MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds for Friday, April 24, 2026

We got shut out on Thursday, as Matt Olson, Kyle Schwarber, and Munetaka Murakami each failed to hit home runs. Let’s bounce back on Friday.

Today, we’re going with Aaron Judge, Ronald Acuña Jr., and Michael Busch. Each of these hitters is either in good spots or heating up at the plate.

Keep reading to find out about our MLB home run predictions for today. Also, be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.

Click any odds below to place a wager. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.

2026 MLB HR Props Record: 11-68 (-1.81 units) 

Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Friday, April 24

Aaron Judge Home Run Odds

Aaron Judge is currently slashing .242/.361/.571 with nine home runs in 109 plate appearances. As always, the batted ball metrics look straight out of a video game, as highlighted by a 25.0% barrel rate.

Judge will get to hit in Houston tonight, where those Crawford boxes in left field (shorter distance from home plate) make it a great place to hit for right-handed power hitters.

On top of that, the pitching matchup is a good one with Lance McCullers Jr. on the mound. The oft-injured righty is giving up a 9.3% barrel rate this season.

Judge comes into this game having homered in six of his last 11, so we’ll take a shot on him going yard, given the strong matchup and favorable ballpark. Risk 0.1 units.

Ronald Acuña Jr. Home Run Odds

Ronald Acuña Jr. is off to a cold start at the plate, slashing .232/.339/.333 with one home run in 118 plate appearances. However, the plate discipline looks good (11.9 BB%, 18.6 K%) and so does the barrel rate at 12.7%.

I like that we’re getting relatively warm temperatures in Atlanta for this game (79 degrees). While Andrew Painter is on the mound for the Phillies, the young righty doesn’t pitch deep into games, so even if he’s on point, Acuña will have chances against the relievers.

Remember, Acuña has 30+ home run power, so there’s a track record here. It’s only a matter of time before he starts hitting home runs. I’ll take a shot that it happens against Painter and the Phillies.

The price looks appealing at longer than +400 odds at the time of this article. Risk 0.1 units.

Michael Busch Home Run Odds

We’ll finish it off with Michael Busch to hit a home run. The Cubs’ first baseman is currently slashing .198/.282/.286 with two home runs in 103 plate appearances. However, he homered 34 times last year, and it seems like he’s starting to find his groove.

Busch is on a four-game hitting streak right now, homering in back-to-back games. One thing about power hitters is that they can often be streaky, so we want to hop on board when they’re showing signs of being locked in at the plate.

I like the matchup against Dodgers’ right-hander Emmet Sheehan, who has gotten pummeled by lefties this season, allowing a .462 wOBA against them this season.

We should also note that forecasts project 6 MPH winds blowing out to center in this game, which is an added bonus.

With that in mind, we’ll take Busch to go yard for the third consecutive game. Risk 0.1 units.

• Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 5,100 community members discussing MLB 24-7-365.

Best Sportsbook Promos For Home Run Prop Predictions

Rank

Sportsbooks

Bonus

Features

Play

1

Up to $1,500

In Bonuses

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS-OFF

• Use Bonus Code: BETLINEUPS

Play Now

2

Bet $10 Get $365

In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $365 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-MY-RESET. 21+

• Use Bonus Code: LINEUPSBET

Play Now

3

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Get $350 in Bonus Bets

When You Bet $5 for 7 Days

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

• Get $350 in Bonus Bets Guaranteed - When You Bet $5 for 7 Days!

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

Play Now

4

Double Your Winnings

On Your Next 10 Wagers

Caesars Sportsbook Review

• Bet $1, Double Your Winnings on Your Next 10 Wagers (Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost)

• Stream NFL Games In-App for Free

• OH only. 21+.Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-MY-RESET

• Use Promo Code: LINEUPSDYW

Play Now

5

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

New Customers Only. OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply

Up to $1,000

In FanCash Matched Bets

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Play Now

6

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA).

Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR).

21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. Wagering offered by DK Sportsbook. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 6/28/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets

New User Bonus

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

• Bet $5 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

• To Claim: Click Play Now

Play Now

Photo Credit: AP/Matt Rourke