A lottery simulator tool that runs numbers to show NBA draft order by showing pick odds, record, draft pick percentage odds, and potential draft pick.
| | | | | | | | | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | = | 20-62 | .002 | 2-8 | 14% | 13.025% | 26.05% | LeBron James | |
2 | = | 22-60 | .003 | 3-7 | 14% | 13.025% | 26.05% | Stephen Curry | |
3 | = | 23-59 | .003 | 4-6 | 14% | 13.025% | 26.05% | Giannis Antetokounmpo | |
4 | = | 24-58 | .003 | 4-6 | 12.5% | 12.025% | 24.05% | Kevin Durant | |
5 | = | 25-57 | .003 | 0-10 | 10.5% | 10.525% | 21.05% | Kawhi Leonard | |
6 | = | 27-55 | .003 | 0-10 | 9% | 9.3% | 18.6% | Nikola Jokic | |
7 | = | 30-52 | .004 | 5-5 | 7.5% | 8% | 16% | Joel Embiid | |
8 | = | 33-49 | .004 | 2-8 | 6% | 6.575% | 13.15% | Damian Lillard | |
9 | = | 34-48 | .004 | 6-4 | 4.5% | 5.075% | 10.15% | James Harden | |
10 | = | 35-47 | .004 | 5-5 | 3% | 3.475% | 6.95% | Luka Doncic | |
11 | = | 36-46 | .004 | 6-4 | 2% | 2.35% | 4.7% | Anthony Davis | |
12 | = | 37-45 | .005 | 7-3 | 1.3% | 1.55% | 3.1% | Jimmy Butler | |
13 | = | 42-40 | .005 | 6-4 | 1.2% | 1.425% | 2.85% | Kyrie Irving | |
14 | = | 43-39 | .005 | 7-3 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | Jayson Tatum |
Contents
The NBA Lottery can change an organization's path over the next decade. Landing within the lottery means an unsuccessful season, of course, but things can change quickly. For example, Dallas landing Luka Doncic third overall now has them in the playoff picture. Memphis was in the lottery for the last two years, and all of a sudden have a core built for the future with Jaren Jackson and Ja Morant. Some teams continue to find themselves in the lottery after poor decision making, hence the Chicago Bulls, who have been constantly in the top ten for picks in the last few seasons but have failed to develop their talent.
The NBA Lottery Event is scheduled for Tuesday, August 25th, 2020. This event is the drawing of the draft order, where you will see who gets the top pick for the lottery. This is not followed on the same day by the NBA Draft.
On Friday, October 16th, the NBA Draft is scheduled to be held. It is televised on ESPN. The date is subject to change due to Covid-10 throwing a wrench into the NBAís plans and restart of the 2019 season.
There are 14 lottery picks in the NBA, and these are the teams who did not make the playoffs, while the rest of the 16 teams have their order based on the team record. The 14 lottery picks are decided by lottery balls.
The non-playoff teams are put into a draw that is based on records. The odds of a higher pick are in a teamís favor if they have a poorer record. The top three teams with the worst record all have a 14% chance of getting the #1 pick.
The Golden State Warriors, Cleveland Cavaliers, and Minnesota Timberwolves have finished the season with the three worst records in the NBA. With new rules for the lottery, each of these teams has a 14% chance to get the first pick in the draft.