Houston Texans vs New York Giants: Betting Odds, Prediction, Depth Chart (11/13/22)
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The 1-6-1 Houston Texans are heading to the Big Apple to take on the 6-2 Giants. While the Giants just had their bye week, the Texans also had a mini-bye after playing last Thursday night. This is the first time in four years these teams will face off, and the Giants hold a 4-1 advantage in the series. Let’s take a look if the Giants can make it 5-1.
Houston Texans Vs. New York Giants Betting Odds
The Giants are -4.5 home favorites over the visiting Texans +4.5. The over/under for this matchup is 41, the third lowest total of the weekend. Given the Texans average only 16.6 points per game and the Giants only average 20.4 PPG, it’s not surprising the oddsmakers don’t picture these squads playing in a shootout.
Houston Texans Vs. New York Giants Prediction
The Texans only have one win on the season in another lost year. Though QB Davis Mills has shown flashes, completing 8/9 passes in the first half last week, he struggles to stay consistent. After this strong start, he only completed five passes in the second half and threw two interceptions. It’s tough to judge Mills too harshly though, considering the Texans as a whole lack talent on the offensive side. However, the team does have some young talent emerging. Both CB Derek Stingley Jr. and RB Dameon Pierce seem like good draft picks halfway into their rookie seasons. Pierce has looked exceptional thus far, rushing for at least 80 yards in 5/8 games this season. For the defense, Veteran DE Jerry Hughes has continued a career of consistent play during his first year in Houston, tallying two sacks last week.
Sack attack 😤 @Iam_jerryhughes
📺 » @NFLonPrime pic.twitter.com/gqJX2g0lCn
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) November 4, 2022
The Giants four game win streak ended in Seattle a couple weeks ago, before the team went on bye for week 9. Even with the bye, the defense suffered a blow with Safety Xavier McKinney injuring his hand in an ATV accident that will cause him to miss a few weeks. The Giants have definitely been hit with the injury bug lately, with many key players on the report. This includes rookie OT Evan Neal who is questionable for Sunday. This may be cause for concern if you’re a Giants fan. Although the Giants have improved tremendously this year, their offensive line still struggles with pass protection, allowing the 6th most sacks this season.
I’m picking the Giants to win and cover over the Texans. The Giants have simply transformed into a winning football team under Brian Daboll’s coaching and are in the thick of the NFC playoff race, while the Texans are almost a lock for another top 5 draft pick. So unless the Giants come out of their bye week rusty, except Daboll and crew to bring in the Giants 7th win.
Prediction: Giants 21-14, Under hits
Betting Trends
Texans are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Key Injuries
Houston Texans Injuries: Neville Hewitt (Q), Justin McCray (Q), Maliek Collins (Q), Nico Collins (Q), Kolby Harvell-Peel (Q), Brandin Cooks (Q)
New York Giants Injuries: Nick Williams (Q), Shane Lemieux (Q), Xavier McKinney (O), Ricky Seals-Jones (Q), Robert Foster (Q), Jordan Mosley (Q), Oshane Ximines (Q), Daniel Bellinger (O), Cordale Flott (Q), Evan Neal (Q), Kenny Golladay (Q), Richie James (Q),
Key Matchups
Giants Run Game vs Texans Defensive Front
The Giants rushing attack has a very favorable matchup versus the Texans run defense. The Giants have the fifth best rushing attack averaging 161.5 yards per game. The Texans have the worst run defense, allowing 180.6 yards per game, 30 yards more than the 2nd worst run defense. This is a clear mismatch. Even after the bye week, RB Saquon Barkley is still tied for 3rd most rushing yards this season, with 779 on the year. His elusiveness and game breaking ability will be tough for the Texans to keep up with.
.@Saquon MasterClass
Top highlights from 26: https://t.co/nBEtlbKEJT pic.twitter.com/DuDiyeOJQP
— New York Giants (@Giants) November 4, 2022
Texans Run Game vs Giants Run Defense
The Texans run attack is also their best advantage this Sunday. The Giants run defense also ranks bottom ten in the league and they give up 137.3 rushing yards per game. This bodes well for the Texans whose best player on offense just might be their fourth round rookie running back Dameon Pierce. Along with Seahawks rookie RB Kenneth Walker III, Pierce is a top candidate for the prestigious offensive rookie of the year award. He is currently 6th in rushing yards on the season and leads all rookies in rushing this season, with 678 yards. His 139 yard day against the undefeated Eagles certainly helped solidify this lead
He just doesn't go down 💪 @IRep229
📺 » @NFLonPrime pic.twitter.com/6Fhh6X2JtN
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) November 4, 2022
Houston Texans Depth Chart
QB: Davis Mills
RB1: Rex Burkhead
RB2: Dameon Pierce
LWR: Nico Collins
RWR: Brandin Cooks
SWR: Chris Moore
TE1: O.J. Howard
New York Giants Depth Chart
QB: Daniel Jones
RB1: Sequin Barkley
RB2: Matt Breida
LWR: Kenny Golladay
RWR: Richie James
SWR: Darius Slayton
TE1: Tanner Hudson