Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets Matchup 6/1/2023

13-7, 1st East Southeast
at
Ball Arena

12:30 am GMT , 6/2

12-3, 1st West Northwest
Ball Arena

12:30 am GMT , 6/2

Fri, 12:30a
Fri, 12:30a
MIA
Heat
DEN
Nuggets
The Miami Heat will look to prove the oddsmakers wrong as 8.5-point underdogs heading into Game 1 of the NBA Finals against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The matchup has an over/under of 219 points.

Matchup - Best of 7 series tied 0-0

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Open Current Open Current Open Current Line Moves
Miami Heat Heat
85
+8.5 (-110)
+8.5 (-110)
219 pts
219 pts
+295
+295
line-movement
Denver Nuggets Nuggets
90
-8.5 (-110)
-8.5 (-110)
-360
-360

Odds Comparison

Over/Under History
Season Home Away
50-48-3 27-22-2 23-26-1
45-48-3 20-27-2 25-21-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
220 or Less 29-28-3 14-16-2 15-12-1 3-2-0 0-1-0 3-1-0
220.5 to 225 9-17-0 5-8-0 4-9-0 11-6-0 5-3-0 6-3-0
225.5 to 229 6-8-0 2-3-0 4-5-0 13-17-0 7-9-0 6-8-0
229.5 to 235 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 17-12-0 12-4-0 5-8-0
235.5 to 240 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 9-4-1 6-0-1 3-4-0
240.5 and over 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
Season Home Away
44-54-3 21-28-2 23-26-1
53-42-1 30-18-1 23-24-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.5 or More 1-3-0 0-3-0 1-0-0 7-3-1 4-3-1 3-0-0
-7 to -10 10-9-0 2-6-0 8-3-0 7-9-0 6-7-0 1-2-0
-3.5 to -6.5 12-18-1 7-10-1 5-8-0 20-7-0 16-5-0 4-2-0
-0.5 to -3 6-10-1 5-7-1 1-3-0 5-8-0 0-3-0 5-5-0
0 to 3 9-8-1 5-2-0 4-6-1 5-5-0 1-0-0 4-5-0
+3.5 to +6.5 3-5-0 1-0-0 2-5-0 5-7-0 3-0-0 2-7-0
+7 to +10 3-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 2-2-0 0-0-0 2-2-0
+10.5 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 2-1-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 22-28 44% 47 108.4
Underdog 17-21 44.7% 57.9 110.4
After Win 29-27 51.8% 41.1 110.7
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 42-7 85.7% 62.2 118.7
Favorite 52-18 74.3% 52.1 117.5
After Win 44-20 68.8% 53.9 115.7

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
109.9 29.3 28.9 26.6 25.1
121.9 31.7 31.2 31 28
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
102.2 26.2 26.9 25.3 23.8
109.6 27.2 28 27.7 26.7
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
102.3 25.6 26.5 25.4 24.8
113.3 29.2 28.9 28.3 26.9
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
109.9 28.4 28.1 27.8 25.6
115.3 28.4 29.6 28.6 28.7

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV

Miami Heat Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
5/30/23 MIA 103 @ BOS 84 -7.5 204 48.8% 6 7 50% 12 39% 13 10 21.4% 15
5/28/23 MIA 103 vs BOS 104 +2 209.5 35.5% 29 17 46.7% 5 43.6% 34 12 20% 12
5/26/23 MIA 97 @ BOS 110 -8.5 215 51.3% 10 10 39.1% 16 50.6% 19 12 41% 9
5/24/23 MIA 99 vs BOS 116 -1.5 217 43.6% 28 12 25% 15 51.2% 18 7 40% 10
5/22/23 MIA 128 vs BOS 102 +4.5 214.5 56.8% 21 1 54.3% 9 39.8% 17 21 26.2% 15

Denver Nuggets Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
5/23/23 DEN 113 @ LAL 111 -3.5 225.5 48.2% 22 11 36.4% 8 46.5% 26 8 40% 6
5/21/23 DEN 119 @ LAL 108 -5.5 223 50% 19 5 41.5% 5 45.2% 29 11 31.2% 12
5/19/23 DEN 108 vs LAL 103 -5.5 225.5 43.8% 18 11 36.8% 15 43.9% 26 4 26.7% 12
5/17/23 DEN 132 vs LAL 126 -6.5 222.5 54.9% 22 15 46.9% 11 54.8% 26 5 45.8% 7
5/12/23 DEN 125 @ PHO 100 -1.5 226 53.7% 31 7 36.4% 10 48.1% 20 2 39.3% 14

Heat vs. Nuggets Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, June 1, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ABC
  • Favorite: Nuggets (-8.5)
  • Total: 219

Heat vs. Nuggets Matchup Statistics

  • The Nuggets score 6.0 more points per game (115.8) than the Heat allow (109.8).
  • The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game with a +273 scoring differential overall. They put up 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) and give up 112.5 per outing (eighth in the league).
  • The Heat put up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) while allowing 109.8 per contest (second in NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential.
  • Denver puts up 119.4 points per game in home games, compared to 112.2 points per game on the road, a difference of 7.2 points per contest.
  • In 2022-23 Miami is scoring 3.9 more points per game at home (111.4) than on the road (107.5).
  • The Nuggets' offense has been improved over their last 10 games, putting up 117.5 points per contest compared to the 115.8 they've averaged this year.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Heat are tallying 107.2 points per game, compared to their season average of 109.5.

Heat vs. Nuggets Previous Meetings

Nuggets vs Heat (Last 10 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/13/2023 Heat -1 217.5 -115 -105 112-108 DEN
12/30/2022 Nuggets -4 224 -175 +150 124-119 DEN
11/29/2021 Heat -3 206 -150 +130 120-111 DEN
11/8/2021 Heat -1.5 203 -125 +105 113-96 DEN

Nuggets Leaders

  • Nikola Jokic paces his squad in scoring (24.5 points per game), rebounds (11.8) and assists (9.8), shooting 63.2% from the floor. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocks.
  • Jamal Murray posts 20.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 6.2 assists per contest, shooting 45.4% from the field and 39.8% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Aaron Gordon puts up 16.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.8 blocks.
  • Bruce Brown averages 11.5 points, 3.4 assists and 4.1 boards.
  • Michael Porter Jr. averages 17.4 points, 1.0 assists and 5.5 rebounds.

Heat Leaders

  • Bam Adebayo leads the Heat in scoring (20.4 points per game) and rebounding (9.2). He is also producing 3.2 assists, 1.2 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
  • This year, Jimmy Butler is averaging a team-high 5.3 assists per game. He is also contributing 22.9 points and 5.9 rebounds, making 53.9% of his shots from the field.
  • The Heat are getting 11.5 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from Max Strus this season.
  • The Heat are receiving 9.6 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Caleb Martin this season.
  • The Heat are getting 11.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 5.1 assists per game from Kyle Lowry this year.

Heat vs. Nuggets Injury Report

  • Nuggets Injuries: None
  • Heat Injuries: Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee), Tyler Herro: Out (Hand)