Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs Matchup 11/21/23

Super Bowl 57 is now set between the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles. Get updated betting odds & lines for the Chiefs Vs. Eagles matchup on 2/12/23. Compare betting splits across the recent season and see how our Lineups rating system grades out each team. Take a deep dive around our site to find plenty of analysis on the Chiefs vs. Eagles including a quick preview down below.

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles Eagles
93
95
93
+3.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-108)
50.5 pts
46 pts
+115
+122
line-movement
Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs Chiefs
94
92
97
-3.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-112)
-135
-145
50.5 pts
46 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +122 -145
Spread +2.5 -2.5
Totals 21.8 24.2
Win Probability 41% 59%
Over/Under
Over/Under 46
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0
1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 0-0-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
46.1 and over 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
2-0-1 0-0-1 2-0-0 1-0-1 1-0-0
2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 0-0-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 2-0-1 0-0-1 2-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
-0.1 to -3 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
0 to 3 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 4-1 80% 60 25
Underdog 0-1 0% 0 34
After Win 2-0 100% 33.3 19.7
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 4-1 80% 80 26.4
Favorite 2-1 66.7% 66.7 26
After Win 1-0 100% 33.3 13.7

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
31.8 5 8.5 11.5 6
26.4 4 17.2 2.6 2.6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18.2 2.5 8.8 2 5
19.2 2.8 8.6 0.6 7.2
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
25 7.2 6.8 3.8 7.2
19 6.8 5.5 5.2 1.5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
24.8 4.2 8.5 3.5 8.5
14 2 2.8 4.2 5

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
2/12/23 KC 38 @ PHI 35 PHI -1 51.5 points 417 115 302 3 1 340 158 182 1 3
10/3/21 KC 42 @ PHI 30 PHI -7 53 points 461 103 358 1 2 471 200 271 1 5
9/17/17 PHI 20 @ KC 27 KC -4 47.5 points 406 107 299 0 2 344 112 232 2 1
9/19/13 KC 26 @ PHI 16 KC -3 50 points 431 264 167 1 1 394 146 248 1 0
9/27/09 KC 14 @ PHI 34 KC -7 39 points 420 93 327 2 2 196 99 97 0 2

Philadelphia Eagles Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/25/23 PHI 25 @ TB 11 PHI -5.5 46 points 472 201 271 1 1 174 41 133 0 1
9/15/23 PHI 34 vs MIN 28 PHI -6.0 49.5 points 430 259 171 3 1 374 28 346 0 4
9/10/23 PHI 25 @ NE 20 PHI -3.5 44 points 251 97 154 0 1 382 76 306 0 3
2/12/23 PHI 35 vs KC 38 PHI -1.5 51.5 points 417 115 302 3 1 340 158 182 1 3
1/29/23 PHI 31 vs SF 7 PHI -3.0 44.5 points 269 148 121 4 0 164 81 83 1 0

Kansas City Chiefs Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/24/23 KC 41 vs CHI 10 KC -13.0 48 points 456 153 303 2 3 203 116 87 0 1
9/17/23 KC 17 @ JAX 9 KC -3.5 50 points 399 101 298 0 2 271 74 197 0 0
9/8/23 KC 20 vs DET 21 KC -4.0 53 points 316 90 226 0 2 368 118 250 1 1
2/12/23 KC 38 @ PHI 35 PHI -1.5 51.5 points 340 158 182 1 3 417 115 302 3 1
1/29/23 KC 23 vs CIN 20 KC -2.0 48.5 points 357 42 315 0 2 309 71 238 1 1

Super Bowl 57 Matchup: Chiefs Vs. Eagles

The Super Bowl matchup is set. The Philadelphia Eagles defeated the San Francisco 49ers 31-7 before the Kansas City Chiefs knocked off the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 to set the stage for this highly intriguing championship game. It's a classic setup between the best roster in the NFL in the Eagles against the best quarterback in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes. Super Bowl Odds point in favor of the Eagles as they are under a field goal favorite in the spread.

Mahomes is set to win his second MVP award as he led the NFL in passing yards, touchdowns, and QBR. He was also the highest rated quarterback by EPA. It goes without saying that he's the best quarterback the Eagles have faced this season, and their defense has shown some cracks at times. It stems from their miscommunication on the back end, particularly when they're in their traditional zone defense.

We saw it in Week 16 when Dak Prescott completed 24 of 24 passes for 300 yards against the Eagles' zone defense per Next Gen Stats. The Eagles surrendered 40 total points in that game, allowing the Cowboys to finish eight of their ten drives with points. That type of defense would prove incredibly problematic against Mahomes as the bread and butter of the Chiefs' offense is finding gaps in zone defense and Mahomes delivering accurate passes with touch and precision.

On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs could be in trouble against Philly's rushing offense. Kansas City ranked just 21st in adjusted line yards on defense while the Eagles were sixth in the same metric on offense. Overall, the Chiefs were 16th in run defense EPA and 17th in DVOA. We've seen their run defense get gashed repeatedly at times this season.

In the NFC Championship, the Eagles gained 148 rushing yards on the 49ers who ranked second in both run defense EPA and DVOA, so they should have plenty of success against the Chiefs' mediocre run defense. I'm intrigued by the Chiefs' defensive personnel choices here. They've used dime personal on 30% or more of plays in four of their last five games compared to 3 of their first 14, per Next Gen Stats.

That dime personnel package has helped them rank second in defensive success rate against the pass in the playoffs, but it leaves them more vulnerable against the run. If they play with extra defensive backs against the Eagles, we can certainly expect them to take advantage. However, if they go with heavier personnel, Jalen Hurts has elite pass-catchers to help him take advantage of Kansas City's pass defense.

Overall, you're looking at two of the best teams in the NFL this season. They were both top five in overall DVOA. The Eagles are more balanced, ranking top six on offense and defense, but the Chiefs ranked first in offensive DVOA by a sizable margin. We're set for a fascinating Super Bowl, and you can find full coverage for the big game on our site and YouTube channel.

Get updated Eagles Super Bowl Odds and Chiefs Super Bowl Odds throughout kickoff.