Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Matchup 5/29/2023

The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat meet in a decisive Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals. The Celtics enter the matchup as favorites by 7.5 points for the game, which will be broadcast on TNT at 8:30 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 204 points.

Matchup - MIA leads best of 7 series 4-3

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Miami Heat Heat
85
+8.5 (-110)
+7.5 (-115)
203.5 pts
204 pts
+300
+235
line-movement
Boston Celtics Celtics
83
-8.5 (-110)
-7.5 (-105)
-365
-280

Odds Comparison

Over/Under History
Season Home Away
50-48-3 27-22-2 23-26-1
51-48-2 29-22-1 22-26-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
220 or Less 29-28-3 14-16-2 15-12-1 8-13-0 4-8-0 4-5-0
220.5 to 225 9-17-0 5-8-0 4-9-0 12-8-0 9-3-0 3-5-0
225.5 to 229 6-8-0 2-3-0 4-5-0 13-10-0 7-6-0 6-4-0
229.5 to 235 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 16-12-0 7-4-0 9-8-0
235.5 to 240 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 6-2-0 2-1-0 4-1-0
240.5 and over 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
Season Home Away
44-54-3 21-28-2 23-26-1
55-46-0 29-23-0 26-23-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.5 or More 1-3-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 8-7-0 8-7-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 10-9-0 2-6-0 8-3-0 13-12-0 11-12-0 2-0-0
-3.5 to -6.5 12-18-1 7-10-1 5-8-0 6-4-0 6-4-0 0-0-0
-0.5 to -3 6-10-1 5-7-1 1-3-0 6-1-0 2-0-0 4-1-0
0 to 3 9-8-1 5-2-0 4-6-1 10-5-0 2-0-0 8-5-0
+3.5 to +6.5 3-5-0 1-0-0 2-5-0 5-10-0 0-0-0 5-10-0
+7 to +10 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 7-3-0 0-0-0 7-3-0
+10.5 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-4-0 0-0-0 0-4-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 21-28 42.9% 45.9 108.5
Underdog 16-21 43.2% 56.8 110.6
After Losses 27-17 61.4% 50 108.8
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 37-14 72.5% 56.9 119
Favorite 61-28 68.5% 51.7 117.2
After Win 46-21 68.7% 55.2 118.1

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
116.8 29.6 29.3 29.1 28.8
105.9 26.9 27 27.6 24.4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
102.7 26.4 26.9 25.4 24
109.6 27.2 28 27.7 26.7
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
102.5 25.6 26.7 25.4 24.8
113.3 29.2 28.9 28.3 26.9
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
111.2 27.9 27.8 28.7 26.8
98.4 24.5 24.8 25.4 23.7

Miami Heat Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
5/28/23 MIA 103 vs BOS 104 +2 209.5 35.5% 29 17 46.7% 5 43.6% 34 12 20% 12
5/26/23 MIA 97 @ BOS 110 -8.5 215 51.3% 10 10 39.1% 16 50.6% 19 12 41% 9
5/24/23 MIA 99 vs BOS 116 -1.5 217 43.6% 28 12 25% 15 51.2% 18 7 40% 10
5/22/23 MIA 128 vs BOS 102 +4.5 214.5 56.8% 21 1 54.3% 9 39.8% 17 21 26.2% 15
5/20/23 MIA 111 @ BOS 105 -10 215 45.7% 19 11 34.6% 10 46.8% 24 6 28.6% 15

Boston Celtics Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
5/28/23 BOS 104 @ MIA 103 +2 209.5 43.6% 34 12 20% 12 35.5% 29 17 46.7% 5
5/26/23 BOS 110 vs MIA 97 -8.5 215 50.6% 19 12 41% 9 51.3% 10 10 39.1% 16
5/24/23 BOS 116 @ MIA 99 -1.5 217 51.2% 18 7 40% 10 43.6% 28 12 25% 15
5/22/23 BOS 102 @ MIA 128 +4.5 214.5 39.8% 17 21 26.2% 15 56.8% 21 1 54.3% 9
5/20/23 BOS 105 vs MIA 111 -10 215 46.8% 24 6 28.6% 15 45.7% 19 11 34.6% 10

