Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills Matchup 11/2/25

6-11, 12th AFC West
at

KC 21 @ BUF 28

Highmark Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT

12-5, 6th AFC East

KC 21 @ BUF 28

Highmark Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT
Updated: 11:25 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs
86
90
85
+2.5 (-105)
-2.5 (-115)
48 pts
53 pts
+120
+120
line-movement
Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills Bills
91
87
95
-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
+105
+110
48 pts
53 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +120 +110
Spread -2.5 +2.5
Totals 27.8 25.2
Win Probability 53% 47%
Over/Under
Over/Under 53
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
3-6-0 1-4-0 2-2-0 3-4-0 0-2-0
4-4-0 3-2-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 4-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
46.1 and over 2-4-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 4-4-0 3-2-0 1-2-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
5-4-0 4-1-0 1-3-0 4-3-0 1-1-0
4-4-0 2-3-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 4-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0
-0.1 to -3 1-2-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 1-2 33.3% 33.3 23.7
Favorite 4-2 66.7% 66.7 26.7
After Win 3-1 75% 37.5 15.5
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 3-1 75% 25 30.8
Underdog 1-0 100% 100 41
After Win 3-1 75% 14.3 16

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
28.6 3.2 11 8.2 6.2
30.8 7 4 6.8 13
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
14.3 4.7 4.3 0 5.3
22.3 2.3 6.3 7 6.7
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
23.7 3.3 6.3 4.3 9.7
28 6.7 8.7 10.3 2.3
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
12.8 3.4 4 1.2 4.2
25.8 5 7.5 6.8 6.5

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
1/26/25 BUF 29 @ KC 32 0 49.5 points 368 135 233 3 1 374 147 227 2 2
11/17/24 KC 21 @ BUF 30 BUF -2 47 points 259 78 181 0 3 366 104 262 3 1
1/21/24 KC 27 @ BUF 24 BUF -2 46 points 361 146 215 1 2 368 182 186 2 1
12/10/23 BUF 20 @ KC 17 KC -2 49 points 346 82 264 1 1 327 118 209 1 1
10/16/22 BUF 24 @ KC 20 BUF -2 54 points 387 68 319 0 2 443 125 318 0 3

Kansas City Chiefs Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/28/25 KC 28 vs WAS 7 KC -10.5 48.5 points 432 148 284 1 3 260 60 200 0 1
10/19/25 KC 31 vs LV 0 KC -13.0 44.5 points 434 152 282 1 3 95 25 70 0 0
10/13/25 KC 30 vs DET 17 KC -2.5 51.5 points 355 112 243 1 3 297 98 199 0 2
10/7/25 KC 28 @ JAX 31 KC -3.5 45.5 points 476 158 318 3 1 319 109 210 2 1
9/28/25 KC 37 vs BAL 20 BAL -2.5 48.5 points 382 118 264 0 4 360 166 194 1 1

Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/26/25 BUF 40 @ CAR 9 BUF -7.0 47.5 points 410 245 165 4 1 244 114 130 1 0
10/13/25 BUF 14 @ ATL 24 BUF -3.5 49.5 points 291 134 157 0 2 443 210 233 2 1
10/6/25 BUF 20 vs NE 23 BUF -7.5 49 points 363 118 245 0 2 338 71 267 2 0
9/28/25 BUF 31 vs NO 19 BUF -14.5 48.5 points 356 165 191 2 2 298 189 109 1 1
9/19/25 BUF 31 vs MIA 21 BUF -11.5 50.5 points 360 157 203 1 3 276 130 146 1 2