Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds 2022

Buffalo Bills Super Bowl Odds 2022

ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) gives the Buffalo Bills a 52.1% chance of beating the Kansas City Chiefs this week and advancing to the AFC conference championship. The Bills and Chiefs faced off in week 5 and the Bills topped them, giving them one of two losses at Arrowhead stadium, where they play again this week. Since then, the Bills rode the ups and downs of the season, but have found themselves in a five-game winning streak and are coming off of a nearly perfect game in a trample over the Patriots. The Chiefs have also seen peaks and valleys this year but have won four of their last five games and just stomped the Steelers 42-21, so they won’t make beating them easy.

Buffalo Bills Odds to Win Super Bowl 2022

They already know what to do – they beat the Chiefs 38-20, in an incredible offensive and defensive performance by the Bills. While this is impressive, it’s not enough – Josh Allen and the Bills are certainly seeking vengeance from last year’s AFC conference championship, where they lost to the Chiefs, and would be more than happy to break the Chiefs’ Super Bowl streak. The Chiefs are likely the only team left in the AFC to stand in the way of their Super Bowl chances, so realistically they should be able to take care of business, but Mahomes and Andy Reid certainly won’t go down without a fight. Whether they’re able to take down the Packers or the Buccaneers (NFC favorites) in the Super Bowl, is another story. 

In their last five games, Josh Allen has stepped up his ground game, running for 300 total yards over those five wins. Big thanks is owed to their offensive line who has given Josh Allen time and space to get it done. Alongside Allen is a successful Devin Singletary who has at least one touchdown in each game of their win streak; this running game has finally rounded out this offense to become the true dual-threat offense that it’s been capable of being all year long. Having a dual-threat offense coming into a game against a poor Chiefs defense is a huge leg up. 

The Bills defense is arguably the best in the league and while the recent loss of Tre’Davious White certainly won’t help them in the playoffs, they will be just fine, as they were against the Patriots. But the pressure is on – Jordan Poyer, Micah Hyde and Taron Jonhson will need to come up big against Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce this week to shut down their offense. 

I think the Bills are the best team in the AFC right now, without question. The ESPN FPI gives the Bills a 36.6% chance of advancing to the big game (the highest of all AFC contenders) without knowing the outcome of the divisional round. They are the only AFC team left with lethal schemes on both sides of the ball. Their defense has been consistent all year long and it remains the best of all defenses in the playoffs, and when their offense is on, it’s better than Patrick Mahomes and Tannehill and Derrick Henry. I see them definitely making it to the Super Bowl (especially if they win this week), but without knowing who they’d be playing in the big game, I can’t say for certain that they could win.