Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns Matchup 5/11/2023

The Denver Nuggets will look to pull off an upset as slight 2-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Phoenix Suns at Footprint Center on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN. The Nuggets hold a 3-2 series lead. The matchup's over/under is set at 226.

Matchup - DEN leads best of 7 series 4-2

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Denver Nuggets Nuggets
90
+3.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
226.5 pts
226 pts
+140
+100
line-movement
Phoenix Suns Suns
86
-3.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
-165
-120

Odds Comparison

Over/Under History
Season Home Away
43-46-3 19-26-2 24-20-1
47-42-3 23-22-1 24-20-2
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
220 or Less 3-2-0 0-1-0 3-1-0 7-7-0 2-4-0 5-3-0
220.5 to 225 10-5-0 5-2-0 5-3-0 10-15-0 6-7-0 4-8-0
225.5 to 229 12-16-0 7-8-0 5-8-0 16-14-1 12-5-1 4-9-0
229.5 to 235 17-12-0 12-4-0 5-8-0 11-8-0 4-4-0 7-4-0
235.5 to 240 9-4-1 6-0-1 3-4-0 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
240.5 and over 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
Season Home Away
51-40-1 30-16-1 21-24-0
45-46-1 24-21-1 21-25-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.5 or More 7-3-1 4-3-1 3-0-0 5-9-0 4-6-0 1-3-0
-7 to -10 7-9-0 6-7-0 1-2-0 6-4-1 4-3-1 2-1-0
-3.5 to -6.5 18-5-0 16-3-0 2-2-0 8-9-0 5-3-0 3-6-0
-0.5 to -3 5-8-0 0-3-0 5-5-0 11-10-0 7-4-0 4-6-0
0 to 3 5-5-0 1-0-0 4-5-0 4-8-0 1-4-0 3-4-0
+3.5 to +6.5 5-7-0 3-0-0 2-7-0 6-3-0 1-1-0 5-2-0
+7 to +10 2-2-0 0-0-0 2-2-0 4-3-0 2-0-0 2-3-0
+10.5 or more 2-1-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 20-24 45.5% 45.5 112.8
Underdog 10-13 43.5% 60.9 111.2
After Win 39-20 66.1% 53.4 115.4
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 31-14 68.9% 54.4 115.2
Favorite 41-15 73.2% 56.2 116.3
After Losses 19-21 47.5% 57.5 112.3

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
114.6 28.6 27.9 30 28.1
111.8 27.7 27.6 28.8 27.7
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
109.9 28.4 27.9 28.1 25.5
115.2 28.3 29.6 28.7 28.6
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
109.7 29.2 28.9 26.5 25.1
121.9 31.6 31.3 31 28
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
112.6 27.7 27.1 29.7 28.1
104.7 26.4 25.9 26.8 25.6

Denver Nuggets Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
5/10/23 DEN 118 vs PHO 102 -6.5 227.5 49.4% 28 10 48.1% 10 43.2% 24 8 33.3% 10
5/8/23 DEN 124 @ PHO 129 -1 226 56.2% 23 10 31.8% 8 56.8% 29 12 44.8% 13
5/6/23 DEN 114 @ PHO 121 -4 225 44.3% 21 16 33.3% 12 50.5% 18 7 32.1% 9
5/2/23 DEN 97 vs PHO 87 -4 229 47.4% 21 5 25.9% 10 40% 5 11 19.4% 9
4/30/23 DEN 125 vs PHO 107 -4.5 227 47.5% 15 16 43.2% 9 51.2% 17 8 30.4% 16

Phoenix Suns Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV FG% FTA ORB 3P% TOV
5/10/23 PHO 102 @ DEN 118 -6.5 227.5 43.2% 24 8 33.3% 10 49.4% 28 10 48.1% 10
5/8/23 PHO 129 vs DEN 124 -1 226 56.8% 29 12 44.8% 13 56.2% 23 10 31.8% 8
5/6/23 PHO 121 vs DEN 114 -4 225 50.5% 18 7 32.1% 9 44.3% 21 16 33.3% 12
5/2/23 PHO 87 @ DEN 97 -4 229 40% 5 11 19.4% 9 47.4% 21 5 25.9% 10
4/30/23 PHO 107 @ DEN 125 -4.5 227 51.2% 17 8 30.4% 16 47.5% 15 16 43.2% 9

Nuggets vs. Suns Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, May 11, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Favorite: Suns (-2)
  • Total: 226

Nuggets vs. Suns Matchup Statistics

  • The Suns record just 1.1 more points per game (113.6) than the Nuggets allow (112.5).
  • The Suns have a +170 scoring differential, topping opponents by two points per game. They're putting up 113.6 points per game to rank 17th in the league and are allowing 111.6 per contest to rank sixth in the NBA.
  • The Nuggets have a +273 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.3 points per game. They're putting up 115.8 points per game, 12th in the league, and are allowing 112.5 per contest to rank eighth in the NBA.
  • Offensively Phoenix has fared better in home games this season, averaging 114.1 points per game, compared to 113.2 per game in away games.
  • Denver averages 119.4 points per game at home, and 112.2 on the road.
  • The Suns have seen an increase in scoring recently, racking up 115.6 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.0 points more than the 113.6 they've scored this year.
  • In their past 10 games, the Nuggets are posting 114.9 points per game, 0.9 fewer points than their season average (115.8).

Nuggets vs. Suns Previous Meetings

Suns vs Nuggets (Last 10 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
5/9/2023 Nuggets -6.5 227.5 -260 +220 118-102 DEN
5/7/2023 Suns -1 226 -115 -105 129-124 PHO
5/5/2023 Suns -4 225 -180 +155 121-114 PHO
5/1/2023 Nuggets -4 229 -170 +145 97-87 DEN
4/29/2023 Nuggets -4.5 227 -180 +155 125-107 DEN
4/6/2023 Suns -13.5 222 -900 +625 119-115 PHO
3/31/2023 Suns -13.5 223.5 -850 +600 100-93 PHO
1/11/2023 Nuggets -14.5 227 -1150 +750 126-97 DEN
12/25/2022 Nuggets -4 229 -175 +150 128-125 DEN
3/24/2022 Nuggets -1 232 -125 +105 140-130 PHO
11/21/2021 Suns -11 208.5 -525 +385 126-97 PHO
10/20/2021 Suns -6 224 -240 +195 110-98 DEN

Suns Leaders

  • Deandre Ayton puts up a team-best 10.0 rebounds per game. He also averages 18.0 points and 1.7 assists, shooting 58.9% from the field.
  • Devin Booker is tops on the Suns at 27.8 points per contest and 5.5 assists, while also averaging 4.5 boards.
  • Kevin Durant puts up 29.1 points, 6.7 boards and 5.0 assists per contest, shooting 56.0% from the field and 40.4% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made 3-pointers per game.
  • Torrey Craig averages 7.4 points, 1.5 assists and 5.4 rebounds.
  • Josh Okogie averages 7.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Nuggets Leaders

  • This season, Nikola Jokic tops the Nuggets in scoring (24.5 points per game), rebounding (11.8) and assists (9.8), shooting 63.2% from the field. He also delivers 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
  • The Nuggets are getting 20.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 6.2 assists per game from Jamal Murray this season.
  • Aaron Gordon is putting up 16.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game. He is draining 56.4% of his shots from the field.
  • The Nuggets are getting 11.5 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game from Bruce Brown this year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. gets the Nuggets 17.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.0 assists per contest while delivering 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Nuggets vs. Suns Injury Report

  • Suns Injuries: Chris Paul: Out (Groin), Deandre Ayton: Questionable (Rib)
  • Nuggets Injuries: None