Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat Matchup 3/13/2024

The Denver Nuggets (45-20) are favored by 4.5 points over the Miami Heat (35-29) on March 13, 2024 at FTX Arena. The Nuggets are red-hot, having won three in a row and going 9-1 in their past 10 games. The matchup has an over/under of 215 points.

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Denver Nuggets Nuggets
88
-3 (-110)
-3.5 (-112)
215 pts
217.5 pts
-148
-162
line-movement
Miami Heat Heat
86
+3 (-110)
+3.5 (-108)
+124
+136

Odds Comparison

Over/Under History
Season Home Away
26-39-1 14-18-1 12-21-0
24-41-0 15-17-0 9-24-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
220 or Less 6-7-0 2-2-0 4-5-0 13-11-1 4-7-0 9-4-1
220.5 to 225 4-9-0 3-5-0 1-4-0 6-10-2 2-7-1 4-3-1
225.5 to 229 7-4-1 5-2-1 2-2-0 9-4-0 4-1-0 5-3-0
229.5 to 235 10-7-0 4-3-0 6-4-0 1-5-0 0-3-0 1-2-0
235.5 to 240 3-6-1 3-3-0 0-3-1 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0
240.5 and over 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
Season Home Away
31-33-2 17-15-1 14-18-1
31-31-3 12-19-1 19-12-2
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.5 or More 6-4-0 5-4-0 1-0-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 8-5-1 7-5-1 1-0-0 7-7-1 3-4-0 4-3-1
-3.5 to -6.5 5-6-0 4-5-0 1-1-0 8-7-0 2-4-0 6-3-0
-0.5 to -3 1-4-0 0-1-0 1-3-0 9-3-1 6-1-1 3-2-0
0 to 3 5-5-0 1-0-0 4-5-0 3-5-1 0-2-0 3-3-1
+3.5 to +6.5 5-5-1 0-0-0 5-5-1 2-5-0 0-4-0 2-1-0
+7 to +10 1-2-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
+10.5 or more 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 18-14 56.2% 42.2 111
Favorite 41-15 73.2% 46.4 115.7
After Losses 14-4 77.8% 50 113.3
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 17-14 54.8% 40.3 113.5
Underdog 10-19 34.5% 50 107.9
After Win 14-15 48.3% 44.8 110.2

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
101.5 25.1 26.3 25.5 24.6
113.2 29.4 29.2 27.8 26.8
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
109.7 28.1 28.4 27.3 25.9
114.5 28.4 29.5 28.2 28.4
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
110.1 29.1 29.3 26.6 25.1
122.1 31.4 31.2 31.4 28.1
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
101.5 26 26.7 25.4 23.4
110.8 27.3 28.5 28.2 26.8

Denver Nuggets Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
3/6/24 DEN 107 vs PHO 117 -8.5 224 42.7% 14 10 37.5% 14 43.8% 22 11 44.1% 9
2/29/24 DEN 117 vs SAC 96 -7.5 231 54.1% 11 5 42.9% 15 40% 13 15 34.3% 14
2/9/24 DEN 114 @ LAL 106 +3 230.5 48.5% 7 14 43.8% 12 46.1% 22 10 32% 7
2/5/24 DEN 112 vs POR 103 -15 220.5 48.8% 19 14 42.9% 8 45.9% 15 15 35.5% 13
2/1/24 DEN 100 @ OKC 105 -6 226.5 39.8% 16 12 40.5% 8 42.5% 25 15 42.3% 11

Miami Heat Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
3/6/24 MIA 118 vs DET 110 -11 218 49.4% 23 8 45.2% 9 43.8% 22 10 28.6% 10
2/28/24 MIA 106 @ POR 96 +6.5 212.5 52.9% 26 6 53.8% 18 40.7% 19 15 32.3% 17
2/14/24 MIA 123 @ MIL 97 -7 224 51.7% 18 7 47.5% 14 44.6% 11 5 33.3% 18
2/11/24 MIA 106 vs BOS 110 +8 225 41.2% 15 14 30% 7 50.6% 17 6 41% 9
2/8/24 MIA 116 vs SA 104 -8 228 49.4% 23 5 31.6% 10 45.6% 17 6 32.4% 14

Nuggets vs. Heat Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, March 13, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Favorite: Nuggets (-4.5)
  • Total: 215

Nuggets vs. Heat Matchup Statistics

  • The Nuggets put up 5.1 more points per game (115) than the Heat give up (109.9).
  • The Nuggets' +283 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 115 points per game (15th in the NBA) while giving up 110.7 per outing (seventh in the league).
  • The Heat put up 110.5 points per game (27th in league) while allowing 109.9 per contest (sixth in NBA). They have a +36 scoring differential.
  • Denver posts 118.9 points per game at home, compared to 111 points per game in road games, a difference of 7.9 points per contest.
  • At home, Miami averages 113.5 points per game. On the road, it scores 107.7.
  • The Nuggets have seen an uptick in scoring recently, racking up 120.9 points per game in their last 10 outings, 5.9 points more than the 115 they've scored this year.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Heat are scoring 109.9 points per contest, 0.6 fewer points than their season average (110.5).

Nuggets vs. Heat Previous Meetings

Nuggets vs Heat (Last 10 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
2/29/2024 Nuggets -6.5 214 -265 +215 103-97 DEN
6/12/2023 Nuggets -8 210 -340 +280 94-89 DEN
6/9/2023 Nuggets -3 211.5 -145 +125 108-95 DEN
6/7/2023 Nuggets -3.5 213 -165 +140 109-94 DEN
6/4/2023 Nuggets -8 216.5 -340 +280 111-108 MIA
6/1/2023 Nuggets -8.5 219 -360 +295 104-93 DEN
2/13/2023 Heat -1 217.5 -115 -105 112-108 DEN
12/30/2022 Nuggets -4 224 -175 +150 124-119 DEN

Nuggets Leaders

  • Nikola Jokic averages 26.2 points, 12.3 boards and 9.2 assists.
  • Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 16.6 points, 7 boards and 1.5 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • Jamal Murray is averaging 21.2 points, 6.6 assists and 4 rebounds.
  • Aaron Gordon is averaging 13.9 points, 6.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists.
  • Reggie Jackson averages 10.1 points, 2 boards and 3.7 assists, shooting 44.2% from the field and 35% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 made treys per contest.

Heat Leaders

  • Per game, Bam Adebayo provides the Heat 19.9 points, 10.4 rebounds and 4 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 1 block.
  • The Heat are getting 21.7 points, 5.5 boards and 4.9 assists per game from Jimmy Butler.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s numbers on the season are 12.8 points, 4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game. He is making 50% of his shots from the floor.
  • Duncan Robinson averages 13.4 points, 2.5 boards and 2.9 assists. He is sinking 45.4% of his shots from the field and 40.6% from 3-point range, with 2.9 treys per contest.
  • The Heat get 23.2 points per game from Terry Rozier, plus 3.9 boards and 6.6 assists.

Nuggets vs. Heat Injury Report

  • Nuggets Injuries: Vlatko Cancar: Out (Knee)
  • Heat Injuries: Jimmy Butler: Probable (Illness), Tyler Herro: Out (Foot), Josh Richardson: Out (Shoulder), Dru Smith: Out (Knee), Kevin Love: Out (Heel)