Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins Matchup 5/5/24

Ryan Jeffers' Minnesota Twins (19-13) will face Jarren Duran's Boston Red Sox (18-16) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET at Target Field.

Matchup

Game Spread Team Totals Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Game Hitters Rating Pitchers Rating Open Current Open Current Open Current Open Current Line Moves
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox Red Sox Conf Confirmed 0 0 +1.5 (-166) +1.5 (-134) 4.5 3.5 8 runs 7.5 runs +136 +154 line-movement
Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins Twins Conf Confirmed 0 0 -1.5 (+138) -1.5 (+112) 4.5 4.5 -162 -184

Odds Comparison

Vegas vs. Lineups.com Odds
Vegas Difference Vegas Difference
Moneyline +154 154 -184 184
Totals 3.5 3.5 4.5 4.5
Win Probability 39% 39% 64% 64%
Over/Under
Vegas Difference
Over/Under 7.5 7.5
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away
18-16 7-9 11-7
15-15 6-8 9-7
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away
5-9-2 3-4-1 2-5-1
8-7-1 4-4-1 4-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
7 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 0-0-0
8 or 8.5 4-8-1 2-3-0 2-5-1 3-7-1 1-4-1 2-3-0
9 or 9.5 1-1-1 1-1-1 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0
10 or 10.5 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
11 and over 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 11-7 61.1% 61.1 4.7
Underdog 4-10 28.6% 31.6 2.8
After Losses 4-7 36.4% 45.5 5
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 8-6 57.1% 42.9 3.8
Favorite 16-7 69.6% 46.2 4.7
After Win 13-5 72.2% 61.1 5.2

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
5.1 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3
4.8 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.2
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
4.4 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2
5.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
5.0 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5
5.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.2
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
5.0 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2
4.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7

Boston Red Sox Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
5/4/24 BOS 1 @ MIN 3 +150 -178 7.5 runs 2.9 runs Brennan Bernardino (L) .579 .242 4.6 runs Pablo Lopez (R) .681 .258
5/4/24 BOS 2 @ MIN 5 +106 -124 7.5 runs 3.5 runs Tanner Houck (R) .376 .129 4.0 runs Chris Paddack (R) .666 .258
5/2/24 BOS 1 vs SF 3 -118 +100 9.5 runs 4.9 runs Josh Winckowski (R) .493 .138 4.6 runs Kyle Harrison (L) .525 .194
5/1/24 BOS 6 vs SF 2 -162 +136 8.5 runs 5.0 runs Kutter Crawford (R) .863 .303 3.4 runs Erik Miller (L) .502 .161
4/30/24 BOS 4 vs SF 0 +114 -134 8 runs 3.5 runs Cooper Criswell (R) .913 .344 4.4 runs Logan Webb (R) .321 .133
4/28/24 BOS 5 vs CHC 4 -146 +124 9.5 runs 5.4 runs Tanner Houck (R) .712 .265 4.0 runs Hayden Wesneski (R) .523 .206

Minnesota Twins Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
5/4/24 MIN 3 vs BOS 1 -178 +150 7.5 runs 4.6 runs Pablo Lopez (R) .681 .258 2.9 runs Brennan Bernardino (L) .579 .242
5/4/24 MIN 5 vs BOS 2 -124 +106 7.5 runs 4.0 runs Chris Paddack (R) .666 .258 3.5 runs Tanner Houck (R) .376 .129
5/1/24 MIN 10 @ CHW 5 -225 +188 9 runs 6.0 runs Bailey Ober (R) .948 .316 2.9 runs Chris Flexen (R) .697 .212
4/30/24 MIN 6 @ CHW 5 -178 +150 8.5 runs 5.2 runs Simeon Woods-Richardson (R) .784 .273 3.3 runs Mike Soroka (R) .879 .308
4/29/24 MIN 3 @ CHW 2 -162 +136 7.5 runs 4.4 runs Joe Ryan (R) .450 .125 3.0 runs Garrett Crochet (L) .595 .250
4/28/24 MIN 11 @ LAA 5 -108 -108 7.5 runs 3.7 runs Pablo Lopez (R) .032 .425 3.7 runs Reid Detmers (L) .653 .182

