DraftKings NFL Week 10 Buy Sell + Optimal DFS Lineups

Over/Under Lookahead

One of the best ways to identify valuable DraftKings targets is projecting the game script and potential scoring production for both teams in any given matchup. Of course, we want to target the highest-scoring games on the week as those games will produce the most fantasy points. Game stacks are often a great way to reduce variability in a given lineup by securing more pieces from a higher-scoring game. As we head into November, the weather will continue to be a massive factor, so make sure you check out our matchup pages to stay apprised of the forecast. These are the games this week with the highest and lowest over/under totals (main slate only).

Highest-Scoring Games

  1. Bills @ Cardinals – O/U 56 (Cardinals -1.5, implied odds CAR 28.75, BUF 27.25)
  2. Seahawks @ Rams – O/U 55.5 (Rams -1.5, implied odds LAR 28.5, SEA 27)
  3. Texans @ Browns – O/U 53.5 (Browns -3, implied odds CLE 28.25, HOU 25.25)
  4. Broncos @ Raiders – O/U 52 (Raiders -5, implied odds LV 28.5, DEN 23.5)
  5. Jaguars @ Packers – O/U 51.5 (Packers -13.5, implied odds GB 32.5, JAX 19)

Lowest-Scoring Games

  1. Eagles @ Giants – O/U 44.5 (Eagles -3.5, implied odds PHI 24, NYG 20.5)
  2. Washington @ Lions – O/U 45.5 (Lions -4, implied odds DET 24.75, WAS 20.75)
  3. Bengals @ Steelers – O/U 47.5 (Steelers -7.5, implied odds PIT 27.5, CIN 20)
  4. Chargers @ Dolphins – O/U 48 (Dolphins -2.5, implied odds MIA 25.25, LAC 22.75)
  5. 49ers @ Saints – O/U 50 (Saints -9, implied odds NO 29.5, SF 20.5)

Quarterbacks

Players I’m Buying

arizona cardinalsKyler Murray ($8,000): It’s been an incredible fantasy season for the second-year pro Kyler Murray as he continues to light the league on fire. He topped 37 fantasy points for his second straight game last week, despite facing a tough Miami defense. Murray rushed for 106 yards in that game, his first 100+ yard rushing game of the season, and ran for a fourth-straight game touchdown. He’s thrown for 8 touchdowns to just 1 interception over his past three games and is playing among the best football at the quarterback position right now. Feel free to fire him up this week as the Bills’ defense has been solid but isn’t the same juggernaut it was last season.

houston texansDeshaun Watson ($6,900): The departure of Bill O’Brien from Houston seems to have reinvigorated Deshaun Watson as he’s finished as a QB1 in each of his past four games, averaging 26.3 fantasy points per game over that span. With Will Fuller and Brandin Cooks playing very well, Watson’s topped 300 yards passing in four of his past five games. This week, he faces the Browns, who have dealt with several injuries to their secondary. Cleveland has allowed the 10th-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, and Watson has top-five upside this week.

 

los angeles rams new 100x100Jared Goff ($6,500): Coming off a bye week after a 4-turnover performance in one of the worst games of his career, Jared Goff doesn’t exactly give you the warm and fuzzies right now. However, the Seahawks’ pass defense has been the worst in the NFL by a huge margin. They’ve allowed 362.1 passing yards per game, the most in the NFL, and over 50 more than the team that’s allowed the 2nd-most (Atlanta). Seattle has also allowed the most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. With players like Shaquill Griffin, Quinton Dunbar, K.J. Wright, and Benson Mayowa dealing with injuries, this already overmatched defense isn’t full strength. Goff may not be the sexiest fantasy option week-to-week, but he should excel in this matchup.

miamidolphins100X100Tua Tagovailoa ($5,600): After two games with their rookie quarterback under center, the Dolphins are Tua-and-0 over that span. Alright, now that I got the crappy pun out of the way, let’s take a look at some numbers. Last week against the Cardinals, Tua actually had to open up the offense as the Dolphins couldn’t rely solely on their defense. The former Alabama star was excellent with 248 passing yards and 2 touchdowns, and 35 rushing yards to finish with 21.4 fantasy points. His rushing ability gives him a strong fantasy baseline, and I’m expecting him to have to air the ball out again this week against the Chargers. LA allows the 4th-most fantasy points to QBs per game, so Tua should take advantage, and at this price point, his upside is huge.

Other quarterbacks I’m buying: Aaron Rodgers ($7,900), Russell Wilson ($7,700), Josh Allen ($7,500), Justin Herbert ($6,600), Tom Brady ($6,300), Carson Wentz ($5,900), Drew Lock ($5,500), Derek Carr ($5,400), Daniel Jones ($5,200)

Players I’m Selling

new orleans saintsDrew Brees ($6,400): The 49ers’ defense is a mess right now with injuries all over the place, and the Saints’ 4th-highest-scoring offense should be able to take advantage. However, Drew Brees doesn’t offer nearly the same upside as some other quarterbacks with his limited rushing production. Brees hasn’t surpassed 24 fantasy points once all year, even last week when he threw a season-high 4 touchdowns. The Niners are a middle-of-the-pack defense in terms of fantasy points allowed to QBs, and Brees provides a solid baseline, but I don’t see a huge upside here.

 

carolina panthersTeddy Bridgewater ($6,100): Like the veteran quarterback he backed up last year, Bridgewater’s upside has been pretty capped this season. He’s surpassed 26 fantasy points just twice. However, he combines that limited upside with some frustrating inconsistency as he has scored 12 or fewer fantasy points on four separate occasions. This week, he faces the Buccaneers, who have allowed opposing QBs to score the seventh-fewest fantasy points per game, and they held Bridgewater to just 8.6 fantasy points back in Week 2. This offense has been impressive, but the Buccaneers defense is going to give them fits this week.

cleveland brownsBaker Mayfield ($6,000): Passing volume is an important predictor for fantasy success, especially for quarterbacks who offer little in the way of rushing production. Mayfield has thrown 30 or fewer passes in all but two games this season and, combined with a poor 61.4% completion rate, the volume just hasn’t been there. His matchup is strong this week against the Texans, who allow the 8th-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, but the Browns have a limited group of pass-catchers and will be looking to establish the run against an even worse run defense. With Nick Chubb back in the fold, I expect the Browns to rack up one of the highest rushing totals of the week, and while Mayfield could be solid enough for Cleveland to win, his fantasy upside is capped.

jacksonville jaguarsJake Luton ($5,400): I was in on some Jake Luton magic last week, and the rookie sixth-round quarterback performed a lot better than most expected as he had one passing and one rushing touchdown to help him finish with 21.8 fantasy points. He did that against the Texans, though, and his matchup gets much tougher this week against a Packers defense that allows the sixth-fewest fantasy points per game to QBs. Luton obviously isn’t a proven talent and my intrigue in him last week had much more to do with his low price tag, which has since increased significantly. In a tougher matchup on the road, I’m not willing to spend even more money on Luton when Tua Tagovailoa and Drew Lock are available for similar prices.

Other quarterbacks I’m selling: Ben Roethlisberger ($6,200), Matthew Stafford ($5,800), Joe Burrow ($5,700), Nick Mullens ($5,300), Alex Smith ($5,200)

Running Backs

Players I’m Buying

green bay packersAaron Jones ($7,100): It was great to see Aaron Jones get back on the field last week, although he didn’t have a great game as he gained just 79 yards on 20 touches. However, this week he faces the Jaguars defense that has been very beatable this season. They’ve allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and the sixth-most rushing yards per game. Jones is a touchdown machine as he’s hit paydirt seven times in six games, and the Jaguars have allowed seven rushing touchdowns since Week 3. With the Packers sitting as one of the biggest favorites on the week, this could be Jones’s first 20+ carry game of the season, and he’s almost a lock to be a top-ten guy barring something unexpected. He has RB1 upside this week, as well.

cleveland brownsNick Chubb ($6,800): On Wednesday, Nick Chubb said he’s “not sure” if he’ll be able to play on Sunday, but he reportedly felt great getting back on the practice field, and the Browns are hopeful to have him back this week. I’m expecting him to play, and he’s set for a huge return game against a Houston defense that has surrendered the 3rd-most fantasy points per game to running backs. Chubb is one of the most talented backs in the NFL, and while Kareem Hunt will still be involved, I’m expecting the Browns to have some of the highest rushing volume in football moving forward. Keep an eye on the practice reports this week to make sure Chubb suits up, but he’s a strong play if he does.

 

washington football teamAntonio Gibson ($5,600): Fantasy players might be fading Antonio Gibson after he had just 55 yards from scrimmage on 9 touches against the Giants last week, especially with J.D. McKissic entrenched as the team’s third-down back. However, Gibson is the team’s go-to goalline back and has produced through the air despite McKissic’s involvement. Washington plays the Lions this week, who have allowed opposing running backs to average 30.4 1/2-point PPR points against them, the most in the NFL. Gibson is still underpriced on DraftKings and last week was the first time all season he didn’t see double-digit touches. With Washington likely playing in a more manageable game script this week, look for Gibson to take advantage of one of the worst run defenses in football.

carolina panthersMike Davis ($4,000): This is the classic value vs. ownership debate. With Christian McCaffrey’s return last week, DraftKings tanked Davis’s price tag to the minimum amount. However, it looks like CMC won’t be able to play this week, which leaves Davis as the go-to back. He doesn’t have a great matchup against a Buccaneers team that allows the fewest rushing yards per game, but Davis averaged 18.8 touches per game with CMC out, and it’s hard to argue with that value. Davis is going to be chalked this week, but sometimes you have to bite the bullet in terms of ownership when extreme value presents itself, and this is one of those situations.

Other running backs I’m buying: Alvin Kamara ($8,200), James Conner ($6,900), James Robinson ($6,600), Miles Sanders ($6,400), Chris Carson ($6,200), Leonard Fournette ($5,500), Zack Moss ($5,200), D’Andre Swift ($5,100), Kalen Ballage ($5,000), J.D. McKissic ($4,900), JaMycal Hasty ($4,800)

Players I’m Selling

oakland raidersJosh Jacobs ($6,500): If you’re looking for consistency in your DraftKings lineup, Josh Jacobs is the way to go as he has 10+ PPR points in all but one game this season. He’s a great target for cash games or double-ups, as his baseline is solid. However, Jacobs has surpassed 16 PPR points just once, so his upside hasn’t really been there. He’s been somewhat involved in the passing game, and he does have 6 rushing touchdowns, but his efficiency has taken a hit as he’s rushing for just 3.7 YPC. This week, he faces the Broncos, who have allowed the fifth-fewest fantasy points to running backs. The upside isn’t normally there for Jacobs, and in a tough matchup, he’s not someone I’m looking to add to tournament lineups.

cincinnati bengalsJoe Mixon ($6,300): As he works his way back from a foot injury, it’s still up-in-the-air as to whether or not Joe Mixon will be able to make his return this week. If he does, though, he could be in for a rough game against the Steelers, who have allowed the seventh-fewest fantasy points to running backs. Pittsburgh has allowed opposing running backs to run the ball at a 4.1 YPC clip, the 10th-lowest in the NFL. Mixon has run for just 3.6 YPC this year, and the Bengals’ offensive line is dealing with a bunch of injuries. Add in the injury to Mixon, and there are many negative factors in play for Cincy’s running game this week.

losangeleschargersnew100X100Justin Jackson ($4,700): Jackson was starting to become a consistent fantasy option with 10+ fantasy points in three straight games, but he hurt his knee on the first play against the Raiders in Week 9 and ended up with no touches in the game. His health is a real question mark, and his availability is very much up-in-the-air. Even if he were healthy, I wouldn’t be thrilled to play him against a Miami defense that is really starting to round into form. The Chargers have other options in the backfield in Joshua Kelley, Kalen Ballage, and Troymaine Pope, so I don’t see how Jackson returns to the double-digit touches he had been seeing.

buffalo billsDevin Singletary ($4,300): This season has started to fall apart for Devin Singletary as he’s surpassed 7 PPR points just once in the past five weeks. This price point might seem enticing, but I’m not considering playing him in most matchups with the workload increasingly going to Zack Moss. Singletary ran for just 1 yard on 2 carries last week and had just 1 rushing touchdown all year. With Moss set as the goalline back and continuing to eat into Singletary’s workload, it’s hard to justify playing him against the Cardinals who are middle-of-the-pack against the running back position.

