Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Match Preview, Picks & Odds for Thursday, June 25, 2026

By Thom Cunningham | Jun 24, 2026, 8:48pm

In what should be an excellent match to close out Thursday’s 2026 World Cup slate, Paraguay faces Australia for second place of Group D on the line. Let’s get into all the betting odds, data, trends and insights to figure out how to wager or trade on this night cap from Santa Clara.

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Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Match Betting Analysis

A draw might be the likely play here, with Paraguay failing to win six of seven matches off a win and Australia failing to win three of four matches overall. While Paraguay has seen the Over hit in three of its last four matches, they have struggled offensively with just one goal exactly scored in four of their last five matches. Offense might be tough to come by in this one, with the Under also hitting in five of six matches for Australia while seeing the BTS fail in six of eight overall.

While Paraguay has seen the Over hit in three of four matches, they have actually seen the Under hit in a remarkable 10 of 11 World Cup matches with the exception USA’s home debut burst of four goals scored. The Under seems like a great play, right? Well, it’s -270 for the Under 2.5 to hit. We’re not that insane. We’ll try the Under 1.5 instead, hitting in four of five World Cup matches for Paraguay. Our conviction is low, however.

Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Match Best Bet, Pick & Prediction

Best Bet: PAR/AUS U1.5 (+125)
Score Prediction: Paraguay 1, Australia 0

Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Match Odds

Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Match Information

Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
Network: FS1
Location: Santa Clara, California
Venue: Levi’s Stadium – 2.5 goals per match; 2-2 O/U
Group: Group D

Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Match Betting Resources

Paraguay vs. Australia World Cup Match Key Players

Paraguay

Matias Galarza – Last Game: 1 goal
Julio Encisco – Last Game: 1 assist
Mbekezeli Mbokazi – Last Game: 81 touches

Australia

Aiden O’Neill – Last Game: 55 touches
Alessandro Circati – Last Game: 51 touches
Connor Metcalfe – Last Game: 24 touches

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Photo Credit: AP/Erik S. Lesser

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.