Seattle Seahawks Vs. Detroit Lions NFL Player Props & Picks (9/17/23)
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Neither of these teams walked away from week one with the result the public was expecting, but the Detroit Lions, who knocked off the defending champion Kansas City Chiefs, are much happier about that than the Seattle Seahawks, who got obliterated at home by a very mediocre LA Rams squad. Both will be firing on all cylinders in week two, so let’s take a look at players like Jahmyr Gibbs and Geno Smith and pick some Seattle Seahawks Vs. Detroit Lions Player Props
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Seattle Seahawks Vs. Detroit Lions Player Prop Picks
With two offenses in need of a bounce back, and two defenses that could be poised to let them have just that, there could be plenty of production in this game, and lots of overs with it. Let’s get into some players who can get over their totals in this matchup.
Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD Scorer (+100 BetMGM) and over 39.5 Rush Yards (-115 BetMGM)
Fantasy owners and many fans in general had the same thought when watching the season opener on Thursday Night Football between the Lions and Chiefs- give Gibbs more of the ball! The rookie out of Alabama looked absolutely fantastic in his NFL debut, breaking tackles and showing some serious explosiveness, but only rushed the ball seven times in a game where the Lions desperately needed a knockout punch, averaging six yards per tote. Luckily, even with a very limited dose of Gibbs, the Goffense was able to do enough to seal the enormous road win, but the Lions didn’t draft him 12th overall not to use him; he’s going to get his touches going forward.
Lions head coach Dan Campbell has stated that the team didn’t want to overload any rookies in their debut, but with a game “under their belts,” they should see more volume- side note, keep an eye on Sam LaPorta for this same reason. Given this information, the line of 39.5 rushing yards is a pretty outrageous one. Even with the diminished carry load, Gibbs accumulated 42 rushing yards.
David Montgomery took the bulk of goal line snaps in week one, but with Gibbs prepared to be fully unleashed, get ready for the rookie to find the end zone for the first of many times in his NFL career against a Seahawks defense that surrendered three rushing scores in week one. Another factor that really makes Gibbs a great candidate to score is that he’s so involved in the passing game; he’s a threat to score anytime the Lions move the ball downfield, even on a drop back passing play. I’d play a half unit on each of the yardage and touchdown props, but if you really believe in Gibbs, feel free to let it rip for a full unit on each.
Tyler Lockett o56.5 Receiving Yards (-115 BetMGM)
Simply put, this is a bounce-back spot. Lockett accumulated a whopping ten yards on two catches against the Rams, and there’s no reason to believe that this is simply his new role on the team. It was a jarring off-day for most members of the offense, but there’s plenty of good news for Lockett and the team in general. One positive for us as bettors is certainly that a bad week one artificially deflated this line, giving us a pretty wild number for a player hoping to secure a fifth consecutive season with over 1,000 yards and 8 or more scores.
It’s an especially eye-grabbing number considering who he’s going up against. The Lions as a team deserve all the credit in the World for going into Arrowhead, watching that banner unveiling and come out with a gritty win, but objectively they did not look good at all. The offensive playcalling was questionable, but more relevantly to this point, the secondary was abysmal; Patrick Mahomes’s stat line was mediocre, but his interception hit Kadarius Toney in the hands, and if not for an incredibly fluky drop performance from Toney and the rest of the crew, the Chiefs undoubtedly would’ve found the win in the fourth quarter.
This unit won’t even be able to truly devote top-corner coverage to Lockett. DK Metcalf will command serious coverage, as will Jaxon Smith-Njigba, so Lockett should have absolute oceans of space. With the ability to break away for big yardage at any time, one lapse in coverage could give Lockett the chance to get a huge chunk of yardage towards this over, and I certainly wouldn’t bet against him to do so.
C.J. Gardner-Johnson o5.5 Tackles (+105 BetMGM)
Not even a potential offensive shootout is immune to my love for defensive player prop betting. In fact, due to all of the opportunities for tackles when so many passes are getting completed, these are possibly my favorite games in which to bet on defenders, usually DBs to hit their over for tackles. For this bet, we’re returning to the player who helped me get started on this D/ST prop journey, C.J. Gardner-Johnson. He was my first player prop of the season, and hit the over on his tackle prop by halftime against the Chiefs.
The promising thing here is that Gardner-Johnson did all that in a game where Pat Mahomes went through stretches of being unable to complete a pass to his makeshift receiving group. With the Seahawks deploying their absolutely loaded wideout corps against Detroit’s patchwork of a secondary, expect plenty of completions, and thus plenty of chances for C.J. to record some tackles.