Seahawks vs. Patriots Picks, Props & Same-Game Parlay from DraftKings: Bet Drake Maye Props in Super Bowl 60? (Sunday, February 8)
The Seattle Seahawks are set to take on the New England Patriots in one of the most surprising matchups in Super Bowl history. Each of these teams were longshots to get to the Super Bowl before the season, but they’ve smashed expectations to get to the big game. The Seahawks are the more well-rounded team, but the Patriots have an MVP candidate at quarterback, so it should be an interesting matchup. Below are the odds, courtesy of DraftKings, along with our picks for the game.
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Seahawks vs. Patriots Odds, Picks, Props, & Same-Game Parlay
When building our Super Bowl Same-Game Parlay, we’re going to focus on negative correlation to get an odds boost. When you combine contradictory plays, you get better odds. Keep reading to see what we’re focusing on in our best Seahawks vs. Patriots parlay.
Seahawks vs. Patriots Predictions: Seattle Moneyline
The Seahawks are No. 1 in DVOA, establishing themselves as the most well-rounded team in football. The passing game is explosive with Sam Darnold and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The addition of Rashid Shaheed has given them a deep threat to provide better spacing for their other targets. The running game also has big-play ability, with Kenneth Walker consistently making defenders miss.
The defense is absolutely stacked at all three levels and well-coached by a stud defensive mind like Mike Macdonald. Even the special teams make big plays with Shaheed able to take it to the house on any given play.
With that in mind, despite the quarterback advantage with Maye, I don’t see the Patriots winning this game. The only team that has been able to move the ball vs Seattle of late is Matthew Stafford and the Rams. The Patriots aren’t nearly as good on offense as the Rams.
I think New England can keep this one close, but they’ve also benefited from a favorable schedule, including a recent win against career backup Jarrett Stidham. Bet on a Seahawks 6+ point win, but we’ll keep it at moneyline to stay safe here.
Seahawks vs. Patriots Props: Drake Maye Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-113)
Drake Maye is in a tough spot vs a Seahawks defense that allowed 6.03 yards per attempt to quarterbacks this season, which ranked 1st in the NFL. The Seahawks run two-high coverage at the highest rate in the league, so it’s tough for quarterbacks to make big plays downfield against them.
On top of that, we’ve seen Maye struggle throughout this postseason run. The second-year quarterback has been limited to 86 and 179 yards in his last two games. Yes, that had to do with the weather, but there’s also the fact that he’s dealing with a shoulder issue.
Facing an elite Seahawks defense, Maye could be forced to run at a high rate, especially with their two-high shell.
Super Bowl 60 Props: Rhamondre Stevenson 3+ Receptions (-183)
Speaking of two-high coverage, playing the safeties deep can open up opportunities for the running backs to rack up checkdown receptions. We saw that all year vs the Seahawks, as they allowed 97 receptions to running backs, which was the most in the NFL.
This line is juiced for good reason, as Rhamondre Stevenson has been the primary back for Mike Vrabel throughout the playoffs. While I expect TreVeyon Henderson to play more of a role in this one than he did in the AFC Championship, expect Stevenson to get a few checkdowns while Maye is under duress from this dangerous pass rush.
Shop around on this one, as some Super Bowl betting sites have pushed this number to 3.5 receptions and juiced the under, rather than 2.5 receptions with juice on the over.
Seahawks vs. Patriots Prop Bets: Hunter Henry Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
I’ll finish off our Super Bowl SGP with Hunter Henry to go over 38.5 receiving yards. Yes, this is another play that has to do with the Seahawks two-high coverage. As with running backs, playing your safeties deep can open up room over the middle for the tight ends to make big plays.
We’ve seen that all playoffs vs the Seahawks, as Coby Parkinson (62 yards) and Jake Tonges (59 yards) have each been productive against them. It’s also been a similar story throughout the season, as the Seahawks allowed 1,080 receiving yards to tight ends, which ranked 27th in the NFL.
Rams-Seahawks Sunday Same-Game Parlay (SGP) Prediction (+900 at DraftKings)
- Seahawks ML (-230)
- Drake Maye Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-112)
- Rhamondre Stevenson Over 2.5 Receptions (-166)
- Hunter Henry Over 38.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
These picks offer a combined +900 odds as of this publication. We’re getting these odds because we have a Maye under with two overs from his pass-catchers. For context, if we took Maye over on this, the odds would drop to +445, even though that side also has -112 odds. But it’s not like these three props are totally correlated, as Stevenson (2.5 catches) and Henry (37.5 receiving yards) both have low enough bars where Maye can still stay under this number, yet they hit.
Remember to wager responsibly on these plays given the volatility of same-game parlays. Best of luck with your NFL bets in the playoffs!
