NFL Anytime Touchdown Odds & Best Bets (9/24/23): Week 3 Anytime TD Expert Picks & Predictions

Get Anytime Touchdown player prop picks & odds for the (9/24/23) NFL Sunday slate.

Anytime Touchdown Player Prop Picks

Check out below for Week Three Anytime Touchdown best bets. In this prop, the goal is to select a player who scores at least one rushing or receiving touchdown at any point in the game (passing touchdowns do not count for QBs). 

Tyreek Hill Anytime Touchdown (-115 FD)

Along with ranking top five in targets, receptions, and yards, Hill leads the NFL in red zone targets and inside the ten-yard-line targets. Hill also paces the Dolphins in First Read Target Share per Ryan Heath of Fantasy Points. In summation, his usage is absurd. Hill’s unstoppable speed and contested catch prowess are lethal when combined with coach Mike McDaniel’s innovative offense, so he’s a threat no matter the defender. 

Broncos cornerback Patrick Surtain II is a tough individual matchup, but the remainder of Denver’s secondary has bled explosive plays all season. Look for Hill’s speed and McDaniel’s creativity to get him open here. He must score about 53 percent of the time based on the odds for the bet to have a positive expected value.

Travis Etienne Jr Anytime Touchdown (-110 DK)

Houston’s run defense has been awful in recent years, and this season is no exception. They are allowing 4.3 yards per rush, the most rushing touchdowns per game and rank dead last in PFF’s run defense grade. Houston gave up the second most red zone rushing touchdowns last season and the fourth fewest passing touchdowns, so look for Jacksonville to exploit this weakness. 

They have no issue feeding Etienne the football, as he had the tenth most red zone touches among running backs last year. Etienne remains as explosive as ever too; per PFF, Etienne is 8th in missed tackles forced and 12th in yards after contact per attempt (min. 20 attempts). He must score a touchdown about 52 percent of the time.

Joshua Kelley Anytime Touchdown (-140 BMGM)

With Austin Ekeler injured, Kelley is the featured back in this offense. Kelley didn’t find much room last week against an elite Titans defensive line, but the UCLA product has an excellent matchup here. This VIkings defense ranks 31st in PFF’s run defense grade while allowing the fourth most rushing yards per game and the sixth most rushing touchdowns per game. Justin Herbert and the Chargers should frequently reach the red zone in a projected shootout, so Kelley will have plenty of chances to score a touchdown here. He must do so about 58 percent of the time based on the odds.

Kenneth Walker III Anytime Touchdown (-115 DK)

Although Seattle drafted Zach Charbonnet in the second round, Walker still commands this backfield. He ranks third in red zone attempts behind only Tony Pollard and Kyren Williams, and Walker also ranks third in inside the ten-yard-line attempts. His usage in scoring opportunities is excellent, and the matchup is ideal. 

Carolina grades as the 22nd best run defense per PFF, and they have allowed the second most rushing touchdowns per game. Linebacker Shaq Thompson is out for Carolina, which should only boost Walker’s chances of reaching the end zone. Factor in the Panthers’ solid secondary, and it’s a Kenneth Walker day. He needs to score about 53 percent of the time.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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