Other running backs I’m selling: Boston Scott ($6,000), Darrell Henderson ($5,900), Giovani Bernard ($5,400), David Johnson ($5,400), Devonta Freeman ($4,600), Dion Lewis ($4,100), Kerryon Johnson ($4,000)

Wide Receivers

Players I’m Buying

green bay packersDavante Adams ($9,000): Adams continues to cement himself as the best receiver in football as he has averaged 38.1 PPR points over his last three games. His 16-game pace over that span? 160 catches for 2,250 yards and 32 touchdowns. I don’t need to tell you that those numbers are wholly unsustainable – those would be record-breaking marks across the board. However, it may take another week before Adams really starts to regress as he faces an overmatched passing defense in Jacksonville this week. The Jaguars have relied on rookie C.J. Henderson as their top cover cornerback, and they’ve allowed the 12th-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers. I’ll definitely be rolling out a lineup with the Rodgers-Adams stack this week, and if you can swallow the massive price, he should provide a solid return on investment.

los angeles rams new 100x100Cooper Kupp ($6,900) and Robert Woods ($6,600): The Seahawks continue to be on pace to have the worst passing defense in NFL history by a massive margin. No, that’s not a typo – the 2011 Packers allowed 4,796 passing yards, the most of all time, and the Seahawks are on pace to give up 5,794 passing yards. Recent injuries to Quinton Dunbar, Shaquill Griffin, K.J. Wright, and Benson Mayowa haven’t helped matters, and Sean McVay’s Rams are primed to take advantage of this weak defense coming off their bye week. Kupp, typically a touchdown machine, has only scored twice this season, but he does have 71 targets through 8 games, which puts him on pace for a career-high mark in catches. Meanwhile, Woods has 4 receiving touchdowns and 2 rushing touchdowns, which puts him on pace for a career-high in scoring. I have both of these guys ranked inside my top 15 at wide receiver this week, and there’s a distinct possibility that they both end up inside the top ten with as much passing volume as I’m expecting from Jared Goff.

houston texansWill Fuller ($6,700) and Brandin Cooks ($5,600): DeShaun Watson’s continued breakout has led to huge success for Will Fuller, and he has now scored a touchdown in six straight games with double-digit PPR points in each of those contests. This week, he faces a banged-up Cleveland secondary that has allowed the 5th-most fantasy points to wide receivers. Fuller sees a consistent target share and has the big-play ability, as shown by his three games with 18+ YPR this season. The Browns have allowed 12 touchdowns to receivers this year, so Fuller should keep his streak going and finish inside the top ten again. Cooks has also been on fire as of late with 9+ targets in each of his past four games and a touchdown in three of those contests. Both players should be set for great games this week.

denver broncosJerry Jeudy ($5,600) and K.J. Hamler ($3,800): The Broncos’ second-year quarterback is coming off his first-ever 300-yard passing game, and he finished with 29.2 fantasy points against the Falcons, the best fantasy outing of his career. He’ll have another opportunity to succeed this week as the Raiders allow the seventh-most passing yards per game. Jeudy had his first 100-yard game as a pro last week with 7 catches for 125 yards and a touchdown, while K.J. Hamler finished with 6 catches for 75 yards and a carry for 15 yards. The two Broncos’ rookie receivers will be matched up with Nik Needham and Lamarcus Joyner this week, both of whom have been torched repeatedly. This game has a high over-under total, and I’m expecting some strong passing volume for Denver, so I like both of these guys in a plus matchup.

Other wide receivers I’m buying: Stefon Diggs ($7,500), Keenan Allen ($7,100), Terry McLaurin ($6,800), Chris Godwin ($6,000), Kenny Golladay ($5,900), John Brown ($5,300), Diontae Johnson ($5,200), Nelson Agholor ($4,900), Curtis Samuel ($4,900), Hunter Renfrow ($4,200), Jalen Reagor ($4,200), Jakeem Grant ($4,100), Josh Reynolds ($3,500), David Moore ($3,400), Steven Sims ($3,400)

Players I’m Selling

arizona cardinalsDeAndre Hopkins ($7,700): It was a surprisingly quiet Week 9 for DeAndre Hopkins as he finished with just 3 catches for 30 yards against the Dolphins. Xavien Howard shadowed him for the majority of the game and held him to a quiet afternoon. He hasn’t been as consistent as other top wide receivers this season, although his top games have been great. This week, the Cardinals face-off with the Bills, who boast one of the top cornerbacks in the NFL in Tre’Davious White. Hopkins is still a must-start in season-long leagues, obviously, and he should finish as a top-ten wide receiver this week, but I’m fading him in DFS as his upside is capped against one of the top cover corners in the NFL.

seattle seahawksD.K. Metcalf ($7,600): I faded D.K. Metcalf against Tre’Davious white last week – he finished with 7 catches for 108 yards and a touchdown. Oops. However, Metcalf will be put through the wringer again this week as he faces Jalen Ramsey – nobody has been playing better football at the cornerback position this season as he’s allowed just 3.8 yards per target on a 38.1% catch rate since Week 1. Metcalf has been stellar this season, and at a certain point, we have to ask ourselves whether or not he’s truly a matchup-proof fantasy weapon. However, the Rams’ defense has been excellent this season as they’ve allowed the 2nd-fewest fantasy points per game to wide receivers. I’m not telling you to bench Metcalf in any kind of season-long league, but I’m fading him given his price tag and this brutal matchup.

cincinnati bengalsTyler Boyd ($6,400), Tee Higgins ($5,500), and A.J. Green ($4,400): You’ll look at the Steelers’ defense and see that the one area they’ve been vulnerable is against wide receivers, allowing the 8th-most fantasy points per game to that position group. However, the Steelers have the most sacks in the NFL so far, and they’re going to terrorize a Bengals’ offensive line that was terrible to start the season and has only gotten worse due to injuries. Joe Burrow has had some tremendous passing volume as of late, but the Steelers have allowed just 214.6 passing yards per game, the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Boyd has averaged 8.5 targets per game and has a 79.4% catch rate this season, so he still provides a solid baseline, but it’s hard to imagine the rookie Burrow lighting it up with Pittsburgh’s pass rush bearing down on him.

carolina panthersRobby Anderson ($6,100): Anderson has broken out as the Panthers’ top wideout as he’s topped 15 PPR points in five of his nine games despite only one touchdown so far. He has fewer than eight targets in just two games this year. However, Anderson faces a tough matchup this week in the Buccaneers, who boast Carlton Davis on the perimeter. He has allowed just 5.6 yards per target and a 52.8% catch rate this year. The Buccaneers have held opponents to the ninth-fewest fantasy points per game this year, and their pass rush will make life difficult on Teddy Bridgewater in the pocket. Anderson is still worth playing in season-long leagues, but this is not a big upside for him.

losangeleschargersnew100X100Mike Williams ($5,400): The Dolphins don’t typically deploy shadow coverage, but they have done so with Xavien Howard against DK Metcalf and DeAndre Hopkins in recent weeks. Last week, Howard held Hopkins to just 3 catches for 30 yards. Williams has been a very volatile wide receiver this season, and the Dolphins’ defense is really rounding into form as of late. His downfield speed and contested-catch ability give him tremendous weekly upside, but Howard has shown well against those big-bodied, possession receivers like Williams. I’ll fade him this week as I’m expecting the Chargers’ offense to take a bit of a step back this week.

Other wide receivers I’m selling: Mike Evans ($6,300), D.J. Chark ($6,200), Antonio Brown ($5,800), Christian Kirk ($5,700), Darius Slayton ($4,800), Randall Cobb ($4,000), Laviska Shenault ($3,800), Dontrelle Inman ($3,300), DaeSean Hamilton ($3,200)

Tight Ends

Players I’m Buying

oakland raidersDarren Waller ($5,900): The tight end landscape has taken a hit as George Kittle is injured, Travis Kelce is on bye, and Mark Andrews and Jimmy Graham are playing in primetime. That leaves  Waller as the clear top option this week. He’s scored 10+ fantasy points in six of his eight games and has been very consistent as one of Derek Carr’s favorite targets. His touchdowns are also up – he’s scored 4 times already after just 3 touchdowns in all of last season. The Broncos have been fairly stout against tight ends, but Waller is still a strong target given his guaranteed targets and consistency.

detroit lionsT.J. Hockenson ($5,100): In his second professional season, T.J. Hockenson has evolved into one of the most consistent tight ends in the NFL. He has 4+ catches, a touchdown, or both in every game this season and has surpassed 9 PPR points in every game. Over the past three weeks, he’s averaging 5.6 catches for 54.3 yards and 0.6 touchdowns per game. He’s become the go-to passing target for the Lions with Kenny Golladay out, and even if their top receiver returns this week, Hockenson should succeed against Washington. The Football Team has locked down wide receivers but has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to tight ends, so Hockenson should be in for another great week.

pittsburgh steelersEric Ebron ($4,400): In his first season with the Steelers, Eric Ebron has gotten much more involved as of late, and he has now scored a touchdown in two straight games. He’s also seen 5+ targets in all but one of his last seven games. In the rocky tight end landscape, it’s hard to ask for much more than that. Ebron also has a tremendous opportunity to extend his scoring streak to three games as he takes on the Bengals, who have allowed the 2nd-most fantasy points per game to tight ends this season. He’s not always going to see 5 or 6 catches as he has at some points this season, but he’s a talented player and a go-to red-zone target in a plus matchup.

