Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks Matchup 3/7/2024

In a game featuring one of the hottest teams in the NBA, the Miami Heat (35-26) face the Dallas Mavericks (34-28) at American Airlines Center on March 7, 2024. The Heat have won two in a row, and are 8-2 in their past 10 games, but the Mavericks are favorites by 4.5 points. The matchup's point total is set at 229.

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Miami Heat Heat
86
+5 (-110)
+4.5 (+100)
228.5 pts
231 pts
+170
+164
line-movement
Dallas Mavericks Mavericks
83
-5 (-110)
-4.5 (-120)
-205
-198

Odds Comparison

Over/Under History
Season Home Away
24-38-0 15-15-0 9-23-0
32-30-1 16-18-0 16-12-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
220 or Less 13-10-1 4-6-0 9-4-1 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
220.5 to 225 6-10-2 2-7-1 4-3-1 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
225.5 to 229 8-3-0 4-0-0 4-3-0 6-4-0 1-3-0 5-1-0
229.5 to 235 1-5-0 0-3-0 1-2-0 7-5-0 4-5-0 3-0-0
235.5 to 240 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 8-9-0 6-5-0 2-4-0
240.5 and over 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 10-9-0 3-5-0 7-4-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
Season Home Away
30-29-3 12-17-1 18-12-2
33-30-0 15-19-0 18-11-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.5 or More 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 4-3-0 3-2-0 1-1-0
-7 to -10 6-7-1 3-4-0 3-3-1 2-5-0 2-2-0 0-3-0
-3.5 to -6.5 8-7-0 2-4-0 6-3-0 7-8-0 3-7-0 4-1-0
-0.5 to -3 9-3-1 6-1-1 3-2-0 3-4-0 2-1-0 1-3-0
0 to 3 3-5-1 0-2-0 3-3-1 6-5-0 2-4-0 4-1-0
+3.5 to +6.5 2-4-0 0-3-0 2-1-0 10-5-0 3-3-0 7-2-0
+7 to +10 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
+10.5 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 18-13 58.1% 61.3 107.9
Underdog 10-17 37% 50 108.2
After Win 14-15 48.3% 44.8 110.2
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 18-15 54.5% 42.4 120.3
Favorite 25-11 69.4% 58.3 120.8
After Losses 15-8 65.2% 60.9 121.5

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
107.7 27.6 27.3 27.8 25
114.3 29.8 29 29.1 26.4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
101.5 26 26.7 25.4 23.4
110.8 27.3 28.5 28.2 26.8
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
101.5 25.1 26.3 25.5 24.6
113.2 29.4 29.2 27.8 26.8
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
110.3 28.2 28.6 26.8 26.7
110 27.1 28 28 26.9

Miami Heat Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
3/6/24 MIA 118 vs DET 110 -11 218 49.4% 23 8 45.2% 9 43.8% 22 10 28.6% 10
2/28/24 MIA 106 @ POR 96 +6.5 212.5 52.9% 26 6 53.8% 18 40.7% 19 15 32.3% 17
2/14/24 MIA 123 @ MIL 97 -7 224 51.7% 18 7 47.5% 14 44.6% 11 5 33.3% 18
2/11/24 MIA 106 vs BOS 110 +8 225 41.2% 15 14 30% 7 50.6% 17 6 41% 9
2/8/24 MIA 116 vs SA 104 -8 228 49.4% 23 5 31.6% 10 45.6% 17 6 32.4% 14

Dallas Mavericks Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
3/6/24 DAL 120 vs IND 137 -5.5 246.5 48.4% 21 9 33.3% 9 53.8% 24 9 46.2% 8
2/29/24 DAL 136 @ TOR 125 +3.5 241 54.2% 21 11 34.9% 14 46.9% 30 12 37.1% 11
2/28/24 DAL 119 @ CLE 121 -4 230.5 52.7% 15 5 42.4% 5 53% 18 9 50% 16
2/10/24 DAL 146 vs OKC 111 +1 239 58.2% 33 11 39.5% 12 38.8% 21 12 36.2% 10
2/9/24 DAL 122 @ NY 108 +6 228 52.4% 23 6 42.9% 8 44.7% 11 14 37.8% 14

Heat vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, March 7, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: TNT
  • Favorite: Mavericks (-4.5)
  • Total: 229

Heat vs. Mavericks Matchup Statistics

  • The 118.7 points per game the Mavericks put up are 8.8 more points than the Heat allow (109.9).
  • The Mavericks average 118.7 points per game (sixth in the league) while allowing 118.3 per outing (24th in the NBA). They have a +26 scoring differential overall.
  • The Heat score 110.8 points per game (27th in NBA) and concede 109.9 (sixth in league) for a +51 scoring differential overall.
  • When playing at home, Dallas is scoring 3.4 more points per game (120.3) than it is away from home (116.9).
  • Miami is putting up more points at home (113.7 per game) than on the road (107.9).
  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Mavericks have picked up their output slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 120.9 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 118.7 they've racked up over the course of this year.
  • The Heat are putting up 112.8 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is two more than their average for the season (110.8).

Heat vs. Mavericks Previous Meetings

Mavericks vs Heat (Last 10 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
4/1/2023 Mavericks -2.5 224.5 -140 +120 129-122 MIA
1/20/2023 Heat -2 218.5 -125 +105 115-90 DAL

Mavericks Leaders

  • Luka Doncic's numbers on the season are 34.6 points, 8.9 rebounds and 9.8 assists per game, shooting 49.6% from the field and 37.8% from downtown, with an average of 3.9 made 3-pointers (second in league).
  • Kyrie Irving averages 25.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5 assists, shooting 49% from the field and 42% from beyond the arc, with 3 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. is averaging 16.3 points, 3.5 boards and 1.7 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
  • Daniel Gafford is averaging 10.9 points, 8 rebounds and 1.5 assists.
  • P.J. Washington is averaging 13.6 points, 5.3 boards and 2.2 assists.

Heat Leaders

  • Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.4 points, 10.3 boards and 4 assists for the Heat.
  • The Heat are getting 21.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from Jimmy Butler.
  • The Heat get 12.7 points per game from Jaime Jaquez Jr., plus 4 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
  • Duncan Robinson averages 13.3 points, 2.5 rebounds and 3 assists. He is draining 45.5% of his shots from the field and 40.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 triples per contest.
  • Terry Rozier averages 23.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 6.6 assists. He is making 45.9% of his shots from the field and 35.8% from beyond the arc, with 2.8 triples per contest.

Heat vs. Mavericks Injury Report

  • Mavericks Injuries: Maxi Kleber: Probable (Knee), Luka Doncic: Probable (Ankle)
  • Heat Injuries: Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Kevin Love: Out (Heel), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot)