There are ten games on tonight’s slate as I find myself double-checking to make sure there are not any more games postponed. Not a bad night for selecting pitchers, and we also have a Coors game on our hands as well. Vegas isn’t a believer in many offenses tonight as the Astros, Angels, and Braves are the only teams with an implied total over five outside of Coors. There are some weather concerns as the game in Washington has a chance at some rain, and Washington isn’t the greatest at handling weather issues. Baltimore is going through the same issues. Wind at Wrigley is blowing in a bit, which helps out the pitchers.
Kyle Hendricks – SP – $7,700
Vs. Kansas City Royals
The Cubs are a -191 favorite tonight and the Royals have an implied total of 3.4 runs. Kyle Hendricks posted an Opening Day gem and then a negative fantasy outing in his second start. He gets a more favorable matchup here against the Royals. This lineup has a collective .310 wOBA and 22.9% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching dating back to last season.
Max Fried – SP – $8,500
Vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Max Fried was a name to watch as he has a 3.33 xFIP and 24.9% strikeout rate dating back to last season. He has also sported a high .334 BABIP in that time period. Fried has a great strikeout and groundball rate. While this Toronto lineup has a lot of power against left-handed pitching, they also have struck out 25% of the time. Fried has done an excellent job limiting power and has a solid slider and curve to work with as well.
Daniel Murphy – 1B – $4,500
Vs. Kevin Gausman
Normally I do not write up Coors but on a slate with limited offenses, I will work in the two best Colorado bats tonight in terms of the matchup. Daniel Murphy also comes in at a slight bargain and looks fully healthy again after battling injuries last season. He gets Kevin Gausman who has allowed a .215 ISO and .348 wOBA to left-handed batters since last season.
Brian Anderson – 3B/OF – $4,400
Vs. John Means
Brian Anderson has been a bit unlucky against left-handed pitching. He has a .204 ISO but deserves better than a .317 wOBA against southpaws given the hard-contact rate and xwOBA. John Means has some decent stuff but isn’t the most consistent and struggled in his first game. Anderson is a nice GPP play as this game will go overlooked despite the nice park factors and mediocre arms.
Shohei Ohtani – 1B/OF – $4,500
Vs. Justin Dunn
While we won’t be seeing Ohtani on the mound for the year, we do get him as the DH and that is just fine with me. Ohtani faces Justin Dunn who doesn’t have much big league experience and Ohtani should crush granted he is in the lineup. If not, Cody Bellinger is just a few hundred more.
Charlie Blackmon – OF – $5,800
Vs. Kevin Gausman
Yes, Charlie Blackmon is expensive but is a name I don’t mind jamming in against Gausman. As mentioned above with Murphy, Gausman has struggled against both sides of the plate but has given up more power to lefties. Blackmon has a .388 wOBA and .249 ISO off right-handed pitching since last season.
Matt Adams – 1B – $3,800
Vs. Matt Shoemaker
Matt Adams is a cheap power option projected to hit fifth tonight. He has a high strikeout rate but a .217 ISO against right-handed pitching dating back to last season. Matt Shoemaker has been a name to struggle with home runs in his career and Adams mashes a sinker that shoemaker throws 30% of the time to lefties.
Rio Ruiz – 3B – $3,400
Vs. Pablo Lopez
Rio Ruiz is expected to be back in the lineup tonight and he has had a power surge so far this season. Hitting cleanup at $3,400 in a power-friendly park for lefties is not a bad move tonight. Pablo Lopez has also struggled against left-handed hitters with a .368 wOBA and .211 ISO allowed
Jason Heyward – OF – $3,200
Vs. Brady Singer
If you are looking for cheap exposure, Jason Heyward is very cheap and gets an inexperienced right-hander on the hill. Heyward has been great against right-handed pitching dating back to last season with a .352 wOBA and .193 ISO.