Bengals Odds to Win Super Bowl 2021
Bengals Odds to Win Super Bowl: +15000
Bengals Win Total: 5.5
Bengals Odds to Win Division: +2600
Bengals Odds to Win Conference: +7000
Bengals Odds Analysis
Last year was one to forget in Cincinnati. The Bengals didn’t register their first victory until the month of December and would go on to register only two wins for the entire 2019-20 campaign. While it wasn’t the start that first-year coach Zac Taylor envisioned, the Bengals did manage to secure the top overall pick in the NFL Draft. Things can only go up from here.
Even with an undeniable improvement in talent, Cincinnati still has a long way to climb to get back in the conversation of being legitimate playoff and Super Bowl contenders. The Bengals’ Super Bowl LV odds of +15000 at FanDuel Sportsbook tie the Washington Redskins for the 2nd longest odds on the board among all 32 NFL teams. Their AFC Championship odds of +7000 match the Jacksonville Jaguars for the longest odds in the conference. The Bengals win total sits at 5.5, with a bit of juice on the over.
AFC North Betting Analysis
Concerning the AFC North division winner odds, the Bengals are the longshot underdogs at +2600 odds. After finishing with the NFL’s best record last season, the Baltimore Ravens are the odds-on divisional favorites at -200. The Pittsburgh Steelers are next at +340 while the Cleveland Browns sit at +480. All three teams are clearly viewed as being well ahead of the Bengals.
In all honesty, it would take some semblance of a miracle for the Bengals to win the AFC North this year despite their improvements. The Ravens will again be led by dual-threat QB Lamar Jackson, the reigning NFL MVP. One could argue that Baltimore only got better during the offseason. The Steelers will again have a top-tier defense and the return of QB Ben Roethlisberger makes them a very real threat. The Browns also figure to be improved, welcoming in a new coaching staff and plenty of fresh talent.
When it comes to the schedule, there aren’t many holes to find for Cincinnati this year. Then again, no game is easy in the NFL. The Bengals do have the 27th ranked strength of schedule in terms of winning percentages from last season. Unfortunately, each of their AFC North rivals’ schedules ranks lower than that. NFC crossover games against the NFC East could provide some winnable opportunities. In the AFC, the playthrough comes against the AFC South. The Bengals will have good chances against Jacksonville in early October and at Miami in early December. All in all, the win total of 5.5 seems pretty fair based on the slate.
Bengals Offseason and Draft
The Bengals embarked on a new era this offseason, courtesy of their landing the number one overall pick in the NFL Draft. A changing of the guard at quarterback and the addition of several other young talents have laid the foundation for the future in Cincinnati.
The big headline in southwest Ohio this NFL offseason was the Bengals’ selection of reigning Heisman winner and National Champion quarterback Joe Burrow to kick off the draft. Burrow displayed tremendous growth as a player in his final collegiate campaign to go along with his poised leadership and even-keeled demeanor. The Bengals opted to cut veteran Andy Dalton, further showing that they are all in on Burrow as the starter in 2020 and beyond.
One thing Burrow should have working in his favor this season is an improved offensive line. Cincinnati signed guard Xavier Su’a-Filo in free agency. He and 2019 first-round pick Jonah Williams headline the unit, while 2020 sixth-rounder Hakeem Adeniji could prove to be worth much more than his draft capital would suggest coming into the league. A point of emphasis will be to improve on last season’s adjusted run-blocking efficiency ranking of 26th (Football Outsiders) to open up more holes for talented running back Joe Mixon. He and veteran Giovani Bernard should both prove to be reliable safety valves for Burrow out of the backfield.
One of the most intriguing parts about this year’s Bengals squad is the wide receiver group. After missing the entire 2019-20 season to injury, veteran A.J. Green will be back in the fold this year. While his best days might be behind him, he should still be considered the team’s top weapon until further notice. Tyler Boyd is a tremendous second option, while rookie second-round pick Tee Higgins comes in full of potential. Auden Tate, John Ross, Alex Erickson, and tight end C.J. Uzomah could all play a role in the passing game as well.
The Bengals accounted for much of their defensive turnover in free agency. The secondary in particular welcomes in several new additions in cornerbacks Trae Waynes and Mackensie Alexander and safety Vonn Bell. The most noteworthy signing of all might be nose tackle D.J. Reader. The newcomers will join forces with holdovers Carlos Dunlap, Geno Atkins, and Sam Hubbard to put together a solid unit from front to back. Third-round pick Logan Wilson could have an immediate impact as a rookie linebacker as well.
-Imposing Defensive Front
-Tremendous Pass Catcher Depth
-Youth and Inexperience
-Offensive Line Still Not Great
The Bengals began their rebuild from the basement of the NFL standings with an impressive showing in the NFL Draft and in free agency. The 2020-21 season should yield more wins than last year’s campaign, but Cincinnati still has work to do relative to the other teams in their division and conference.
The Bengals’ Super Bowl and conference championship odds are some of the longest on the board for a reason. The team may be improved but expecting that much of a jump is not wise. Given the depth in the AFC North division, betting on the Bengals to pull a worst-to-first and win the division is also not advisable.
There’s not much point in betting the Bengals to not make the playoffs given the -1200 odds. The only bet worth a look is the win total of 5.5. I personally would lean to the Bengals falling short of the 6 wins necessary for an over despite the juice on that side of the bet. But with so many new players, including a rookie QB, it may be best to pass on the Bengals futures market altogether.
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