New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons Matchup 1/4/26

6-11, 13th NFC South
at

NO 17 @ ATL 19

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT

8-9, 11th NFC South

NO 17 @ ATL 19

Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Final

Updated:

Updated: 11:28 pm GMT
Updated: 11:28 pm GMT, 2/28

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints Saints
74
75
73
+2.5 (-115)
+3.5 (+100)
43 pts
43.5 pts
+125
+171
line-movement
Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons Falcons
78
78
79
-2.5 (-105)
-3.5 (-120)
-230
-198
43 pts
43.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +171 -198
Spread +3.5 -3.5
Totals 20 23.5
Win Probability 34% 66%
Over/Under
Over/Under 43.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
5-11-1 1-7-0 4-4-1 2-2-0 3-9-1
8-8-1 4-3-1 4-5-0 2-2-0 6-6-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
39.1 to 43 3-5-0 1-4-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
43.1 to 46 0-5-1 0-3-0 0-2-1 4-3-1 2-1-1 2-2-0
46.1 and over 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-4-0 1-2-0 1-2-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
9-8-0 3-5-0 6-3-0 3-1-0 6-7-0
9-8-0 3-5-0 6-3-0 3-1-0 6-7-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0
-0.1 to -3 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 2-2-0 1-0-0 1-2-0
0 to 3 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 3-4-0 0-3-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1-1-0 3-0-0
+7 to +10 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 3-5 37.5% 62.5 18.5
Underdog 3-9 25% 41.7 15.8
After Win 3-2 60% 18.8 7
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 3-4 42.9% 42.9 21.6
Favorite 2-5 28.6% 28.6 18.7
After Win 3-3 50% 18.8 6.9

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
17.6 1.5 7.9 2.5 5.8
21.6 6.9 7.3 2.9 4.6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
21.7 4.9 6.6 3.3 6.2
26.1 9 9.1 4.1 3.9
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18.5 2.1 5.4 5.1 5.9
20.3 2.9 7.4 2.9 7.1
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
19.4 5.4 8.1 3.2 2.6
27 3.4 5.1 10 8

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
11/23/25 ATL 24 @ NO 10 NO -1 41 points 293 79 214 0 0 302 121 181 0 2
11/10/24 ATL 17 @ NO 20 ATL -3 47.5 points 365 96 269 0 2 468 181 287 2 0
9/29/24 NO 24 @ ATL 26 ATL -2 42.5 points 366 131 235 3 0 315 88 227 0 0
1/7/24 ATL 17 @ NO 48 NO -3 41.5 points 400 154 246 2 4 389 78 311 0 2
11/26/23 NO 15 @ ATL 24 NO -2 42 points 444 148 296 0 0 396 228 168 1 1

New Orleans Saints Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/28/25 NO 34 @ TEN 26 NO -1.5 38.5 points 423 103 320 1 2 336 108 228 0 2
12/21/25 NO 29 vs NYJ 6 NO -6.5 39.5 points 412 84 328 0 2 195 64 131 0 0
12/14/25 NO 20 vs CAR 17 CAR -2.5 41.5 points 337 81 256 1 1 281 127 154 1 1
12/7/25 NO 24 @ TB 20 TB -7.5 41.5 points 260 139 121 3 0 301 179 122 1 1
11/30/25 NO 17 @ MIA 21 MIA -5.5 41.5 points 294 81 213 0 2 298 164 134 1 0

Atlanta Falcons Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/30/25 ATL 27 vs LAR 24 LAR -7.0 48.5 points 345 219 126 1 1 363 115 248 0 2
12/21/25 ATL 26 @ ARI 19 ATL -2.5 48.5 points 342 152 190 1 2 320 132 188 0 1
12/12/25 ATL 29 @ TB 28 TB -6.0 43.5 points 476 111 365 1 3 338 88 250 1 2
12/7/25 ATL 9 vs SEA 37 SEA -6.5 44.5 points 274 120 154 0 0 365 129 236 0 3
11/30/25 ATL 24 @ NYJ 27 ATL -3.0 38.5 points 389 167 222 2 1 269 110 159 2 1