FanDuel NFL Week 13 Tournament GPP Picks: Daily Fantasy Advice & Strategy
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When playing in large-field tournaments, you need to balance players hitting their absolute ceiling for the week, whether with a stack of using a lineup of one-offs. Ownership is important, but many tournaments have been won with having a few high owned players that go off that week. This article will bring you my favorite tournament plays stretched across various prices where I am looking at them hitting their peak. Some will carry some ownership just for being top plays, while some will be lesser owned.
Quarterbacks
Aaron Rodgers – $8,500 – Projection: 23.2
Aaron Rodgers has been about as consistent as they come this season and is averaging 23.9 fantasy points on the year. He has a 33.3 fantasy point ceiling as well, with plenty of GPP upside. I would expect average ownership but nothing too crazy. He gets an Eagles matchup that doesn’t look great on paper but ranks 20th in DVOA and has allowed six 20+ fantasy point games to quarterbacks.
Ryan Tannehill – $7,800 – Projection: 19.9
With the Browns missing their secondary this week, Ryan Tannehill and the passing stack is a great pivot away from the chalky Derrick Henry. While he could still be included in the stack, it is a pricey one and there are a few backs to pivot towards this week. Cleveland is already allowing the 8th most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season. Tanny is averaging 7.9 yards per attempt this season and 19.2 fantasy points per game on the year.
Running Backs
Miles Sanders – $7,200 – Projection: 14.7
The usage against the Seahawks was very odd as Miles Sanders has crushed when healthy this season. The games he has been healthy, he has faced tougher defenses and still is averaging 5.6 yards per attempt. Green Bay is dreadful against the run still as we saw last week with David Montgomery torching them. If Sanders can get 15+ touches and find the end zone, the yardage has been there all year. Green Bay is allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to running backs on the season.
Jonathan Taylor – $6,400 – Projection: 12.4
Jonathan Taylor was lifted from the covid list and gets an enticing matchup against the Texans. While the running backs will all be involved, Taylor still has plenty of upside at $6,400 but the workload consistency remains the only thing holding him back from being a cash play. Houston has allowed the second-most fantasy points to running backs this season and rank 27th against the run as a whole.
Wide Receivers
A.J. Brown – $8,200 – Projection: 14.9
To pair up with Tannehill, AJ Brown is in a great spot and has been delivering each week he is healthy. Brown has averaged 15 fantasy points per game this season with a 23 fantasy point ceiling. He should find himself around 7-8 targets this week and against a banged-up secondary. Cleveland has allowed the 10th most fantasy points per game to wide receivers and that is with a couple of bad weather games and then facing the Jags without Chark and a reliable QB.
Robert Woods – $7,100 – Projection: 13.5
The Cardinals have allowed the most fantasy points per game over the last five weeks to wide receivers. Robert Woods has had a good track record against the Cardinals, regardless of if Patrick Peterson is on him or not. At $7,100 he is a solid price and has averaged 11 targets per game over the last three and also will usually get a couple of run plays.
Denzel Mims – $5,500 – Projection: 8.7
Looking for a cheap option? Denzel Mims continues to produce some solid yardage games and when that touchdown comes into play he is going to pay off his price tag in a big way. He is averaging 16.7 yards per reception and has 33 targets over five games. Las Vegas has a mediocre secondary and are also big favorites. The consistent passing volume will be there for Jets wide receivers. Breshad Perriman is also a strong value.
Tight End
Mke Gesicki – $5,700 – Projection: 9.5
The Dolphins pass-catchers get a major boost from Ryan Fitzpatrick being back and that should be the case again against the Bengals. They have allowed a 56-718-6 line against tight ends this season and the 5th most PPR points per game. Gesicki is second on the team in targets and first in red zone targets. The tight end position continues to be a wasteland and with Kelce off the main slate, there are very few options.
Defense
Los Angeles Chargers – $3,900 – Projection: 8.9
Joey Bosa back in the lineup gives this Chargers pass rush a breath of new life. They will face a Patriots offensive line that has struggled to protect Cam Newton this season, but especially of late. They are on the cheaper side to get you some extra cash and a healthier Chargers defense is a good one. This is also a lackluster Patriots team that doesn’t give much of a threat through the air.