Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots Matchup 11/2/25

8-9, 11th NFC South
at

ATL 23 @ NE 24

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:24 pm GMT

14-3, 2nd AFC East

ATL 23 @ NE 24

Gillette Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:24 pm GMT
Updated: 11:24 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons Falcons
78
78
79
+2.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
45 pts
45.5 pts
+120
+200
line-movement
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
74
75
74
-2.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
-166
-258
45 pts
45.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +200 -258
Spread +5.5 -5.5
Totals 20 25.5
Win Probability 28% 72%
Over/Under
Over/Under 45.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
2-5-1 1-2-1 1-3-0 0-1-0 2-4-1
5-4-0 3-2-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 3-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0
43.1 to 46 2-2-1 1-0-1 1-2-0 1-3-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
46.1 and over 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
4-4-0 2-2-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 4-3-0
6-3-0 2-3-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0
-0.1 to -3 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
0 to 3 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
+7 to +10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 1-2 33.3% 33.3 10.7
Underdog 2-1 66.7% 66.7 22
After Loss 2-1 66.7% 28.6 9.4
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 2-2 50% 50 25.2
Favorite 4-1 80% 80 28.6
After Win 4-1 80% 50 15.6

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
22 7.8 5 4.2 5
25.2 4.2 9.2 7 4.8
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
19.8 4 7.5 3.2 5
18.7 2.3 6.3 4.3 5.7
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
10.7 2 2 3.3 3.3
28 8 7 8 5
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
24.5 3.5 7.5 6.8 6.8
16.8 6.8 1.8 2.5 5.8

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/19/21 NE 25 @ ATL 0 NE -7 47 points 165 40 125 0 0 308 134 174 0 1
10/23/17 ATL 7 @ NE 23 NE -3 57 points 343 120 223 0 1 403 162 241 0 2
2/5/17 NE 34 @ ATL 28 ATL -3 57 points 344 104 240 1 2 546 104 442 2 2
9/29/13 NE 30 @ ATL 23 NE -3 49 points 457 58 399 0 2 448 132 316 1 2
9/27/09 ATL 10 @ NE 26 NE -5 47 points 257 58 199 1 0 445 168 277 1 1

Atlanta Falcons Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/26/25 ATL 10 vs MIA 34 ATL -7.0 44.5 points 213 45 168 1 0 338 141 197 0 4
10/20/25 ATL 10 @ SF 20 ATL -1.0 46.5 points 292 62 230 0 1 324 174 150 2 0
10/13/25 ATL 24 vs BUF 14 BUF -3.5 49.5 points 443 210 233 2 1 291 134 157 0 2
9/28/25 ATL 34 vs WAS 27 ATL -2.5 43.5 points 435 128 307 2 2 294 147 147 0 2
9/21/25 ATL 0 @ CAR 30 ATL -4.5 44 points 332 131 201 0 0 224 110 114 2 0

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/26/25 NE 32 vs CLE 13 NE -7.0 40.5 points 422 177 245 0 3 213 68 145 0 2
10/19/25 NE 31 @ TEN 13 NE -6.5 41 points 387 175 212 1 2 255 39 216 0 1
10/12/25 NE 25 @ NO 19 NE -3.5 46 points 333 73 260 0 3 296 73 223 1 0
10/6/25 NE 23 @ BUF 20 BUF -7.5 49 points 338 71 267 2 0 363 118 245 0 2
9/28/25 NE 42 vs CAR 13 NE -5.5 42.5 points 307 104 203 3 2 326 129 197 0 2