Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons Matchup 11/16/25

8-9, 4th NFC South
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CAR 30 @ ATL 27

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT

8-9, 11th NFC South

CAR 30 @ ATL 27

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:25 pm GMT
Updated: 11:25 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers Panthers
69
69
70
+3 (-115)
+4 (-118)
46.5 pts
42 pts
+125
+172
line-movement
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons Falcons
78
78
79
-3 (-105)
-4 (-102)
-166
-218
46.5 pts
42 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +172 -218
Spread +4 -4
Totals 19 23
Win Probability 32% 68%
Over/Under
Over/Under 42
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
6-5-0 3-2-0 3-3-0 1-2-0 5-3-0
4-5-1 2-2-1 2-3-0 1-1-0 3-4-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 2-1-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0 2-2-1 1-0-1 1-2-0
46.1 and over 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
7-4-0 3-2-0 4-2-0 2-1-0 5-3-0
5-5-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1-1-0 4-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
-0.1 to -3 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
0 to 3 3-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0 3-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0
+7 to +10 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-3 40% 60 14.8
Underdog 5-4 55.6% 66.7 18.9
After Loss 3-1 75% 40 9.5
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 2-2 50% 50 22
Favorite 1-3 25% 25 13.5
After Loss 2-3 40% 44.4 12.7

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
20.6 3.4 5.2 4 8
22 7.8 5 4.2 5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
22.2 5.4 6.6 3.2 5.8
22.8 4 11.4 2.8 4.6
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
14.8 3 2.8 3 6
16 4 4 2.6 5.4
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
21.6 2.4 10.2 5.6 3.4
24.5 3.5 7.5 6.8 6.8

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
9/21/25 ATL 0 @ CAR 30 ATL -4 44 points 224 110 114 2 0 332 131 201 0 0
1/5/25 CAR 44 @ ATL 38 ATL -7 48.5 points 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10/13/24 ATL 38 @ CAR 20 ATL -6 46 points 335 114 221 0 2 423 198 225 3 1
12/17/23 ATL 7 @ CAR 9 ATL -2 32.5 points 283 129 154 0 0 204 52 152 0 1
9/10/23 CAR 10 @ ATL 24 ATL -3 40.5 points 281 154 127 0 1 221 130 91 2 1

Carolina Panthers Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/9/25 CAR 7 vs NO 17 CAR -5.5 38.5 points 175 73 102 1 0 388 122 266 0 2
11/2/25 CAR 16 @ GB 13 GB -12.5 43.5 points 265 163 102 2 0 369 104 265 1 0
10/26/25 CAR 9 vs BUF 40 BUF -7.0 47.5 points 244 114 130 1 0 410 245 165 4 1
10/19/25 CAR 13 @ NYJ 6 NYJ -1.5 40 points 302 125 177 0 1 220 81 139 0 0
10/12/25 CAR 30 vs DAL 27 DAL -3.0 46.5 points 410 216 194 0 3 292 31 261 0 3

Atlanta Falcons Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/9/25 ATL 25 @ IND 31 IND -6.5 48 points 290 140 150 2 1 519 323 196 3 1
11/2/25 ATL 23 @ NE 24 NE -5.5 45.5 points 288 71 217 0 3 331 110 221 1 2
10/26/25 ATL 10 vs MIA 34 ATL -7.0 44.5 points 213 45 168 1 0 338 141 197 0 4
10/20/25 ATL 10 @ SF 20 ATL -1.0 46.5 points 292 62 230 0 1 324 174 150 2 0
10/13/25 ATL 24 vs BUF 14 BUF -3.5 49.5 points 443 210 233 2 1 291 134 157 0 2