Red Sox vs. Twins Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, May 5, 2024
  • Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
  • Twins Starter: Joe Ryan
  • Red Sox Starter: Cooper Criswell
  • Moneyline Favorite: Twins -175
  • Moneyline Underdog: Red Sox +145
  • Over/Under: 7.5 runs

Red Sox vs. Twins Matchup Statistics

  • The Twins have the No. 14 offense in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game (151 total runs).
  • Minnesota is 15-0 in games this season when it scores five or more runs.
  • The Red Sox rank 13th in the majors with 153 total runs scored this season.
  • In 17 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 15-2.
  • The Twins have the 16th-ranked team ERA across all league pitching staffs (3.83).
  • Minnesota's pitching staff leads MLB with a collective 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Red Sox have pitched to a 2.66 ERA this season, which ranks first in baseball.
  • Boston averages the 17th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the majors this season.

Red Sox vs. Twins Previous Meetings

Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
5/4/2024 Twins -1.5 7 -180 +150 3-1 MIN
5/3/2024 Twins -1.5 7.5 -122 +102 5-2 MIN
3/18/2024 Twins -1.5 12.5 -185 +154 5-2 MIN
3/15/2024 Red Sox -1.5 8.5 -192 +160 8-5 BOS
3/6/2024 Twins -1.5 10 -180 +150 7-1 MIN
3/1/2024 Twins -1.5 9 -205 +170 5-3 MIN
6/22/2023 Twins -1.5 9 -140 +120 6-0 MIN
6/21/2023 Twins -1.5 8.5 -120 +100 5-4 MIN
6/20/2023 Twins -1.5 8.5 -130 +110 10-4 BOS
6/19/2023 Twins -1.5 7.5 -135 +115 9-3 BOS

Twins Leaders

  • Ryan Jeffers has racked up an on-base percentage of .383 and has 29 hits, both team-high figures for the Twins.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the major leagues, Jeffers' batting average places him 25th, his on-base percentage ranks 20th, and he is 13th in slugging.
  • Jeffers has hit safely in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .250 with four doubles, two walks and four RBI.
  • Edouard Julien is hitting .218 with five doubles, seven home runs and 18 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters, Julien is 129th in batting average, 58th in on-base percentage and 37th in slugging percentage.
  • Willi Castro has a .463 slugging percentage, which leads the Twins.
  • Castro heads into this one with a 10-game hit streak. In his last 10 outings he is batting .465 with six doubles, two triples, a home run and eight RBI.
  • Alex Kirilloff is hitting .244 with six doubles, three triples, two home runs and eight walks.

Red Sox Leaders

  • Jarren Duran has racked up a team-high .379 slugging percentage.
  • Duran sits at No. 78 in MLB this season with a .257 batting average, and also ranks 67th in OBP (.335). His .379 slugging percentage is 104th in baseball entering this game.
  • Tyler O'Neill leads his team with 26 base hits and an on-base percentage of .406.
  • With a .292 batting average, O'Neill ranks 30th in MLB. He also ranks 10th in the league in on base percentage (.406), and second in slugging (.629).
  • Wilyer Abreu is hitting .307 with eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 walks.
  • Rafael Devers is batting .286 with seven doubles, three home runs and 16 walks.

Red Sox vs. Twins Injury Report

  • Twins: Royce Lewis: 10-Day Injured List (Quadricep), Byron Buxton: 10-Day Injured List (Knee), Brock Stewart: 15-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Justin Topa: 15-Day Injured List (Knee), Zack Weiss: 60-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Josh Winder: 60-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Anthony DeSclafani: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Daniel Duarte: 60-Day Injured List (Shoulder)
  • Red Sox: Romy Gonzalez: 10-Day Injured List (Wrist), Tyler Heineman: 10-Day Injured List (Hamstring), Masataka Yoshida: 10-Day Injured List (Thumb), Bryan Mata: 15-Day Injured List (Hamstring), Garrett Whitlock: 15-Day Injured List (Oblique), Nick Pivetta: 15-Day Injured List (Elbow), Isaiah Campbell: 15-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Brayan Bello: 15-Day Injured List (Lat), Chris Murphy: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Liam Hendriks: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Lucas Giolito: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Triston Casas: 60-Day Injured List (Ribs)