Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup Preview (11/28/21): Betting Odds, Depth Charts, Live Stream (Watch Online)
Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup Preview (11/28/21)
Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons are heading to Jacksonville to take on Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars this Sunday for a showdown between last place teams. The Patriots kept the Falcons scoreless in their last game, blowing them out 25-0 and holding Matt Ryan to 153 passing yards. Jacksonville took on the 49ers and lost 30-10, bringing their regular season record to 2-8. Despite this 2-8 record and the Falcons’ 4-6 record, both teams have pulled off big upsets this season. The Jaguars took down the Bills in a low scoring 9-6 game and the Falcons beat the Saints in a tight 27-25 game. Neither team has an overwhelmingly talented roster, but do have a few threats that could bring them a result, making this a relatively even playing field.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Odds
The spread is tight on this game making Atlanta the favored team by 1 point with an over/under of 46.5. Neither team has been super predictable this year as they are both 4-6 against the spread. The difference however is that, Jaguars have failed to cover at home this year with a 1-4 record while the Falcons are 3-2 against the spread when on the road and 1-0 as the away team favorite. The Falcons have hit the over exactly 50% of the time this season, which also outranks the Jaguars who have hit the over a mere 20% of the time, leaving them second to last in the league in this category. Though they have the leg up here, the Falcons are not likely to blow out the Jaguars by any means, as they have just as much to work on themselves, but I do think they pose bigger threats offensively than the Jaguars will be able to on their end, which will probably give them the result.
My prediction: Falcons win 17-7, Falcons cover, under 46.5
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Date: November 28th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Location: TIAA Bank Field – Jacksonville, FL
TV Coverage: CBS
Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Live Stream
Where can you watch Falcons vs. Jaguars online? You can stream this game, and many other NFL games live online with Hulu. Hulu has a 7 Day free trial and is cheaper than cable options at $5.99/month. Watch Falcons vs. Jaguars Free Online Now.
Atlanta Falcons Analysis
The whole world has eyes on Trevor Lawrence waiting for the Clemson magic to reappear, but it just hasn’t come. He struggled last week against the 49ers, with a QB rating under 85 and just 6.3 yards per attempt on 158 total passing yards. His mediocre performance this year has given them a decent rushing game through the hands of James Robinson who has 568 total rushing yards, 169 receiving yards, and 7 touchdowns on the season. He has pretty much been their only consistent offensive threat this year. Against a weak Falcons rush defense, the Jaguars will likely continue to utilize Robinson in this game.
When they do throw the ball, their main target is Marvin Jones Jr. but that’s rare, and he’s tallied less than 500 receiving yards this season. The Jaguars rank in the bottom ten of teams in the league in both total yards per game and passing yards per game, but their running game (A.K.A. James Robinson) sits in the dead center of the league rankings. This helps them out a little bit, but they still struggle to get points on the board, and sit second to last in total points this year.
On the other side of the ball, they’ve struggled to contain the passing game this year and average 250.6 passing yards against them. Their secondary is held down by free safety Rashawn Jenkins. Though Matt Ryan has been struggling, this poor secondary could be the opportunity he needs to get back in the saddle. They do have a few defensive threats for Ryan to be watchful of, like Damien Wilson and Myles Jack who have a combined 139 tackles this year, and Josh Allen who has 5.5 sacks.
Atlanta Falcons Depth Chart
Jacksonville Jaguars Analysis
The Falcons are coming off an ugly game. Their 25-0 loss to the Patriots marks the first time they have been shut out at home since 1988. Three different quarterbacks played, four interceptions were thrown, and the offensive line allowed four sacks. Matt Ryan has thrown 6 interceptions in the last four games and they have been outscored 68-3 in the last two games. Even against a weak Jaguars team, this won’t fly.
Going into week 12, much of their offensive success will rely on Ryan’s performance but also Cordarrelle Patterson who has accounted for 37% of their touchdowns this season and has garnered 303 rushing yards, 473 receiving, and 332 returning yards. Patterson got injured in their week 10 game against Dallas and sat out against the Patriots last week and between those two games, the Falcons scored zero touchdowns. He obviously has a crucial offensive presence for the Falcons. He is currently listed as questionable in the Falcons’ injury report for this week and if he doesn’t return, their offensive success hangs in the balance, especially without Calvin Ridley. Kyle Pitts is their only other real offensive threat outside of Patterson but to rely solely on him to stretch them down the field is not feasible long term if Patterson can’t get healthy. However against a weak Jaguars pass defense, it may be a good game for Pitts to show off.
Their defense has been nothing to scream about as they have allowed 70% of passes against them to be completed, which is one of the lowest pass defense percentages in the league. With the second most points scored against them across the league, this makes sense. However their bad pass defense isn’t as dangerous for them against a Jacksonville team that prefers the ball on the ground. If Jacksonville does decide to run the ball, they’ll have to get past Foyesade Oluokun who has been the black sheep of their defense this year and is third in the league in total tackles with 110. Besides him, their run defense is still pretty weak and allows 123 yards per game.
Jacksonville Jaguars Depth Chart
Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Daily Fantasy Picks
If Cordarrelle Patterson returns this week, I’d say he is a solid pick for fantasy. He has proven his versatility throughout the season with over 300 rushing yards and over 450 receiving yards. When he is healthy, he seems to be the one that can get in the endzone for the Falcons, which they’ve failed to do in his absence. Otherwise, Atlanta’s Younghoe Koo has been consistent for the Falcons with a 100% completion percentage on PAT’s and could be a safe bet.