los angeles rams new 100x100Gerald Everett ($3,100): I spoke about Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods earlier as they take on the Seahawks’ defense that’s on pace to give up over 1,000 more passing yards to opponents than the most of all time. The Seahawks have been better against tight ends, especially with Jamal Adams back in the fold, but it’s hard to ignore Everett’s low price point given how Sean McVay loves to utilize his tight ends. I’d definitely go for Everett over Higbee as he’s been more involved and even has a rushing touchdown this season from a value standpoint. Higbee could still have a solid game, but at $3,100, Everett is a fantastic value play against a weak defense.

Other tight ends I’m buying: Rob Gronkowski ($4,700), Evan Engram ($4,500), Dallas Goedert ($4,200), Austin Hooper ($3,900)

Players I’m Selling

miamidolphins100X100Mike Gesicki ($4,300): The Dolphins will be without Preston Williams for a significant amount of time as he hits IR with a foot injury. That could lead to more targets for Gesicki, but he has just 8 total targets, and 4 total catches over the past two weeks. He’s surpassed 10 fantasy points just twice all year. Tua Tagovailoa also has not exactly had a ton of passing volume as he has averaged 25 passing attempts across his two starts. With Williams out and against the Chargers’ poor pass defense, there’s a chance Gesicki has a strong game, but until we see a real connection between him and Tua, I’m not rolling him out in DraftKings.

losangeleschargersnew100X100Hunter Henry ($4,100): Justin Herbert’s rookie breakout for the Chargers has not led to production for Hunter Henry as he’s averaging just 10.8 yards per reception, a career-low, and hasn’t surpassed four catches in his last five games. His yardage totals over the past five weeks are 39, 23, 23, 33, and 33, and he has just one touchdown over that span. He faces the Dolphins this week, who have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points per game to tight ends. Henry just doesn’t have enough upside this week to justify spending this much money on him.

 

san francisco 49ersRoss Dwelley ($3,800): It was Peanut Butter Dwelley time for the 49ers last week as their third-year tight end caught 3 passes for 52 yards with George Kittle out of the lineup. However, it was Jordan Reed’s first game off Injured Reserve, and we should expect him to get more involved moving forward. I’m not thrilled about any part of this 49ers’ offense on the road against the Saints this week, and while New Orleans has allowed the 8th-most fantasy points per game to tight ends, Dwelley’s target share will likely drop this week.

 

green bay packersRobert Tonyan ($3,600): After he had just one catch for five yards last week, the Robert Tonyan breakout feels like a thing of the past. With Davante Adams dominating targets and Allen Lazard likely back this week, the target share that was there for Tonyan a few weeks ago has evaporated. He’s also dealing with an ankle injury that could limit his production or even keep him off the field this week. This is a strong matchup as the Jaguars have allowed the 3rd-most fantasy points to tight ends, but I don’t trust Tonyan at all this week.

Other tight ends I’m selling: Tyler Higbee ($3,700), Greg Olsen ($3,600), Jordan Reed ($3,500), Drew Sample ($3,400), Kyle Rudolph ($3,400), Logan Thomas ($3,300), Dawson Knox ($3,200), Tyler Eifert ($3,000)

Top Defense/Special Teams Plays

pittsburgh steelersPittsburgh Steelers ($4,400): The Steelers’ defense has dominated this season as they’ve racked up 32 sacks through 8 games, the most per game in the NFL. The Bengals have allowed 3.5 sacks per game, the third-most, and their offensive line is dealing with several injuries to key players. The Steelers will be all over Joe Burrow in this game, and it’s worth paying up for their DST as Cincy has allowed the 8th-most fantasy points per game to opposing DSTs.

 

miamidolphins100X100Miami Dolphins ($2,800): The Dolphins are playing like one of the best defenses in the NFL as they’ve allowed just 20.1 points per game, the 4th-fewest in football. This week, they face the Chargers who’s rookie quarterback Justin Herbert has been absolutely rolling. However, as a rookie QB, the other shoe will drop for Herbert at some point, and the Dolphins have a talented cast of defensive players to throw at him. The Chargers have been middle-of-the-pack in surrendering points to DSTs, but Miami is a strong value play at this price.

