NFL Anytime Touchdown Odds & Best Bets (10/1/23): Week 4 Anytime TD Expert Picks & Predictions

Get Anytime Touchdown player prop picks & odds for the (10/1/23) NFL Sunday slate.

Anytime Touchdown Player Prop Picks

Check out below for Week Four Anytime Touchdown best bets. In this prop, the goal is to select a player who scores at least one rushing or receiving touchdown at any point in the game (passing touchdowns do not count for QBs). 

Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown (-130 DK)

Tyreek Hill paces the NFL in reception touchdowns while ranking second in PFF’s expected reception touchdowns, second in red zone targets, and first in inside the ten-yard-line targets. His scoring volume has been tremendous, and he shows no sign of slowing down with Mike McDaniel as the main strategist. The Dolphins are utilizing pre-snap motion more than any team in history, and the creativity is off the charts. Combine the head start and deception with Hill’s speed, and he’s essentially unguardable. There’s a reason Hill is on pace for 2,334 yards and 22 touchdowns. This matchup against Buffalo should be a shootout, so Hill likely sees plenty of opportunities. 

Keenan Allen Anytime Touchdown (+105 FD)

Injuries have hampered Keenan Allen in recent years, but he’s finally healthy and subsequently shredding defenses. Allen leads the NFL at 32 receptions, which has resulted in 402 yards and two touchdowns. Fellow receiver and red zone target Mike Williams was lost for the season last week, so Allen’s volume will increase across the board. 

The Chargers battle a horrible Raiders secondary that ranks 29th in opponent dropback Expected Points Added per Play, 23rd in PFF’s coverage grade, and has allowed the second most touchdowns to wide receivers. Look for Justin Herbert and Keenan Allen to absolutely terrorize Las Vegas on Sunday.  

Jake Ferguson Anytime Touchdown (+300 DK)

With Sam LaPorta and Travis Kelce dominating tight end headlines, Jake Ferguson hasn’t received enough praise. He leads the NFL in inside the ten-yard-line targets and red zone targets while sitting eighth in PFF”s expected reception touchdowns. Dak Prescott has a history of heavily utilizing tight ends (Jason Witten, Dalton Schultz), so Ferguson’s volume doesn’t appear to be flukey. 

Dallas also faces a Patriots defense that is holding opponents to 3.6 yards per rush and trots out elite cornerbacks. Therefore, Tony Pollard and CeeDee Lamb will find it difficult to score compared to 6’5” Jake Ferguson. 

Alexander Mattison Anytime Touchdown (-105 FD)

Mattison ranks third in the NFL in PFF’s expected rushing plus receiving touchdowns, although he hasn’t produced given subpar efficiency and vision. However, Mattison can get on track this game against a Panthers defense that ranks 31st in opponent rush Expected Points Added per Play, 23rd in PFF’s run defense grade, 21st in opponent yards per rush, and 29th in opponent rushing touchdowns. The Panthers recently lost linebacker Shaq Thompson to injury too, so the unit projects to be even weaker. 

New acquisition Cam Akers will eventually hoard a large chunk of rushing attempts, but his volume is still murky at this point. As of now, this backfield still belongs to Mattison, and the Vikings should have no problem achieving red zone opportunities here. 

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2021-22 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs about analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions and NBA Analysis Network.

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