33.0 minutes over the last six games. The veteran wing has shot an elite 46.9% from three-point line on 8.2 attempts per game from behind the arc, and he’s cleared this 13.5 PR line in all six contests, as well as in Game 2 of the first-round series versus Orlando.
Robinson has now scored in double digits in six consecutive games, and he’s pulled in at least three rebounds in all but one contest during that span. Going back to the regular season, Robinson is averaging 14.1 points + rebounds per game in seven total contests versus the Cavaliers, even when factoring in a trio of modest eight-point efforts. Cleveland is now allowing a robust 41.8% success from three-point range over the last three games as well, with Robinson having a big hand in that by shooting 58.3% from distance in that span.
Original Line Publish: 13.5
Rui Hachimura (LAL) – Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
Hachimura has done a good job of picking up some of the slack in the prolonged absence of Luka Doncic, and even though his efforts have still left the Lakers way short of what they’ve needed to take at least one game from the Thunder during the first three contests of the series, he’s delivered some strong individual numbers. The floor-spacing forward has enjoyed a hot hand for a prolonged stretch, averaging 16.6 points, 4.4 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 1.0 steals on 56.2% shooting, including 58.8% from three-point range, over his last 14 games dating back to April 5.
As far as the current series is concerned, Hachimura is averaging 22.0 points + rebounds while shooting 54.1%, including 57.1% from three-point range. He’s averaging a solid 12.3 field-goal attempts per contest in that span as well, and his usage should remain relatively elevated Monday as the Lakers try to stave off elimination. Then, it’s worth noting no squad in the original 16-team playoff field has given up more made threes per road contest since the start of the regular season than the Thunder, who are now allowing 14.6 per game in that split and have conceded 12 overall to Hachimura in the first three games of the series.
Original Line Publish: 19.5
Photo Credit: AP/Sue Ogrocki