 

new orleans saintsNew Orleans Saints ($3,000): The Saints’ defense has not been the picture of consistency this season, but they finally showed up as they absolutely plastered the Buccaneers in holding them to 3 points in primetime. Nick Mullens, Brandon Aiyuk, and Richie James aren’t nearly as dangerous as Tom Brady, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Antonio Brown, so the Saints should keep it going this week. The Saints should benefit from a couple of turnovers and a poor offensive output from this makeshift Niners team to produce for fantasy.

 

new york giantsNew York Giants ($2,500): Yep, this is gross. I know. But sometimes you have to play numbers, not aesthetics, and the Giants defense has actually been really solid with 15 takeaways this season, the 2nd-most in the NFL. That’s a perfect recipe for success against the Eagles, who have one of the most turnover-prone QBs in football in Carson Wentz. Philly has turned the ball over 17 times this year, more than all but one team, and they’ve given up the 6th-most fantasy points to opposing DSTs.

Other DSTs I’m buying: Green Bay Packers ($3,700), Philadelphia Eagles ($3,600), Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($3,400), Washington Football Team ($3,200), Detroit Lions ($2,600), Las Vegas Raiders ($2,500)

Stacks of the Week

  1. Jared Goff ($6,500) and Cooper Kupp ($6,900)/Robert Woods ($6,600)
  2. Deshaun Watson ($6,900) and Will Fuller ($6,700)
  3. Aaron Rodgers ($7,900) and Davante Adams ($9,000)
  4. Josh Allen ($7,500) and Stefon Diggs ($7,500)
  5. Justin Herbert ($6,600) and Keenan Allen ($7,100)
  6. Kyler Murray ($8,000) and DeAndre Hopkins ($7,700)
  7. Tom Brady ($6,300) and Chris Godwin ($6,000)
  8. Carson Wentz ($5,900) and Travis Fulgham ($6,400)
  9. Russell Wilson ($7,700) and D.K. Metcalf ($7,600)
  10. Drew Lock ($5,500) and Jerry Jeudy ($5,600)

Sample Lineups

Lineup #1

QB: Jared Goff $6,500
RB: Aaron Jones $7,100
RB: Antonio Gibson $5,600
WR: Cooper Kupp $6,900
WR: Stefon Diggs $7,500
WR: Will Fuller $6,700
TE: Gerald Everett $3,100
FLEX: K.J. Hamler $3,800
DST: New York Giants $2,700

Lineup #2:

QB: Aaron Rodgers $7,900
RB: James Robinson $6,600
RB: J.D. McKissic $4,900
WR: Davante Adams $9,000
WR: Brandin Cooks $5,600
WR: Nelson Agholor $4,900
TE: Evan Engram $4,500
FLEX: Josh Reynolds $3,500
DST: New Orleans Saints $3,000

Lineup #3:

QB: Drew Lock $5,500
RB: Nick Chubb $6,800
RB: Miles Sanders $6,400
WR: Keenan Allen $7,100
WR: Jerry Jeudy $5,600
WR: Diontae Johnson $5,200
TE: Darren Waller $5,900
FLEX: Mike Davis $4,000
DST: Tampa Bay Buccaneers $3,400

Lineup #4:

QB: Deshaun Watson $6,900
RB: Aaron Jones $7,100
RB: Antonio Gibson $5,600
WR: Terry McLaurin $6,800
WR: Will Fuller $6,700
WR: Robert Woods $6,600
TE: Austin Hooper $3,900
FLEX: David Moore $3,400
DST: Miami Dolphins $2,800

Lineup #5:

QB: Josh Allen $7,500
RB: Alvin Kamara $8,200
RB: Antonio Gibson $5,600
WR: Stefon Diggs $7,500
WR: Travis Fulgham $6,400
WR: Curtis Samuel $4,900
TE: Gerald Everett $3,100
FLEX: Josh Reynolds $3,500
DST: Washington Football Team $3,200

  
For as long as I've been watching sports, I've been gambling on them too. I used to place $1 bets on several NBA games throughout the week with a buddy in high school with the winner rarely getting more than a few dollars for their trouble. It didn't matter - the rush of landing a winning bet and the ensuing bragging rights were enough. Now I've graduated to full-blown degenerate status, placing copious futures bets for every sport and designing elaborate parlays for maximum payoff. I've experienced my fair share of blown chances but there's no better feeling than using my sports research and knowledge to pull off a win.

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