Virtually every day during the NBA season there will be a slate of games. The night of the college championship is when the NBA takes the night off. They also take Christmas Eve off as there will be games on Christmas Day. Then of course you have the All-Star Weekend, but other than that you have a loaded NBA schedule with a lot of matchups coming at you. This page breaks down all the Vegas numbers and can give you an in-depth look at both teams and how they are set up. The opening line will come out either the night before or early in the morning. If there is no line yet, they are likely waiting for some major news to come across, and then they will set the line. After that, you will have live odds where are going to be what the lines are currently set at.
Clicking on the line movement chart will show you what has moved throughout the day. Some days you will have a good amount of line movement on a game or two, and sometimes there will be days with little to no line movement. Either way, clicking into the line movement chart will show you what is going on. The ratings next to the team are going to point out our own unique formula based number that points out the strong from the weak. We give ratings on each side of the ball and also the overall team. These numbers are ever-updating, that way you can see how teams do throughout the season.
When you click into a matchup, you are going to get more data tied to that game. You can see more betting splits, such as how teams to on the road compared to at home. Each spread and total is broken down, where you can see how teams on the lines. There is also a lot of matchup history where you can see how prior games have gone, but don’t solely rely on that to make future bets. There is also a transition into depth chart pages and other team stats to help you finish up your research for the night.
NBA Team Ratings
The team, offense, and defense ratings you see listed for each team is a formula based on team stats that we have created here at Lineups. We have taken the most important stats on both sides of the ball to create an ever-updating rating that will move as the team goes through the NBA season. This gives you a way to see how good teams are on either side of the ball and also at an overall level. If you are looking for fantasy help, these ratings can also tie into seeing what defenses are easy to target, and what offenses you might want to select players from. The ratings change throughout the season, and a rough start to the year for a good team will have their rating lower than what you expect. It will be up to them to see if they can get that rating to a more respectable level or not.
Using Matchups For Fantasy Basketball
If you are playing some daily fantasy basketball, Vegas is going to be one of your early steps in research for the slate of games. We always need to be on the lookout for blowouts as they can potentially stop starters from playing big minutes. This is one way to use the matchups page here to check out those potential blowouts. Identifying games that are high scoring is crucial for fantasy success, as fantasy points correlate with higher scoring games. Because oddsmakers are using these numbers to pinpoint close to what they believe will happen, they are doing the work for you. While it isn’t wise to let this control your decisions 100%, but they will guide you in the right direction.
When looking for high total games, they are going to be broken down into team totals, which can give you a better indication of what teams to target for offense. Teams can have team totals over 115, which is going to be a bright spot for fantasy production. Now injury news is always tough to track in the NBA, which isn’t totally on us as the system is broken injury reports coming out. Now one way to track injury news is to watch the lines. If a major player is questionable and a line is put out, it can be an indicator as to if they are playing or not. For example, if the Lakers are playing the Wizards, and LeBron James is questionable, the line can go two ways. It could look like a regular blowout as expected, which means they expect him to suit up. It could have a closer spread where it indicates he is more than likely going to sit.
The Way NBA Lines Are Made
Oddsmakers have a job that might not be what you think. Their goal is to make sure that there is going to be betting action on both sides of the line. That means they are going to take a line that has been populated from an advanced formula based on many different factors and change it slightly to try and garnish interest for both sides. That is why you might see a line that is a bit different from what you expected. Oddsmakers are looking for edges just like the public are, and they know they will be able to get the public to bet on certain teams that they have a bias for. Big market teams will usually draw more numbers, and you can move the lines a bit to attract them more even though the formula that spits out a line is a few points more or less than the spread adjusted.
You will often see lines change, and there is something called line movement, which is going to happen for a few reasons. One is going to be a potential injury. A major player in a game being ruled in or out can shift a line either way. You also have something called public and sharp money. Oddsmakers will adjust the line based on both sides as they don’t want to get hit hard. Money coming in can influence the lines both ways and we tend to see that more with sharp money. This is where you get some reverse line movement where it moves against the public.
Betting On The NBA
There are a few different ways you can bet on an NBA game. You have the moneyline, which is going to be a straight-up win or lose bet. The Portland Trail Blazers could be -200 favorites against the New York Knicks for a night, meaning that Vegas is leaning heavily on the Trail Blazers to win. You would need to bet $200 to win $100 on this line. You will get a wide range of odds on the moneyline, some will be profitable returns, some will not be. This is how you can tell how big a team is favored. You might have a better return on the spread, which is when a team has an assigned number that they have to win by. The Blazers might be sitting at -10.5 and would need to win by 11 points to cover the spread. If you bet on the Knicks at +11, then they will need to lose by 11 or less, or of course win.
The team totals and game totals can also be bet on for an over/under. There will be odds on the over and under for a game, and this is going to be the combined score of the game. If a game is sitting at 220, both teams will need to combine for 221 or more, otherwise, it will be considered a push or a loss if they sit at 220 or under. You can also bet on team totals, where it is the same process, but you are just betting on the Blazers to top their 105 team total that is given for the night. These are the main bets for games, and of course, you do have other player props and unique game props that you can find.
It is important to stay on top of injuries in the NBA, as you can have some good luck catching a line before it adjusts. That means a line can come out and a star could be ruled in or out making the current line very favorable until they adjust. Now you can also be on the bad luck side where you could have made a bet early in the day, and injury news comes out later and goes against you. That is why you want to stay on top of injury news, even though it is tough to track and sometimes unreliable, despite even coming from team sources.
NBA Matchups FAQ
Why Does An NBA Game Have No Lines?
You might come across a game or two that don’t have any lines present. That is because they are most likely waiting for injury news. If LeBron James is questionable, they will wait until more news is available to put out a line for the game.
What Is A Low NBA Over/Under?
The NBA pace has gone up, and so has scoring. A low NBA over/under these days is certainly anything below 200, but 200-205 is also considered low in comparison to some of the higher over/unders that come out.
What Is A High NBA Over/Under?
Anything over 215 is considered a high over/under, and we have seen some games now go into 225 and over 230 as well. Those poor defensive and high paced offenses playing each other will result in a high total.
What Does Even Mean?
When you see the word even for a spread, that means it is a bet that is not leaning one way or the other. It is known as 50/50 odds where you win the amount of money you put in.
How Do Teams Cover A Point Spread?
A point spread is going to be shown as +5 or -5. The favorite will need to win by five points or more to cover the spread. If you bet on the +5, that team will either need to win, or lose by five or less points.
Can I Bet On Team Totals?
Yes, you can certainly bet on team totals. Most sportsbooks will offer betting on the over/under for the total game and the teams involved. It operates just the same where a team will need to get over or under the set total for you to win your wager.
What Are NBA Team Ratings?
Our NBA Team Ratings are a unique formula that break out the team into a total rating, offense, and defense. These are based on team stats to show the top teams in the league, and give them a rating of our own.
Why Do Lines Change For NBA?
Lines will change in NBA mainly due to injuries. Because there is no weather issues, injuries are usually the deciding factor in whether lines change or not. A star player being ruled out will often drop the line down for that team.
How Do I Know Who Is A Favorite?
When a team has a negative sign in front of the odds, that means that they are favorites. The plus sign indicates a team is an underdog. The larger the number, the more a team is favored and the less of a payout you will get.