Heat vs. Celtics Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Monday, May 29, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT
  • Favorite: Celtics (-7.5)
  • Total: 204

Heat vs. Celtics Matchup Statistics

  • The 117.9 points per game the Celtics put up are 8.1 more points than the Heat allow (109.8).
  • The Celtics are outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game with a +535 scoring differential overall. They put up 117.9 points per game (fourth in the NBA) and give up 111.4 per outing (fourth in the league).
  • The Heat score 109.5 points per game (30th in NBA) and allow 109.8 (second in league) for a -26 scoring differential overall.
  • Boston is posting 120.5 points per game when playing at home. In road games, it is averaging 115.4 points per contest.
  • Miami is scoring more points at home (111.4 per game) than on the road (107.5).
  • The Celtics have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 107.8 points per game in their last 10 contests, 10.1 points fewer than the 117.9 they've scored this season.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Heat are posting 107.4 points per contest, 2.1 fewer points than their season average (109.5).

Heat vs. Celtics Previous Meetings

Celtics vs Heat (Last 10 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
5/27/2023 Celtics -2 209.5 -125 +105 104-103 BOS
5/25/2023 Celtics -8.5 215 -300 +250 110-97 BOS
5/23/2023 Heat -1.5 216.5 -120 +100 116-99 BOS
5/21/2023 Celtics -4.5 214.5 -175 +150 128-102 MIA
5/19/2023 Celtics -10 215 -460 +370 111-105 MIA
5/17/2023 Celtics -8.5 211.5 -380 +310 123-116 MIA
1/24/2023 Heat -2 214.5 -125 +105 98-95 MIA
12/2/2022 Celtics -7 227 -280 +235 120-116 MIA
11/30/2022 Celtics -9.5 224.5 -460 +370 134-121 BOS
10/21/2022 Celtics -2 221 -130 +110 111-104 BOS
5/29/2022 Celtics -3 198 -155 +135 100-96 BOS
5/27/2022 Celtics -9 201.5 -435 +330 111-103 MIA
5/25/2022 Celtics -3.5 203.5 -160 +140 93-80 BOS
5/23/2022 Celtics -6.5 205.5 -265 +215 102-82 BOS
5/21/2022 Celtics -5.5 207 -240 +195 109-103 MIA
5/19/2022 Heat -1 206.5 -115 -105 127-102 BOS
5/17/2022 Heat -4.5 203 -210 +175 118-107 MIA
3/30/2022 Celtics -5 213.5 -200 +170 106-98 MIA
1/31/2022 Celtics -6.5 208.5 -240 +195 122-92 BOS
11/4/2021 Heat -6.5 213.5 -265 +215 95-78 BOS

Celtics Leaders

  • Jayson Tatum is tops on the Celtics at 30.1 points per contest (sixth in NBA) and 8.8 boards, while also posting 4.6 assists.
  • Jaylen Brown posts 26.6 points, 3.5 assists and 6.9 boards per contest.
  • Derrick White averages 12.4 points, 3.6 boards and 3.9 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.9 blocks.
  • Malcolm Brogdon posts 14.9 points, 4.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game, shooting 48.4% from the floor and 44.4% from downtown (fourth in league) with 2 made treys per contest.
  • Marcus Smart paces his squad in assists (6.3 per game), and also averages 11.5 points and 3.1 boards. Defensively he averages 1.5 steals (ninth in league) and 0.4 blocks.

Heat Leaders

  • Bam Adebayo tops the Heat in scoring (20.4 points per game) and rebounding (9.2). He is also putting up 3.2 assists, 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • Jimmy Butler, the Heat's top assist man, is averaging 5.3 assists per game, and he produces 22.9 points and 5.9 rebounds.
  • Max Strus is putting up 11.5 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He is sinking 41% of his shots from the field and 35% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 treys per game.
  • Caleb Martin gives the Heat 9.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game while averaging 1 steal and 0.4 blocked shots.
  • Kyle Lowry gets the Heat 11.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists per contest while averaging 1 steal and 0.4 blocked shots.

Heat vs. Celtics Injury Report

  • Celtics Injuries: Malcolm Brogdon: Questionable (Forearm)
  • Heat Injuries: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand), Gabe Vincent: Questionable (Ankle)