France vs. Spain World Cup Match Preview, Picks & Odds for Tuesday, July 14, 2026

By Thom Cunningham | Jul 13, 2026, 8:09pm

The 2026 World Cup semifinals are finally here, as we have France taking on Spain in a battle of opening co-favorites, where the winner will punch its ticket to the World Cup Final. Let’s dive into the betting data, trends, odds and insights for this match from ‘Jerry World’ on Tuesday.

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France vs. Spain World Cup Match Betting Analysis

The draw might be the best bet here, with France winning seven straight matches while Spain has won five straight along with a current 36-match unbeaten streak. Let’s go one market at a time, as there is a lot to unpack here. Beginning with the BTS, the BTS has failed to hit in four of five matches for France as well as five of six matches for Spain. It comes at a very juicy +140, which means oddsmakers expect the BTS to actually hit. That makes sense when you look at France’s goal total data.

The French have scored Over 2.5 goals in four of six matches, while seeing the game total go Over in 11 of 13 matches. However, the last two French matches saw the Under hit while Spain has seen the Under hit in four straight matches after going Over the match prior. Although oddsmakers expect the BTS to hit, they’re not sold on goals being scored heavily, indicating a potential 1-1 draw (again, the draw might be the best bet).

With the French’s data, why would the Over scare oddsmakers? Both teams don’t allow goals. France has allowed Under 1.5 goals in seven straight matches while Spain has done the same in a remarkable 10 straight matches. Also, Spain has scored Under 1.5 goals themselves in four straight matches after scoring Over 1.5 goals the match prior.

So looking at both the data and odds, the expected match is a 1-1 draw. However, the data also points to BTS failing and neither team going Over 1.5 goals, and if one team does go Over 1.5 goals then it’s likely France. So while the draw is our best bet, there are a few markets you can play with. For France, some players to potentially look at in the prop market include Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele.

Mbappe has scored in 10 of 11 World Cup matches, along with the first goal in seven of eight World Cup matches. Dembele has scored a goal or assist in four of five World Cup matches.

France vs. Spain World Cup Match Best Bet, Pick & Prediction

Best Bet: FRA/ESP Draw (+215) at DraftKings
Best Bet: FRA/ESP U2.5 (-105)
Score Prediction: France 1, Spain 1

France vs. Spain World Cup Match Odds

France vs. Spain World Cup Match Information

Date: Tuesday, July 14, 2026
Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
Network: FOX
Location: Arlington, Texas, USA
Venue: AT&T Stadium – 3 goals per match; 4-4 O/U
Stage: SF

France vs. Spain World Cup Match Betting Resources

France vs. Spain World Cup Match Key Players

France

Kylian Mbappe – Last Game: 1 goal, 1 assist
Ousmane Dembele – Last Game: 1 goal
Desire Doue – Last Game: 1 assist

Spain

Fabian Ruiz – Last Game: 1 goal
Mikel Merino – Last Game: 1 goal
Lamine Yamal – Last Game: 80 touches

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Photo Credit: REUTERS

Thom Cunningham

Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars.