Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Player Props & Picks (10/1/23)
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The Carolina Panthers host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday (10/1/23). Get Vikings vs. Panthers player props odds, predictions, and best bets, including Adam Thielen, Bryce Young, and Alexander Mattison.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers Player Prop Picks
Which winless team will finally prevail? Check out below for Vikings vs. Panthers best bets.
Adam Thielen Over 51.5 Receiving Yards (-110 Bet365)
Thielen turned back the clock to start the season, as he owns 20 receptions, 211 yards, and two touchdowns through three weeks. Thielen is the lone bright spot in an abysmal Carolina receiver room, and he subsequently paces the Panthers in target share.
Meanwhile, Minnesota’s defense is 24th in opponent dropback Expected Points Added per Play and allowing the sixth most net yards gained per pass attempt. Given that Carolina will likely be trailing for the majority of the game, they will be forced to increase their passing volume too. As a result, Thielen can capitalize against Minnesota’s shaky secondary.
He needs to hit 52 reception yards about 52 percent of the time for the bet to have a positive expected value.
Bryce Young Over 0.5 Interceptions (-115 DK)
The first overall pick of the 2023 Draft has struggled to start his rookie year, although his horrible environment certainly didn’t help. He’s often forcing throws into tight windows because his receivers are not getting open, which turns up the danger level. Young owns the second largest Turnover Worthy Play rate per PFF and has two interceptions in two games. With the Vikings expected to lead, Young’s passing volume will increase. More attempts increases interception equity, and that’s definitely true of Young at this moment.
He needs to throw an interception about 53 percent of the time.
Alexander Mattison Over 57.5 Rush Yards (-110 BMGM) & Anytime Touchdown (-105 DK)
Carolina’s defense ranks 31st in opponent rush Expected Points Added per Play, 23rd in PFF’s run defense grade, 21st in opponent yards per rush, and has allowed a whopping six rush touchdowns already – good for 29th in the league. In other words, Carolina’s run defense is atrocious, and they recently lost Shaq Thompson (one of their top linebackers) to injury.
Mattison hasn’t been efficient, but he’s coming off a nice performance of 93 yards on 20 attempts. Minnesota should cruise here, which would mean more carries for Mattison in order to bleed out the clock. Cam Akers’ level of involvement is still unclear, so Mattison should still see the vast majority of attempts.
He must hit 58 rush yards about 52 percent of the time and score a touchdown about 51 percent of the time for both bets to have a positive expected value.
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