Get Carolina Panthers Vs. Atlanta Falcons player prop picks & odds for the (9/10/23) matchup.
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Carolina Panthers vs. Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Picks
The 2023 season opener for the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons will get the season off to a fast start for both squads as two division rivals facing off. There’s plenty at stake for both squads, with the Falcons hoping to capitalize on a weakened division and make it back to the playoffs, while the Panthers have high hopes for the future as they debut first overall draft pick quarterback Bryce Young.
While the below picks are my top choices, make sure to use the player prop search tool above to compare odds from different books and find the best price. Also check out the rest of the Lineups site and YouTube channel for detailed analysis on this game and the rest in the opening week NFL slate.
Desmond Ridder o197.5 Passing Yards (-105 DraftKings)
This is a massive prove-it year for Ridder, who has been given the reins fully after starting four games last season. The Cincinnati alum went 2-2 in those games, did not throw an interception, and averaged 177 yards per game, a number that was pulled down by a 97 yard pro debut.
The efficiency was promising, as he completed 63.5% of his passes en route to a passer rating of 86.0. Ridder’s volume went up too as he got comfortable; in the Falcons’ season finale, he threw for 224 yards and two touchdowns.
In year two, we can expect much more from him as the Falcons look to really open up the offense. Ridder will surely need to get his per-game average up by more than 20 yards, and he should absolutely do more against the Panthers than an average opponent. Carolina ranked 29th in PFF’s coverage grade last year, and will be trotting out most of the same contributors this season.
There is a concern that the Falcons could get ahead early and stop throwing, but in a game that gets out of hand that fast, it’s likely that Ridder will have already done a good amount of damage en route to that result. The addition of Bijan Robinson could also help Ridder out; Carolina’s defense might key in on the budding star, creating openings in the air game.
Bijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100 DraftKings)
Bijan Robinson’s first carry in the NFL is a good one 😳 pic.twitter.com/F58FnbOuP2
— PFF (@PFF) August 18, 2023
This one seems like an absolute steal, as the Falcons’ first-round pick should be the best player on the field all game long. There’s also two ways for this one to hit, as Robinson will feature heavily into the Falcons’ passing game, as well as of course being the team’s lead rusher.
The NFL level is a different game, but Robinson showed an eye for the end zone in college; over 12 games at Texas last season, he scored 18 rushing touchdowns as well as two through the air. Preseason is also not a perfect indicator of NFL success, but the early returns have been promising there as well as he has electrified viewers right from his first carry, as you can see above.
Robinson should get plenty of chances all game long as the Falcons look to build a lead and play from ahead, he will be a part of the initial attack as well as the clock-draining efforts later in the game. The Panthers’ run defense is a relative strength, but hopefully some complimentary football from Ridder and the passing game, to which Robinson himself can contribute directly, will lead to a softer front and some great scoring opportunities for the talented rookie.
Kyle Pitts o37.5 Receiving Yards (-125 DraftKings)
With plenty of attention devoted to Robinson and Drake London, the door is open for Kyle Pitts to have a prolific season opener to kick off what needs to be a bounce-back season.
The Panthers secondary is absolutely awful, as we discussed in the Ridder section. Cornerback Jaycee Horn is their only decent member of the unit, and he is likely to stick to London like glue; Pitts will be relatively unchecked, with Carolina’s linebackers mostly keyed in on Robinson more likely than not.
With London likely to be covered up more often than usual, Pitts should receive an oversized target share. He’s had his issues getting into the end zone, but we saw him rack up over a thousand yards in his rookie season, so we know he has the ability to collect some volume.
He had a down year last season, but expectations are higher for the Falcons offense, and the passing game should take a relative step up under Ridder. Pitts isn’t a player I’m looking to invest in for the long term, but with Horn taking care of London, and a relatively low number of 37.5, I like his over a lot this week.
Bryce Young o0.5 Interceptions (-140 DraftKings)
Bryce Young was one of the most accurate passers in college football during his time at Alabama, but the NFL is a different beast. While expectations are high for the Heisman winner, a road debut is not an easy way to kick off a career, and it would be very understandable for him to struggle a bit.
Young has been given perhaps the worst offensive skill group in the NFL, made even worse by four injuries to wide receivers on the injury report. Adam Thielen is already a pretty rough top wideout option at this point in his career, and he’s already dealing with an injury, as is DJ Chark, whose status for opening day is very up in the air.
It wouldn’t be surprising to see Young attempt to force the ball into some questionable windows this weekend, especially if the Panthers do fall behind and he’s looking to get his team back into the game.
Think back to last year when Baker Mayfield, another accurate, undersized, Heisman-winning quarterback had a tough time in the Carolina offense, with DJ Moore at his disposal. Growing pains are a part of a rookie season, and Young should have some right away against Atlanta.