Super Bowl 54 2020 Odds: Patriots, Saints, 49ers Leading the Favorites

We are looking at the early odds to win Super Bowl 54 at FanDuel Sportsbook, which is in Miami this year. Given it is in Miami, the Dolphins are currently dead last in odds to win the Super Bowl. The teams that were in the conference finals from last season sit atop of the table heading into the season. This year seems more wide open, although we say that and then New England is holding the Lombardi Trophy at the end of the year.

Odds will change over time, as records change, and injuries occur. Getting in early can be crucial to getting value on certain picks. Getting in early also comes with some risk as injuries can derail a season. With 32 teams, you can break them into a few tiers. The top tier of teams include teams like New England and New Orleans. Teams like Minnesota and Philadelphia are just on the cusp, despite having a real chance of making it to the Super Bowl.

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Team Odds
New England Patriots
+280
New Orleans Saints
+500
San Francisco 49ers
+650
Kansas City Chiefs
+1000
Baltimore Ravens
+1000
Green Bay Packers
+1300
Dallas Cowboys
+2000
Philadelphia Eagles
+2200
Los Angeles Rams
+2500
Minnesota Vikings
+2600
Houston Texans
+2600
Seattle Seahawks
+3000
Carolina Panthers
+4800
Indianapolis Colts
+5000
Buffalo Bills
+5000
Pittsburgh Steelers
+6500
Los Angeles Chargers
+7500
Oakland Raiders
+10000
Cleveland Browns
+16000
Tennessee Titans
+17000
Chicago Bears
+17000
Detroit Lions
+17000
Jacksonville Jaguars
+17000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+25000
Denver Broncos
+40000
Arizona Cardinals
+45000
New York Giants
+50000
New York Jets
+70000
Atlanta Falcons
+70000
Washington Redskins
+200000
Cincinnati Bengals
+200000
Miami Dolphins
+500000

The Heavy Favorites

1. New England Patriots
2. Kansas City Chiefs
3. New Orleans Saints
4. Los Angeles Rams

new orleans saintsOverall you are getting heavy plus money across the board with the four major favorites. Do we need to go into why New England is a Super Bowl favorite? No. The Patriots are +360, so whether you are a homer or like to take a safe pick, the Pats are a healthy return. Kansas City were on the brink of a Super Bowl appearance last season. There were some leaks in the defense, and some off the field troubles, which puts somewhat of a damper on them. However, they still bring a loaded offense and hopefully an improved defense. The Chiefs at +550 is another fine value, and will likely start to trend down as the season gets going.

Both New England and Kansas City are the front runners in the AFC, and the Saints sit as favorites to with the NFC, with the Rams closely following behind. Now the Saints currently have the third best odds to win the Super Bowl. They were ousted in Minnesota on a miraculous play, and then last year they were hosed on a pass interference call late against the Rams. While there were certainly other reasons why they didn’t advance, you can still make the case for New Orleans reaching back-to-back Super Bowls. The Saints have one of the most complete rosters, a hall of fame quarterback, and a strong home field advantage.

Best Value: New Orleans Saints (+500)

Next In Line

5. Philadelphia Eagles
6. Cleveland Browns
7. Los Angeles Chargers
8. Chicago Bears
9. Green Bay Packers

los angeles chargersThe Cleveland hype train is real, and I was a bit surprised to see them with these odds. They have a vastly improved roster, and a better coaching staff for them to thrive. The story would be fun, but the surrounding teams seem like more likely shots this season, where Cleveland could thrive next year. Chicago was close last season, but the offense is still one I have a tough time trusting to make the long run. Carson Wentz’s health the last few years makes the Eagles a risky bet, but like Chicago, these are generous odds for teams that will be in the playoff mix.

Los Angeles has had some tough injury luck, and Philip Rivers has had a tough career running into the Patriots, Colts, and Steelers over the last 15 years. The Chargers at +2700 is extremely enticing, and really strong value for a team that is complete on both sides of the ball. If they can stay healthy, Los Angeles will be a double-digit win team. If they can lock up a one seed, the daunting task of traveling east would be avoided.

Best Value: Los Angeles Chargers (+7500)

Middle Tier Value

10. Pittsburgh Steelers
11. Dallas Cowboys
12. Houston Texans
13. Minnesota Vikings
14. Jacksonville Jaguars
15. Atlanta Falcons
16. Baltimore Ravens
17. Seattle Seahawks
18. San Francisco 49ers

minnesota vikingsThese seemingly are the teams that could make noise just by getting into the playoffs. Given how close most of these division races and wild card races will be, there will be some teams that just miss the cut. We have seen those 5/6 seeds make runs in the playoffs, and that is where these teams might be looking. Potential division winners would have an advantage in this group, and the AFC North, NFC North, NFC East, and AFC South are really up for grabs. Green Bay, Dallas, and Pittsburgh sit with higher odds, and you have to wonder if their market has inflated things a bit. Atlanta, Minnesota, Seattle, and Houston have such better chances, and better values to make a run and win the Super Bowl.

The Vikings were a team that took a step back, but with better offensive line help, and still a well-rounded roster they are a solid bunch. Atlanta is a team that struggled last season, and defensive injuries were a big part of it. The core of Julio Jones and Matt Ryan is aging quickly, and the window for this group is closing. The Falcons are an excellent bounce back team, and while they will have a tough time with New Orleans in the division, we have seen them push double-digit wins and take this division before. Seattle is always a threat, even though their roster isn’t on par with some of these teams. They are likely wild card finishers unless the Rams collapse, and with those two likely making the playoffs, it is tough to see San Francisco busting through this season.

Best Values: Minnesota Vikings (+2600), Atlanta Falcons (+70000), Seattle Seahawks (+3000)

Long Shots

19. Tennessee Titans
20. Carolina Panthers
21. Indianapolis Colts
22. New York Jets
23. Denver Broncos
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25. Buffalo Bills

carolina panthersNot a lot of thriving teams in this group, even though we have seen a few Super Bowl wins and appearances in this group over the last decade. A lot is going to rest on the shoulder’s of Cam Newton again, and his durability will be what keeps Carolina’s season afloat. Despite all of that, +5000 odds is worth taking a shot on. I can’t make the case for many in this group, although Tampa and New York might have some fireworks this season. The Giants might be close, but it is hard to see them moving in the right direction with the question marks at quarterback. The values here are sort of drawing dead when you look at what they would have to get through to even reach the playoffs. Carolina is in a tough division, but a wild card spot could be their way in again.

Best Value: Carolina Panthers (+4800)

Maybe In Five Years

26. Detroit Lions
27. New York Giants
28. Oakland Raiders
29. Washington Redskins
30. Arizona Cardinals
31. Cincinnati Bengals
32. Miami Dolphins

These teams have been here before, and by here, I mean they have been at the end of the table for least likely to win the Super Bowl. There is a lot to like about the rebuild process for some of these teams, but we won’t quite see it yet. Picking on from this group, Washington would be it. They have a complete defense, a steady run game, and if the quarterback situation pans out, Washington is a sneaky dark horse in the NFC East. This team won seven games, and then collapsed once Alex Smith went down with a major injury. They have a lot to offer, and they aren’t the most flashiest team of this group, but their style of play is going to be tricky for opponents in 2019.

Best Value: Washington Redskins (+200000)

  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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