Buffalo Bills at Atlanta Falcons Matchup 10/13/25
12-5, 6th AFC East
at
BUF 14 @ ATL 24
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final
Updated:
8-9, 11th NFC South
BUF 14 @ ATL 24
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final
Updated:
Updated: 11:24 pm GMT
Matchup
| Game | Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline | Charts | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Team Rating | Defense Rating | Offense Rating | Open | Closing | Open | Closing | Open | Closing | Line Moves |
| Buffalo Bills Bills | 91 | 87 | 95 | -5.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-115) | -238 | -205 | |||
| Atlanta Falcons Falcons | 78 | 78 | 79 | +5.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-105) | +190 | +175 | |||
| 48.5 pts | 49.5 pts | |||||||||
Odds Comparison
| Vegas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -205 | +175 |
| Spread | -3.5 | +3.5 |
| Totals | 26.5 | 23 |
| Win Probability | 64% | 36% |
| Over/Under | |
|---|---|
| Over/Under | 49.5 |
| Over/Under History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Over/Under | Home | Away | Grass | Turf |
| 3-3-0 | 3-1-0 | 0-2-0 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| 1-4-0 | 1-2-0 | 0-2-0 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Line | Overall | Home | Away | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 or less | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 36.1 to 39 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 39.1 to 43 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 43.1 to 46 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-0 | 1-0-0 | 0-2-0 |
| 46.1 and over | 3-3-0 | 3-1-0 | 0-2-0 | 0-2-0 | 0-2-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Against the Spread(ATS) History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ATS | Home | Away | Grass | Turf |
| 2-4-0 | 1-3-0 | 1-1-0 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| 3-2-0 | 2-1-0 | 1-1-0 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Line | Overall | Home | Away | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10.1 or More | 0-2-0 | 0-2-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| -7 to -10 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| -3.1 to -6.9 | 1-1-0 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-0 | 0-1-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| -0.1 to -3 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 0 to 3 | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-0 | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
| +3.1 to +6.9 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| +7 to +10 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 10.1 or more | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
Bet Splits
| Record | Win % | Cover Spread % | Avg Point Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 1-0 | 100% | 100 | 30 |
| Favorite | 3-1 | 75% | 25 | 28 |
| After Loss | 0-0 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
| Record | Win % | Cover Spread % | Avg Point Totals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1-1 | 50% | 50 | 27 |
| Underdog | 1-1 | 50% | 50 | 21 |
| After Win | 0-1 | 0% | 0 | 0 |
Scoring
| Offense Scoring (Home) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total | 1st Quarter | 2nd Quarter | 3rd Quarter | 4th Quarter |
| 30.8 | 7 | 4 | 6.8 | 13 | |
| 27 | 8.5 | 5 | 8.5 | 5 | |
| Defense Scoring Allowed (Away) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total | 1st Quarter | 2nd Quarter | 3rd Quarter | 4th Quarter |
| 18 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5 | 5 | |
| 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Offense Scoring (Away) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total | 1st Quarter | 2nd Quarter | 3rd Quarter | 4th Quarter |
| 30 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 7 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | |
| Defense Scoring Allowed (Home) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Total | 1st Quarter | 2nd Quarter | 3rd Quarter | 4th Quarter |
| 25.8 | 5 | 7.5 | 6.8 | 6.5 | |
| 25 | 0 | 10 | 6.5 | 8.5 | |
Last 5 Meetings
| Game | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Score | Spread | Over/Under | Total Yds | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | Rush TDs | Pass TDs | Total Yds | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | Rush TDs | Pass TDs |
| 1/2/22 | ATL 15 @ BUF 29 | BUF -14 | 46 points | 351 | 233 | 118 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 96 | 169 | 1 | 0 |
| 10/1/17 | BUF 23 @ ATL 17 | ATL -8 | 48.5 points | 281 | 117 | 164 | 0 | 1 | 389 | 147 | 242 | 1 | 1 |
| 12/1/13 | ATL 34 @ BUF 31 | ATL -5 | 48 points | 405 | 195 | 210 | 3 | 1 | 423 | 151 | 272 | 3 | 1 |
| 12/27/09 | BUF 3 @ ATL 31 | ATL -7 | 40 points | 178 | 40 | 138 | 0 | 0 | 391 | 157 | 234 | 0 | 3 |
| 9/25/05 | ATL 24 @ BUF 16 | ATL -2 | 36 points | 208 | 172 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 403 | 236 | 167 | 1 | 2 |
Buffalo Bills Last 5 Matchups
| Game | Opponent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Score | Spread | Over/Under | Total | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | Rush TDs | Pass TDs | Total | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | Rush TDs | Pass TDs |
| 10/6/25 | BUF 20 vs NE 23 | BUF -7.5 | 49 points | 363 | 118 | 245 | 0 | 2 | 338 | 71 | 267 | 2 | 0 |
| 9/28/25 | BUF 31 vs NO 19 | BUF -14.5 | 48.5 points | 356 | 165 | 191 | 2 | 2 | 298 | 189 | 109 | 1 | 1 |
| 9/19/25 | BUF 31 vs MIA 21 | BUF -11.5 | 50.5 points | 360 | 157 | 203 | 1 | 3 | 276 | 130 | 146 | 1 | 2 |
| 9/14/25 | BUF 30 @ NYJ 10 | BUF -5.5 | 47 points | 403 | 224 | 179 | 3 | 0 | 154 | 100 | 54 | 0 | 1 |
| 9/8/25 | BUF 41 vs BAL 40 | BAL -1.5 | 50.5 points | 497 | 108 | 389 | 3 | 2 | 432 | 238 | 194 | 3 | 2 |
Atlanta Falcons Last 5 Matchups
| Game | Opponent | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Score | Spread | Over/Under | Total | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | Rush TDs | Pass TDs | Total | Rush Yds | Pass Yds | Rush TDs | Pass TDs |
| 9/28/25 | ATL 34 vs WAS 27 | ATL -2.5 | 43.5 points | 435 | 128 | 307 | 2 | 2 | 294 | 147 | 147 | 0 | 2 |
| 9/21/25 | ATL 0 @ CAR 30 | ATL -4.5 | 44 points | 332 | 131 | 201 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 110 | 114 | 2 | 0 |
| 9/15/25 | ATL 22 @ MIN 6 | MIN -3.0 | 44.5 points | 326 | 218 | 108 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 78 | 120 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/7/25 | ATL 20 vs TB 23 | 47.5 points | 358 | 69 | 289 | 1 | 1 | 260 | 101 | 159 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1/5/25 | ATL 0 vs CAR 0 | ATL -7.5 | 48.5 points | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |