The Carolina Panthers face the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday (9/24/23) in an NFC showdown. In this article, find the latest player prop odds for the Panthers vs. Seahawks game as well as player prop picks featuring Geno Smith, Adam Thielen, and Tyler Lockett.
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Carolina Panthers vs. Seattle Seahawks Player Prop Picks
The Seahawks earned a huge win after a frustrating loss to the Rams in Week 1 while the Panthers remain 0-2. While I like the Panthers to cover +6.5 in this game, we’re talking player props here, and I see a few with value on the board. Let’s dive in.
Geno Smith Over 0.5 Interceptions (+115 BetMGM)
After a brutal Week 1 outing, it was nice to see Geno Smith bounce back in Week 2 against the Lions. However, things get much tougher for Smith this week against a Carolina defense that boasts one of the best coordinators in the NFL, Ejiro Evero. Last year, Evero was the coordinator for one of the best defenses in the NFL in Denver.
Evero’s defense is already working in Carolina, as they’ve held opponents to the 10th-lowest passer rating in the league. This nasty defensive line could do work against Seattle as tackles Charles Cross and Abraham Lucas remain out while guards Damien Lewis and Phil Haynes are listed as questionable.
Smith was a player I had pegged for negative regression in the turnover department. His 31 turnover-worthy plays were the second-most in the NFL last year per PFF, and he should have had more than the 12 interceptions he ended up with. Under pressure in this game, I like the plus money on Smith to throw a pick here.
Adam Thielen Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-120 Caesars)
While he’s certainly not in his prime anymore, Adam Thielen is the Panthers’ WR1, and the books aren’t pricing him as such. Bryce Young leaned on him last week as Thielen had a 27.3% target share against the Saints. He wasn’t efficient with those targets, and the 6.4-yard aDOT is gross, but the targets are there.
The Seahawks are dealing with multiple injuries in their secondary right now. Cornerbacks Tariq Woolen and Coby Bryant are listed as questionable, as are safeties Jamal Adams, Quandre Diggs, and Julian Love. If any of those defenders are out, it would make an already struggling Seattle pass defense even worse.
While Andy Dalton will start over Bryce Young in this game, I don’t mind that for Thielen’s prospects. Dalton is a veteran quarterback who is probably better than Young at this stage of Young’s career. Thielen isn’t what he used to be, but I trust him to finish this game with over 35.5 receiving yards.
Tyler Lockett Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-115 Caesars)
After just ten receiving yards in Week 1, Tyler Lockett came through with 59 yards against the Lions last week. I expect more production here given the type of defense the Panthers run. Carolina is a very zone-heavy defense, which favors Lockett, who has a 20% target share against zone per Derek Brown of Fantasy Pros.
While the Panthers’ defensive line was in full force on Monday night, they allowed the Saints’ Chris Olave to bust loose for 86 yards and Rashid Shaheed to hit 63 yards. Lockett has a similar physical profile to those players and excels as a downfield target like those two do. Lockett could get a big play at some point in this game.
With Jaycee Horn out for the Panthers, their set of cornerbacks isn’t as strong as it looked at the outset of the season. Carolina’s defensive scheme remains strong, but Lockett is a phenomenal downfield receiver, and I like his opportunity in this game.