2026 PGA Championship Odds Report: Best Future Bets To Consider One Week Out
The 2026 PGA Champonship is now only one week away. With the Truist Championship and LIV Virginia now being the only events of consequence before PGA Championship week, this is the perfect time to analyze the Futures markets and identify betting value before PGA Championship odds inevitably adjust on the Monday of tournament week.
Current 2026 PGA Championship To Win Odds
Considerations for PGA Championship Futures
How do we assess fair value in PGA Championship Futures odds? Outrights in any given week are always a formula of recent form, long-term pedigree, and course history. Each event just weights those three factors a bit differently.
At the PGA Championship, event history and course history have proven to be the least significant. PGA Championship venues do not share a common identity year over year like the Masters, U.S. Open or The Open. It is truly a potpourri of quality championship courses. Aronimink is a course we have seen before, but not much of. It will host the PGA Championship for the first time since Gary Player won in 1962. Since then, it’s hosted three PGA Tour events: the AT&T National in 2010 & 2011, and the BMW Championship in 2018.
By comparison to the gargantuan courses that have hosted this event in recent years (Quail Hollow, Valhalla, Oak Hill, Southern Hills, The Ocean Course at Kiawah), Aronimink is minuscule, falling under 7,300 yards. That should open the playing field up to players with moderate distance, who would otherwise be written off to contend at a modern major venue. I expect we’ll see a leaderboard with parity, like the accuracy-dependent U.S. Open at Oakmont delivered us last year.
In this article, we’ll explore the best values in the PGA Championship Futures markets at present. Whose stock is rising, whose is falling, and who offers the greatest betting value as of today.
Biggest Risers
These players are peaking now and trending now and will be popular considerations as they ride the hot hand into the PGA Championship.
Cameron Young
Current Odds:
Outside of Scottie Scheffler, there is an argument to be made that Cameron Young is the most dangerous man in golf. He dominated the Signature Event field at the Cadillac Championship, continuing a run of five top-10s over his last six starts. That stretch also includes a victory at The Players Championship and a tightly contested T3 at The Masters.
Everything about Cameron Young’s game is major caliber. He has elite distance, shot-shaping, and approach play, and has turned putting into arguably his greatest strength since last year. This rise to prominence is no sudden thing either, as Young has already piled up seven top-10 finishes in majors since 2022. A winner on Donald Ross’ Sedgefield CC nine months ago, no one would be surprised to see Young continue this run of form into Aronimink.
Matt Fitzpatrick
Current Odds:
If it hasn’t been Cameron Young winning tournaments, it’s been Matt Fitzpatrick. Fitzpatrick is in scorching hot form leading up to the season’s second major, picking up wins at the Zurich Classic, RBC Heritage, and Valspar Championship over the past month. Fitzpatrick has elevated his play all season long, gaining across all four strokes gained categories in each of his last five starts.
Aronimink is a strategist’s course, not unlike Harbour Town, which rewards a tactical game plan, consistent ball striking execution, and creativity around the greens. Fitzpatrick is no stranger to contending at the PGA Championship, finishing T8 at Quail Hollow last year and T4 at Southern Hills in 2022. Already a major champion on a classical northeast layout at The Country Club in 2022, Fitzpatrick is doing everything you’d want to see from a major contender leading up to the PGA Championship.
Biggest Fallers
These players have bottomed out in the weeks leading up to the PGA Championship, and will enter with question marks that have been priced into their depreciating odds.
Tommy Fleetwood
Current Odds:
Just as we could have predicted, Cameron Young’s meteoric rise post-Ryder Cup heroics, golf fans may have felt just as confident that the floodgates would open for Tommy Fleetwood in 2026 too, after his breakthrough win at the 2025 TOUR Championship.
But while Fleetwood looked unflappable in his TGL win with LAGC, the on-course results haven’t quite materialized yet. Fleetwood was not competitive in The Masters and has finished outside the top-20 in each of his last three starts. In theory, Aronimink should be an ideal course for a ball-striking specialist like Fleetwood, as it does not require brute strength to score. I’m not writing Fleetwood off, but if you’ve waited this long, you may find the most appealing futures odds on Fleetwood to become available the week of the PGA Championship.
Collin Morikawa
Current Odds:
It truly is devastating timing for Morikawa to sustain his back injury while in peak form at The Players. Fresh off a win at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Morikawa looked poised to have a career season with a major schedule that lines up so favorably for his strengths.
Aronimink is the shortest and likely easiest-scoring PGA Championship venue since TPC Harding Park, where Morikawa picked up his first career major in 2020. While playing less that 100%, Morikawa has continued to power through with finishes of T7 at the Masters and T4 at the RBC Heritage. Still, a T62 in his latest start at the Cadillac Championship raises questions about the state of his game. It will be crucial to monitor how Morikawa looks in practice rounds the week of the PGA Championship, as he could prove to be the best value on the board if he is indeed healthy.
Today’s Best Future Bets
These players still offer present-day value, with reason to believe their odds will worsen between now and PGA Championship week.
Adam Scott
Current Odds:
I have yet to make a PGA Championship future bet, but as I assess the board one week out, Adam Scott jumps out to me as one of the most appealing values available. I’m very high on Scott’s chances to win the Truist Championship at nearly a quarter of these odds, and have every reason to believe his tee-to-green form will continue on a classical Donald Ross venue like Aronimink.
Scott’s best finish this season (4th) came at Riviera Country Club, which bears much in common with Aronimink with its overall yardage, sloping fairways, and need for accurate shot making. He has been the most consistent iron player on Tour this season, and would be available at half these odds if he could only hole putts more consistently.
Gary Woodland
Current Odds:
A longshot can absolutely win the PGA Championship at Aronimink, and if the course gets any rain this May, that will play into the hands of accurate bombers like Gary Woodland. While he may be known more for his brute strength, Woodland has navigated positional courses well too, finishing T8 at the RBC Heritage and T14 at the Valspar Championship over his last five starts.
The 2019 U.S. Open champion has newfound confidence after a decisive victory at the Texas Children’s Houston Open, and is consistently gaining off the tee, on approach, and on the greens. Woodland is on record as saying his ball striking has never felt better than it does now in his age-41 season, and the results continue to back that up.
2026 PGA Championship Futures Market Board
Photo Credit: Brynn Anderson/AP
