NBA Best Player Prop Picks, Odds, Predictions for Tuesday, May 12, 2026
We’re down to just one game Tuesday, but it’s a doozy of a Game 5 between the Timberwolves and Spurs as the series shifts back to Frost Bank Center.
Given three of the first four games of the series have been highly competitive and it’s a pivotal juncture in the series, we have three player props involving key components of either side to break down.
Also, be sure to check out our daily NBA betting trends page for odds and data on every game.
Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Props
- Naz Reid (MIN) – Over Points + Rebounds
- Anthony Edwards (MIN) – Over Points + Rebounds
- Stephon Castle (SAO) – Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
2026 Playoff Prop Bet Tracker: 44-26 (+14.04 units)
Naz Reid (MIN) – Over Points + Rebounds
Reid has been a highly dependable member of the Timberwolves’ second unit for years, and that continues holding true this postseason. The veteran big man has contributed 22.5 PR across 28.5 minutes per contest over the first four games of the series while shooting 52.5%, including 47.4% from three-point range. Reid also provided 22.7 PR over 28.7 minutes per game in the final three installments of the first-round series against the Nuggets, so the resume to support to the notion of the Over on the 18.5 is certainly there.
Reid’s second-unit role gives him occasional opportunity to avoid Victor Wembanyama, and the former’s floor-spacing talents also allow him to make plenty of noise from all over the floor. Reid is also helping his cause by being very efficient with his rebounding opportunities, converting the 11.8 per contest he’s seeing at an elevated 64.4% clip. Reid’s also put up double-digit shot attempts in each of the last two games as well, so if those numbers carry over, he’ll have a very strong chance of pushing his record on the Over against this number to 7-1 over his last eight games.
Original Line Publish: 18.5
Anthony Edwards (MIN) – Over Points + Rebounds
Edwards has looked back to himself the last two games, and the results on the stat sheet have been stellar. The star guard averaged 44.0 points + rebounds across 40.5 minutes over Games 3 and 4, shooting 52.1%, including 42.9% from three-point range. The surge suggests Edwards’s knee issues are mostly behind him, or at least a lot more manageable. With the series now knotted at 2-2, it’s a virtual certainty Edwards will remain similarly aggressive Tuesday.
Edwards has averaged 24.0 field-goal attempts per game over the last pair of contests, which is far more in line with his regular-season number (20.2) than what he’d put up in the first two games of the series (13.0 per contest). Edwards has also recorded 20 rebounds over the last two games, and with an additional day of rest and the stakes at hand, it’s not difficult to imagine him getting to at least 33 points + rebounds while facing a team he averaged 39.7 points + rebounds against in his first three-regular season meetings with.
Original Line Publish: 32.5
Stephon Castle (SAO) – Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
The Spurs’ backcourt could be short-handed Tuesday, as De’Aaron Fox is listed as questionable with an ankle injury. That naturally has the potential to be a boon for Castle’s prospects, and this 29.5 PRA line will naturally only climb if Fox is eventually ruled out. However, this is a manageable number for the talented wing under any circumstance, considering he’s averaging 29.3 points + rebounds + assists across 32.6 minutes while shooting 40.5% from three-point range in nine postseason games to date.
Castle has a 27.8% usage rate with Fox off the floor since the start of the regular season, along with 37.1 points + rebounds + assists per 36 minutes. The 2024 fourth overall pick is also shooting 40% from behind the arc over the first four games of the series, and Castle has encouraging seen his field-goal-attempt totals go from eight to 10 to 11 to 17 over that span, all with Fox alongside him. Therefore, we can consider this number for Castle under any circumstance, especially considering he averaged 29.7 points + rebounds + assists across 30.3 minutes per contest at home during the regular season.
Original Line Publish: 29.5
Photo Credit: AP/Abbie Parr
